★ Top pick2nd
5Parvenu
Only 2 starts but progressive filly from strong stable. Midfield map ideal for Pakenham's position bias and moderate-fast tempo. Best form profile despite short career.
Victoria · Thursday 16 April 2026
Pakenham tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
Top pick won2/825%
Any tip won5/863%
Top pick placed7/888%
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Ladbrokes Mega Multi Hcp (C1)
17:15 local1600mClass 1$40,000
Winner6. PulaSP $6.00
2nd pick3rd
7M'lady Rose
Class drop from BM64/G3 a major plus in provincial CL1. Midfield settling suits track bias. Elite connections and recent Sandown soft form outweigh unproven distance.
3rd pickScratched
1Man Of The Sea
Recent Sandown 1600m soft 3rd behind stronger opposition shows class edge. Excellent barrier 3 for handy settling on position-biased track.
Value pick6th
2Square Deal
First up a query but track/distance stats and barrier 4 provide value overlay. Mott booking positive; moderate tempo suits if sharpens up.
- 1st6PulaJordan Childs$6.00
- 2nd5ParvenuDaniel Stackhouse$2.25
- 3rd7M'lady RoseJohn Allen$2.45
- 4th3Surperb FrostZac Spain$9.50
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Pula | 2 | Jordan Childs | D T O'Brien | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Parvenu | 7 | Daniel Stackhouse | G M Begg | 57.5kg | $2.25 |
| 3rd | 7 | M'lady Rose | 5 | John Allen | T & C McEvoy | 57kg | $2.45 |
| 4th | 3 | Surperb Frost | 6 | Zac Spain | M J Mehegan | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 4 | Yoshi Stardom | 1 | Lachlan Neindorf | D Binaisse | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Square Deal | 4 | Jamie Mott | Kelvin Southey | 59kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Man Of The Sea | 3 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59kg |
Computer Talk - Business IT Experts (Bm64)
17:45 local1200mBenchmark 64$40,000
Winner4. Purple StreakSP $2.30
★ Top pick2nd
6Celtics
Second-up from spell with recent maiden win, consistent form 623x1. Fast tempo and handy map suit track's top-6 at 400m pattern.
2nd pick4th
2Sulek
Sulek gets prime barrier 1 in inside-favoured Pakenham, class drop from G2/Listed eases pressure. Likely leader in fast tempo suits on-pace bias despite long break.
3rd pickScratched
1Yes Yoshi
Ethan Brown booking signals intent despite wide draw. Pakenham's position bias manageable with speed.
Value pick3rd
5Victory Tune
Consistent recent 4ths in BM64 show fitness; handy map suits fast tempo and position bias.
- 1st4Purple StreakBen Allen$2.30
- 2nd6CelticsThomas Stockdale$4.40
- 3rd5Victory TuneJamie Mott$13.00
- 4th2SulekBilly Egan$3.00
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Purple Streak | 7 | Ben Allen | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 60kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 6 | Celtics | 3 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 5 | Victory Tune | 4 | Jamie Mott | R D Griffiths | 60kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Sulek | 1 | Billy Egan | Dominic Sutton | 61.5kg | $3.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Serinda | 2 | Lachlan Neindorf | D T O'Brien | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Lope De Lardo | 6 | Beau Mertens | Gavin Bedggood | 59kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Yes Yoshi | 8 | Ethan Brown | Charlotte Littlefield | 62kg | |
| Scr | 3 | High On The Hill | 5 | John Allen | C Maher | 60kg |
Cookers Bulk Oil System Mdn Plate
18:15 local1200mMaiden$45,000
Winner3. BlankfieldSP $1.85
★ Top pickWon
3Blankfield
Strong pure form profile with 50% place rate, recent placings at 1200-1400m including Pakenham 2nd. First up record positive. Mott booking reliable at venue. Wide draw tests likely leader map but consistent finishing strength suits Pakenham's position bias if can hold spot. Excellent second pick.
