Ellerslie tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.90 · Samantha Collett

She's No Saint has the most relevant form, having placed in a similar Open 2YO race at Ellerslie in December. She maps to get a nice run just off the speed and her first-up record is solid. The switch to Good 4 is unproven but the drying conditions should suit. A repeat of her best puts her right in the finish.

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.30 · Matthew Cartwright

In a race lacking depth, a debut winner isn't unprecedented. The horse carries the hype of a stable that usually has debutants forward. Included as a top chance, but not the top pick.

Our price $10.00 · SP $18.30 · Michael Mc Nab

Via Fontanella represents a value play in an unpredictable juvenile race. The Tony Pike stable is a prolific source of first-start winners, and with Michael McNab aboard, the intent is clear. Drawn perfectly in barrier 2, she can get a soft run just behind the speed.

Our price $5.50 · SP $10.70 · Ethan Jones

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.90 · Samantha Collett

Bosch's best is good enough to win an Open, but he needs to bounce back sharply.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.10 · Samantha Collett

Arthur profiles as a horse ready to peak second up after a tidy effort in tough conditions. The inside gate and a likely strong tempo should give him every chance to run a big race. His Good-track record is competitive and Pike’s ability to have him fit for this trip is a plus.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.70 · Michael Mc Nab

Savvy Donna is a class‑exposed filly who has been running against much stronger horses without luck. She races well fresh and maps to sit back and launch late, which is a proven winning pattern at Ellerslie.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.40 · Michael Mc Nab

Ultra-consistent placegetter with a proven record over 1400m. Returns first-up with a positive jockey booking and excellent track/distance credentials. Major player if forward enough, but lingering question of whether she can convert a placing to a win in a large field.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.00 · Sam McNab

Eye-catching debut third behind similar maiden opposition, mapping well from barrier 2. However, jockey form is a significant concern and the horse lacks the exposed depth of the top contenders. Solid each-way hope but needs to improve sharply to beat more seasoned placegetters.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.10 · Joe Nishizuka

Elton Rocks ticks every box for a 2100m BM65 at Ellerslie – a track and distance double, strong distance record, and an established partnership. He ran 3rd in a similar race last time and drops in weight off a win at the trip.

Our price $6.50 · SP $11.70 · Sam McNab

Cosmic Pursuit is a consistent improver who has hit the frame in three of his last four starts in this grade. He brings sound form and a strong trainer, although his best performances have come on soft ground.

Our price $8.50 · SP $12.90 · Jasmine Fawcett

Blackwaterfoot is a track/distance specialist who relishes Ellerslie and the 2100m trip. She comes off a dominant win in slightly weaker company but possesses the distance record to handle the step up.

Our price $5.00 · SP $9.70 · Warren Kennedy

Uderzo is primed after a narrow 2nd in a similar race on good ground, and the weight drop enhances his claims. He maps to get a perfect midfield trip and should be strong late. While he rarely wins, he is a major place chance and looks a solid each-way opportunity.

Our price $5.50 · SP $15.20 · Matthew Cartwright

Bourbon Empress is a classy mare who loves Ellerslie and good ground, having won a Group 2 here last year. Her heavy-track failure last start is irrelevant, and she can bounce back second-up.

Our price $6.50 · SP $10.50 · Tayla Mitchell

Our price $8.50 · SP $14.00 · Corentin Berge

Overdrawn bounced back to win narrowly last start and can go on with it.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.20 · Courtney Barnes

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.60 · Matthew Cartwright

Orson Stone shapes as the horse to beat in a moderate BM65. His last-start 3rd at Ellerslie from barrier 21 was full of merit, closing hard against the pattern. A fast pace looks ideal for his style, and with the in-form Forsman yard, he profiles as the probable winner. The only small query is the Good 4 surface, but his breeding suggests he will handle the improvement.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Samantha Collett

Blesstas arrives from an honest Te Rapa 3rd on a Good surface that reads well for this. The main negative is her debut at Ellerslie, but the track tends to suit versatile mares.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Wiremu Pinn

He has been knocking on the door with a string of solid efforts, including a third at this course and distance. If the track plays firmer than expected, his Good track placed run suggests he can still feature.