Newcastle tips and results

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Aaron Bullock

Knight Of Rhodes ticks all the key boxes for this staying Class 1 on heavy ground at Newcastle. He has won on heavy, drawn the gun barrier 1 which is a massive advantage at this track, and comes off two solid placings over 2000m. The step up to 2200m is an unknown but his racing pattern suggests he'll stay. Aaron Bullock is riding well and this looks a prime chance to break through for his second win.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.50 · Jeff Penza

Canjustify comes off a dominant maiden win at Newcastle over 1900m and looks well suited stepping up to 2200m. The main concern is the heavy track — she's never raced on it — but her soft track second at Canberra is encouraging. If she handles the wet, she's a major threat.

Our price $10.00 · SP $8.00 · Jay Ford

She drops right back in grade after competing in BM78 company and ran a good second at Canberra last time over 2000m. Jay Ford takes the reins and he combines well with Matthew Smith. If she runs up to her best, she can feature.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.00 · Jeff Penza

Iambubb made his debut in a Group 3 at Randwick last October, finishing well back. He returns from a spell with a confidence-boosting barrier trial win at Illawarra. The drop from Group class to a provincial Maiden is a massive advantage on class, and his sire I Am Invincible suggests natural speed. The heavy track is an unknown, but his trial suggests he is ready to run well fresh.

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Lee Magorrian

Pacific Diamond is the second Freedman runner but gets a good draw (4) and experienced jockey Lee Magorrian, who combines well with the stable (19% win rate).

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Christian Reith

Russian Words is the most compelling form-based selection in this heavy-track maiden. Her last start third at Quirindi showed she's near a win.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Mikayla Weir

The addition of blinkers may help him settle and finish. He maps to be near the speed from barrier 6. The heavy track is the main unknown, but his good recent form on Good suggests he can handle the conditions. Strong each-way contender.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · Raymond Spokes

Dandeelion Wishes impressed in a heavy track trial win, suggesting she handles the wet conditions well. She has placed on Soft tracks and has raced competitively at Newcastle. First-up from a spell is a query, but the trial indicates fitness.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Claire Ramsbotham

Welcome Gypsy is a strong chance dropping sharply in grade from BM78 company. With barrier 2 she can hold a forward position, crucial at Newcastle, and her recent runs in tougher races are solid.

Our price $8.00 · SP $26.00 · Liberty Smyth

Zoom Outcome is a specialist heavy-tracker with a remarkable 6 wins from 13 starts on heavy ground. He is drawn ideally in barrier 1 and can position prominently, which is critical at Newcastle. The long break is a concern, but he has been set for this first-up run and drops in class.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.00 · William A Stanley

Nosey Parker is a Newcastle track specialist with 4 wins and 4 placings from 13 starts, including two wins at today's 1250m distance. He has placed in all five heavy track starts, notably a narrow second over this track and trip on Heavy 10. Barrier 10 is a concern but he has enough speed to cross and settle in the first three. Outstanding each-way value.

Our price $10.00 · SP $14.00 · Mitchell Bell

Chica Del Mar has the perfect barrier and is proven on soft tracks, but this is heavier than she has encountered. First-up after a spell, the Snowden stable often have them ready. Mitchell Bell rides. If she handles the heavy, she is a threat. Place claims.

Our price $10.00 · SP $8.50 · Leeshelle Small

Barrier 6 should allow a positive ride.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Shannen Llewellyn

Rockbarton Icon is racing consistently with three consecutive placings, including a strong 3rd on a soft track. He has a solid Newcastle record and excels over this trip. While his heavy form is unproven, the light weight and inside barrier give him every chance to be in the finish at each-way value.