2nd pickScratched
5Holding Captive
Barrier 1 perfect for Pakenham's inside bias and on-pace track pattern. Maher/Brown team elite, class drop positive. Fast tempo suits midfield map. No soft exposure but raw ability overrides.
Value pick2nd
10Jenni Poppins
Barrier 5 maps midfield perfectly for Pakenham on-pace bias and fast tempo. Sole heavy track run (4th) directly relevant to Soft 5. Kennewell/Mertens combo, jockey in career-best form. Long spell but trial form likely sharpens her. Underpriced relative to map/form advantages vs longer shots.
- 1st3BlankfieldJamie Mott$1.85
- 2nd10Jenni PoppinsBeau Mertens$1.80
- 3rd6Mortal PeakLiana Wood$26.00
- 4th7AlodieMelea Castle$26.00
Full result · 4 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Blankfield | 9 | Jamie Mott | Alexander Rae | 59kg | $1.85 |
| 2nd | 10 | Jenni Poppins | 5 | Beau Mertens | Lloyd Kennewell | 57kg | $1.80 |
| 3rd | 6 | Mortal Peak | 2 | Liana Wood | S C Bottomley | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Alodie | 3 | Melea Castle | Chris Diplock | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Another Link | 2 | Jye McNeil | G Eurell | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Braemar Hill | 7 | Lachlan Neindorf | P Stokes | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Crystal Jade | 8 | Zac Spain | Nathan Dunn | 59kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Holding Captive | 1 | Ethan Brown | C Maher | 59kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Gottaluvsport | 4 | Ruby Lamont | R J Meunier | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Adira River | 6 | John Allen | C Maher | 57kg |
Beraldo Coffee Mdn Plate
18:45 local1100mMaiden$45,000
Winner1. Longreach DroverSP $8.50
★ Top pick2nd
3Royal Honour
Soft track proven, likely to settle handy in fast tempo. Best pure form horse despite maiden status.
2nd pick3rd
8Macca's Angel
Barrier 4 ideal for track bias, gear removal signals intent from top stable. Limited form but recent Werribee 4th respectable, jockey Neindorf 20% recent.
3rd pickScratched
4Beau Strada
Recent Cranbourne 2nd shows fitness, light weight helps on soft.
Value pick7th
7Kellerslea
Debutant with premium connections: Hayes stable excels first-up, Childs in career-best form. Barrier 2 ideal for Pakenham leaders/on-pace bias, gear (ear muffs/lugging bit) indicates tactical speed.
- 1st1Longreach DroverThomas Stockdale$8.50
- 2nd3Royal HonourJamie Mott$1.75
- 3rd8Macca's AngelLachlan Neindorf$5.50
- 4th10Polar EyesBeau Mertens$10.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Longreach Drover | 7 | Thomas Stockdale | F Stockdale | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Royal Honour | 1 | Jamie Mott | R D Griffiths | 58kg | $1.75 |
| 3rd | 8 | Macca's Angel | 4 | Lachlan Neindorf | P Stokes | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 10 | Polar Eyes | 3 | Beau Mertens | P Stokes | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Miss Military | 8 | Jye McNeil | Luke Oliver | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Doubt It's Love | 6 | Zac Spain | Logan McGill | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Kellerslea | 2 | Jordan Childs | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Duntulm Lass | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | J D Sadler | 56kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Regal Vanguard | 5 | John Allen | Gemma Rielly | 58kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Beau Strada | 10 | Billy Egan | Luke Oliver | 56kg |
Bridgestone Select Pakenham Mdn Plate
19:15 local1400mMaiden$45,000
Winner8. UpstageSP $1.65
★ Top pickWon
8Upstage
Barrier 2 perfect for Pakenham's inside bias and position-driven nature. Best suited to fast tempo from midfield, strong connections with Stackhouse (17% at track). No soft wins but unexposed; superior to rivals on class and recency.
