Carnarvon tips and results

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.30 · Kate Pateman

She has been competing well in BM58+ and Class5, so this is a slight drop in grade. The major concern is barrier 8 which is difficult at Carnarvon, but if she can cross early she can be very competitive. Each-way value given her class edge.

Our price $6.67 · SP $7.50 · Joseph See

First-up from a long spell with blinkers removed. Barrier 3 is ideal for a front-running role. A risky proposition but if she handles the jump in class, she could be a factor.

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Elisha Whittington

Now second-up with blinkers applied, she is expected to strip fitter and may take closer order. Drawn barrier 11, which aligns with the middle-barrier bias seen at Carnarvon recently. She represents solid each-way claims in a race lacking depth.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Rosie Mahony

Royal Riviera has shown steady improvement in her two runs, finishing 5th then 4th at Geraldton. She steps to Carnarvon with the benefit of a nice inside barrier (4) and blinkers applied for the first time, which may help her settle or sharpen her speed. The stable is in good form with two runners.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Jefferson Tsang

Her recent 5th at Carnarvon over 1000m was not disastrous, and she drops to 1200m which may suit. She needs luck from the draw but is a live chance if the tempo suits.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.00 · Jason Li

However, barrier 12 on a track that heavily favours inside draws is a significant hurdle. He will need an early burst to cross and avoid being trapped wide.

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.60 · Madi Derrick

Gold Spy has an outstanding Carnarvon record with four wins from five starts, including a dominant last-start victory in BM56+ over 1000m. He rises in class today but has placed in BM68+ here previously. Barrier 8 is a slight negative but his natural early speed should offset it. With Madi Derrick retaining the ride, he remains a major winning chance.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.00 · Ava Catarino

Ironclad Boy comes off a solid second in a BM56+ over 1200m at Carnarvon two weeks ago. He drops 3kg in weight (53.5kg) and draws barrier 4, which is favourable. He has placed in BM64+ at this track before (over 1600m) and is capable of running well at this level. The main query is his distance record, but recent form suggests he is close to a win.

Our price $12.00 · SP $15.00 · Bailey Webster

Our Kiwi Princess ran a bold second to Simply Rosso in the corresponding BM64+ over 1000m two weeks ago, beaten a narrow margin. She draws barrier 3 and has Bailey Webster riding, who combines at 25% with trainer Malcolm Mackenzie. The mare rises slightly in class but handles Good tracks well (38:8-7-6).

Our price $3.00 · SP $5.00 · Alex Hearn

Dream Illusion is the most reliable form reference—won over this track/trip last start in the same grade. He has three Carnarvon wins and a strong place record. The midfield map is a slight concern given the leader bias, but he has shown he can finish well.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · Jason Li

Western Impact is a track specialist who rarely runs poorly at Carnarvon over 1400m. He finished third in this same race on May 16 and drops 1kg with a useful claim.

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Bailey Webster

Never Sober returns from a short break and has a good record when fresh at Carnarvon, having placed in this grade previously. He gets a handy weight drop and the stable has him second-up, often their best run. He maps wide but can slot in.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · Joseph See

Daiyamondo stands out with a favourable inside barrier and a strong record at 1400m, having placed in 4 of 11 attempts. She ran a competitive 4th first-up in a BM56+ and now drops slightly in class. However, her poor win rate and second-up struggles keep confidence in check.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.80 · Madi Derrick

That form is the strongest in the race, but he now carries 59.5kg, 4.5kg more than that run, which is a major query. Barrier 9 also requires luck. He is a solid place chance but the weight may stop him winning.

Our price $12.00 · SP $19.00 · Jefferson Tsang

She drops from Class 2 to Class 1 and has placed at this distance in better company. Her recent form is moderate, but she can run into a place if the tempo suits.