Rosehill tips and results

Our price $3.50 · SP $7.00 · Sam Clipperton

Nations League draws the ace barrier which is gold on a position-driven Heavy 8 Rosehill track where leaders win 33% of races. Blinkers first time from Waller should sharpen him further. The map advantage from gate 1 with likely lead/on-pace settling makes him the most logical winner despite the Heavy track question.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.50 · Regan Bayliss

The only runner with confirmed Heavy 8 form, finishing 2nd at Warwick Farm two weeks ago. Barrier 2 is ideal for the strong Rosehill Heavy on-pace bias. Waller has him primed second-up effectively.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.50 · Mikayla Weir

Ocean Tsunami is a high-quality filly with a near-perfect record, but barrier 18 on Rosehill Heavy is a major concern given the strong inside bias and on-pace winning pattern. Her last-start second at Newcastle from wide was meritorious. The trainer-jockey combination is profitable and she has upside, but the map and lack of Heavy experience temper enthusiasm. Best fit each-way given barrier concerns.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.50 · Siena Grima

Cold Brew is the perfect profile horse for Rosehill on Heavy ground - he won here on Heavy 10 last campaign and projects to settle prominent from barrier 2. The track bias data is decisive: front three at the 400m dominate on Rosehill heavy and Cold Brew maps to be exactly there. Although first up from a long spell, his trial-ready prep and proven wet-track tactical speed make him the most reliable winning chance. Top weight and ordinary jockey form are the only concerns.

Our price $6.00 · SP $2.70 · Chad Lever

Sir Les is unbeaten and has won on soft ground both times, suggesting wet-track aptitude. However, the class rise from Class 1 at Kembla to metro BM72 at Rosehill is steep, and barrier 9 forces a wider midfield run which is disadvantaged on Rosehill heavy.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.70 · Dylan Gibbons

Shangri La Impact ticks the critical Rosehill heavy boxes: proven wet-track ability (2 wins from 3 heavy starts), forward-running profile, and a winning record at the 1800m. Coming off a strong Kensington win for Gibbons, who is in form at this track. The class rise is the concern but her trajectory is sharply upward and she handles the conditions far better than most. Forward map will allow her to be in the prime 400m position the track demands.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.00 · Jay Ford

The barrier 1 draw is gold on a position-driven Rosehill heavy, and his profile as a likely leader perfectly matches the bias. Class-relief from European Group races and a recent Listed/Bm94 placing make 62kg defensible. No heavy form is a concern but his Listed/Group 1 European background suggests adaptability.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · William A Stanley

Covert Thinking is materially underrated. Two-from-two on heavy ground, drawn beautifully in barrier 2, and gets 54.5kg with a 3kg claim potential. The Rosehill heavy bias strongly favours tactical inside runners and her wet-track action is proven. Maher resuming runners can win fresh, and a recent BM78 third at Rosehill confirms her class.

Our price $8.50 · SP $4.60 · Shannen Llewellyn

A proven heavy-track winner with a sound second-up record (4:1-0-2), dropping back to BM72 grade after BM78 exposure. The recent Scone fourth was on Good 4 but showed she's racing well. Barrier 9 isn't ideal but the strong jockey-trainer combination (24% strike) and proven wet credentials make her overpriced. Heavy track conditions level the playing field considerably.

Our price $7.00 · SP $12.00 · Regan Bayliss

Amplify is the standout overlay. From barrier 1 on a position-driven Heavy Rosehill, she has the perfect tactical profile - early speed, proven Heavy track form (2nd Listed Heavy 10), and significant class relief dropping from Listed/Group company to BM78.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.50 · Siena Grima

Man Of Worth maps to lead or sit on-speed from barrier 6, which is the dominant winning profile at Rosehill on Heavy. The Waller stable and prior BM78 win at Canterbury give solid credentials, though his Heavy track exposure is limited (1 start, no win). Jockey Grima's cold recent form (0 from 20) is a worry, but tactical map advantage and stable strength keep him a top-three contender.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · Anna Roper

Madrina is the standout heavy-track form runner. With likely leaders limited and Madrina mapping to settle top three from barrier 6, she fits the Rosehill heavy-track winning profile perfectly - tactical speed, momentum conservation, and proven wet-track action.

Our price $12.00 · SP $51.00 · William A Stanley

Shall Be projects as the genuine leader and has elite soft track form (10:5-2-0). While unproven on Heavy, his soft-going profile is the next best indicator, and his first-up record (1 win, 1 placing from 4) suggests he's ready. The Rosehill heavy bias strongly favours leaders, and he's the most likely to control tempo.

Our price $25.00 · SP $51.00 · Winona Costin

Silver Serenade is the forgotten heavy-track specialist with the dream barrier. Class rise is real but heavy conditions equalise quality dramatically.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Louise Day

Super Nui represents an outstanding wet-track profile fit for the Rosehill heavy track bias. With 2 wins from 4 heavy starts including dominant prep wins at Hawkesbury and Wyong, plus a strong barrier 3 draw and proven on-pace tactics, she ticks every box the track summary demands. Louise Day's strong association (3 from 10) and the 2nd-up improvement profile add further confidence.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00

The only concern is unproven heavy-track ability, but her racing pattern and barrier give her every chance to control proceedings.

Our price $10.00 · SP $6.50 · Alysha Collett

Barrier 1 is ideal for the strong leader bias the track summary highlights. While first-up stats are modest, the perfect track/distance/condition profile and Alysha Collett's strong Rosehill record make her significantly underpriced. Each-way value play.

Our price $8.00 · SP $14.00 · Andrew Adkins

Touristic is the ideal Rosehill Heavy profile - inside barrier 3, proven 2000m at this track on Heavy 8 (2nd in Listed January), and tactical speed to take a forward position. The track bias data strongly favours runners drawn 1-6 with on-pace tactics, and Touristic ticks every box. Adkins knows the horse having won the Canberra Listed in March.

Our price $13.00 · SP $51.00 · Regan Bayliss

Sayedaty Sadaty draws the inside alley which is hugely valuable on the Rosehill Heavy bias. Proven black-type winner with the Maher stable, and Regan Bayliss should be able to use the rails draw to secure a forward position - the dominant winning profile at Rosehill on Heavy ground.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Braith Nock

The class rise is the question mark, but his trajectory is upward and the stable/jockey know him well. Forward-settling style suits the Rosehill Heavy position bias even from barrier 9. Wet credentials are adequate.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.80 · Braith Nock

Won at Rosehill on debut at track and placed on Heavy. Recent placings behind Lightning Glory and at Randwick show he's racing at this level. Barrier 14 is the concern on a position-based Heavy track but Nock should work across early. Class profile and trajectory make him the most likely winner.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.00 · Andrew Adkins

Just Response brings exceptional career numbers (43% win) and just finished 6th behind stablemate Lightning Glory last start at Scone. Two wins prior showed genuine class progression. The major question is the sharp class rise and Heavy 8 track suitability with only one wet run (3rd place).

Our price $8.50 · SP $4.80 · Mitch Stapleford

Applaud is the genuine value runner. The horse has a perfect 2:2-0-0 record on Heavy tracks including a Bench 64 win on Heavy 8 at Newcastle, an outstanding 4:2-0-0 first-up record from the Snowden stable, and a strong distance record (6:3-0-0). His only true negative is the 126-day freshen and apprentice jockey.