2nd pickScratched
5Kokeshi
Recent form 244 shows closing improvement, fitness peak after 14 days. Wide draw concern but fast tempo suits closers with speed; Mertens in excellent form.
3rd pickScratched
1Bella Verona
Bella Verona debuts from barrier 1, ideal for Pakenham's inside bias (15% win rate barriers 1-6) and on-pace track. Proxy assessment favours over other unknowns; barrier trumps lack of history in position-driven race.
Value pick5th
4Jenni Bam Bam
Jenni Bam Bam debuts for top stable Kennewell with Ethan Brown (12% track strike). Barrier 7 fine for Pakenham middle bias. Provincial Thursday suits stable intent over lesser runners like Hellica.
- 1st8UpstageDaniel Stackhouse$1.65
- 2nd10Who'llstoplorraineMelea Castle$31.00
- 3rd9VespersTeodore Nugent$7.50
- 4th3Ivy PrincessRuby Lamont$41.00
Full result · 5 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Upstage | 2 | Daniel Stackhouse | G M Begg | 57.5kg | $1.65 |
| 2nd | 10 | Who'llstoplorraine | 6 | Melea Castle | Pat Carey & Harris Walker | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Vespers | 4 | Teodore Nugent | J F Moloney | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Ivy Princess | 5 | Ruby Lamont | R J Meunier | 53.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Jenni Bam Bam | 7 | Ethan Brown | Lloyd Kennewell | 57.5kg | $3.10 |
| Scr | 1 | Bella Verona | 1 | Patrick Moloney | M M Laurie | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Hellica | 3 | Jackie Beriman | Gemma Rielly | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Kokeshi | 11 | Beau Mertens | J F Moloney | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Let Lily Loose | 9 | Lachlan Neindorf | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Pomah | 8 | Jordan Childs | D T O'Brien | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Wynorrific | 10 | Jye McNeil | E & D Browne | 57.5kg |
Cameron Industrial Commercial (Bm62)
19:45 local1400mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner6. ShidanSP $2.70
★ Top pick3rd
2Blue Bandit
Recent 5th in stronger BM66 off soft showed fitness; moderate-fast tempo suits forward map. Strong win chance despite weight.
2nd pickWon
6Shidan
Barrier 3 enables midfield settling to exploit Pakenham's top-6 at 400m bias in moderate-fast tempo. Soft handling (1-1-1 from 7 soft/heavy) aligns with conditions; improving trend post-spell.
3rd pick5th
10Alleviate
Alleviate's barrier 1 and light 57.5kg make her prime for Pakenham's inside/positional bias despite backmarker style. Recent soft 1100m maiden win shows handling; lightly raced 3yo from elite stable has upside stepping to BM62. Each-way value if maps forward.
Value pick4th
3Gallant Prince
Soft unproven but track mastery and barrier 7 could see midfield improvement in genuine tempo. High-value roughie if handles conditions.
- 1st6ShidanDaniel Stackhouse$2.70
- 2nd5Pearl KingBen Allen$9.50
- 3rd2Blue BanditJye McNeil$3.70
- 4th3Gallant PrinceBeau Mertens$17.00
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Shidan | 3 | Daniel Stackhouse | Adele Garraway | 59.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 5 | Pearl King | 4 | Ben Allen | Andrea Leek | 59.5kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Blue Bandit | 2 | Jye McNeil | J Leek Jnr | 61kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 3 | Gallant Prince | 7 | Beau Mertens | Clayton Douglas | 61kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Alleviate | 1 | Jordan Childs | D T O'Brien | 57.5kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 11 | Dihheri | 6 | Ethan Brown | Lloyd Kennewell | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Prestige Ole | 11 | Nadia Daniels | Matt Jenkins | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Hollerasaurous | 9 | Billy Egan | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Burlington Gate | 5 | Jamie Mott | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Marlion's Dream | 8 | Teodore Nugent | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Bencouver | 10 | Zac Spain | M J Mehegan | 58kg |
Ladbrokes Sky Heights Stayers Series Heat 2 (Bm62)
20:15 local2000mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner3. Accidental BidSP $3.20
★ Top pick2nd
2Diamond Gust
Barrier 3 ideal for midfield settling on position-driven Pakenham track with moderate-fast tempo suiting strong finishers. Top win chance.
