Bairnsdale tips and results

Our price $20.00 · SP $10.00 · Melea Castle

Now Perform is a zero-win mare but gets a huge chance from barrier 1 in a race without genuine speed. The tempo projects slow, and she can lead or sit just off it.

Our price $33.00 · SP $21.00 · Liana Wood

Bon Aurelia is a struggling mare but gets a decent draw and the lightest weight. Her only placing came on soft ground over 1400m but that was over a year ago. She is hard to trust but in this weak field and with a good map, she could snag a minor placing.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.50 · Zac Spain

Hoi Village draws the inside barrier and adds blinkers for debut, which should help it jump cleanly and hold a forward spot on this tight 1000m circuit. The Moody/Coleman stable is excellent with debutants and jockey Zac Spain is in good recent form. While the heavy track is a query, the tactical advantage and stable confidence make it the most likely winner.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · Jake Noonan

The tongue tie first time could help her settle and finish better. The main risk is the wide draw and inexperience.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.00 · Valentin Le Boeuf

Admire Mercury is the most reliable form runner in this Maiden. He has placed in 2 of 3 starts, both on Heavy ground, and ran an encouraging 2nd at Moe last time. Barrier 5 gives him a good chance to settle forward and use Bairnsdale's short straight. While he still seeks a maiden win, his consistency and wet-track credentials give him a clear edge over many unraced or first-up rivals.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Adam Mc Cabe

She also ran 4th at Bairnsdale on a Heavy 8 over 1000m, suggesting this tight circuit suits. While her recent form includes 8th at Sale, she wasn't beaten far.

Our price $15.00 · SP $9.50 · Jason Maskiell

Lochend Princess is progressing with placings in her last two runs at Sale, including a narrow 2nd. The query is heavy ground debut, but her dam side offers some stamina.

Our price $3.00 · SP $5.00 · Lachlan King

Determinato has been a model of consistency with five placings from seven starts, highlighted by a strong second on Heavy 8 at Cranbourne. He maps well from barrier 5 and should again be in the finish. He may just lack the class edge over Colour Circle but is a solid each-way play.

Our price $15.00 · SP $11.00 · Jake Noonan

Frank Whisper made a modest debut on Heavy 9 at Sale but is a well-bred Frankel colt from the M Laurie stable, which does well with its horses. He steps to 1600m and may appreciate the trip.

Our price $10.00 · SP $31.00 · Melea Castle

Little Richie Turf comes off a strong win over this track and distance on Heavy 8 just 32 days ago. He has outstanding heavy track credentials with 3 wins from 17 starts and is proven at the mile with 4 wins. Drawn well in barrier 7, he can settle handy and is the most reliable wet-track performer in the field.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Teodore Nugent

Proven Record has drawn ideally in barrier 4 and shown she can handle wet ground, winning over 1600m on Soft 7 and placing on Heavy 10 last start. She drops slightly in grade from a Rest62 and is lightly raced with upside. Expect her to settle just behind the speed and be strong late.

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.80 · Lachlan King

Give Some Lip drops sharply in class after contesting BM70 grade. He ran a credible 4th at Sandown on Heavy 8 and placed on synthetic last time. Barrier 1 should allow him to hold a handy spot. However, his heavy track record is thin and he hasn't won since early 2025.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · Thomas Stockdale

Djockovic drops in class and has a good strike rate at the distance. However, carrying 63kg on a heavy track is a concern, and his heavy form is limited.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Jake Noonan

Luckyheleft has a phenomenal record at Bairnsdale with two wins and two placings from four starts, including a second over this course and distance on Heavy 8. His last run was poor but on a Heavy10 where many struggled.

Our price $9.00 · SP $11.00 · Teodore Nugent

Auckland is a wet-track specialist with a win and place at Bairnsdale on heavy ground. Drops from BM66 to BM56, carries 59.5kg, and is reunited with Teodore Nugent who has a strong 27% strike rate on him. Maps to settle handy from barrier 9. Recent form includes a 3rd on Soft at Cranbourne.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Adam Mc Cabe

He drops from BM66 and draws well, but his jockey has a poor track record and his heavy performance is an unknown. Place chance at best.

Our price $4.00 · SP $6.00 · Jett Stanley

Headstock is the proven performer in these conditions, having won this exact race two weeks ago on a heavy track. He drops slightly in class from BM62 and brings strong heavy form. Despite the top weight and a 2kg penalty, his recent victory and tactical speed make him the horse to beat. Expect him to settle midfield and be strong late.

Our price $6.00 · SP $14.00 · Valentin Le Boeuf

I'm Dynamite is the clear second pick based on his last-start second to Headstock on this track and distance in identical conditions. He boasts an excellent heavy track record and is racing consistently. Barrier 5 and a light weight (59.5kg) suit. He maps well and should be in the finish again, making good each-way value.

Our price $15.00 · SP $91.00 · Koby Jennings

Street Swagger is a proven heavy-track specialist with four wins on rain-affected ground. He drops in class and is second up, which historically suits. His last start on this track was only fair, but the drop back to a weaker grade and his excellent heavy record make him a serious value contender.

Our price $3.80 · SP $6.00 · Craig Newitt

Palazzo Dama drops sharply in grade after contesting a Caulfield Open race. Drawn ideally and likely to race on the speed, she gets the perfect setup at Bairnsdale.

Our price $15.00 · SP $19.00 · Jackie Beriman

Ellmaknifico is an 8yo but has a strong first-up record and won fresh previously. He handles heavy ground and has placed at Bairnsdale over 1200m. In an open BM56, he offers each-way value if he runs up to his best first-up performance.