2nd pickWon
3Accidental Bid
Maher/Allen combo elite (11% strike), second-up stats solid. Soft track suitability high, rising class manageable given upside.
3rd pick7th
7Pray Day
Mott's track strike rate excellent, higher class background.
Value pickScratched
9Quite The Lass
Quite The Lass offers value with recent Pakenham 2nd (2550m) and Bairnsdale win, barrier 4 ideal for handy settling. Track record (6:0-1-1), consistent at distance (5:0-0-2).
- 1st3Accidental BidJohn Allen$3.20
- 2nd2Diamond GustBen Allen$5.00
- 3rd5CachinkBilly Egan$11.00
- 4th11Purler PatchZac Spain$13.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Accidental Bid | 2 | John Allen | C Maher | 60.5kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 2 | Diamond Gust | 3 | Ben Allen | M M Laurie | 61kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Cachink | 6 | Billy Egan | M J Williams | 60kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Purler Patch | 10 | Zac Spain | K & K Keys | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Najle | 1 | Teodore Nugent | E & D Browne | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Corona Lad | 12 | Jett Stanley | Nathan Dunn | 60.5kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Pray Day | 13 | Jamie Mott | T Rogers | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Pink Chandon | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | Glen Thompson | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Warchime | 5 | Beau Mertens | Brett Scott | 62kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Luckett | 8 | Rhys Mc Leod | Dominic Sutton | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Quite The Lass | 4 | Jye McNeil | Reece Goodwin | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Strike First | 11 | Jason Maskiell | Ms W Kelly | 58kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Salsita | 7 | E & D Browne | 61.5kg |
John Duff & Co Hcp (66)
20:45 local1600mRestricted 66$40,000
Winner2. RaspSP $3.80
★ Top pick4th
3Captain Cat
High soft track suitability (4 places/5 soft runs) matches Soft 5 conditions. Recent Pakenham win on heavy proves track affinity. Second up from spell with solid stats, proven jockey combo (17% strike). Midfield settling ideal for track's first-half preference despite class rise.
2nd pick3rd
9Zeshadow
Proven 1600m performer (2 wins/5 starts). John Allen booking signals intent despite limited soft form. Blinkers NS first time could focus backmarker profile.
3rd pickWon
2Rasp
Rasp benefits from barrier 5 in Pakenham's moderate inside bias. Solid soft record (1 win, 2 places/8 soft) handles conditions. Consistent form trend, freshened 9 days. Class rise concern but weight relief and map advantages provide each-way safety.
Value pick5th
8The Englishman
Soft specialist (4 places/12 soft runs) loves conditions. Recent Pakenham 4th confirms fitness second up.
- 1st2RaspJason Maskiell$3.80
- 2nd4GarnachoJye McNeil$11.00
- 3rd9ZeshadowJohn Allen$3.40
- 4th3Captain CatNathan Punch$3.80
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Rasp | 5 | Jason Maskiell | Gavin Bedggood | 59kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 4 | Garnacho | 7 | Jye McNeil | E & D Browne | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Zeshadow | 9 | John Allen | Andrew Noblet | 57.5kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 3 | Captain Cat | 1 | Nathan Punch | Brett Conlon | 58kg | $3.80 |
| 5th | 8 | The Englishman | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | J Leek Jnr | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Quello Dorato | 8 | Jordan Childs | D T O'Brien | 58kg | $6.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Lim's Smythe | 4 | Rhys Mc Leod | D Meagher | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Birdie Time | 2 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Caleana | 10 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Seeking Prophet | 6 | Liana Wood | Bernadette Gafa | 51kg |
Before the races, not after
Get every tip before the jump
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.