Dubbo tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.60 · Jacob Stiff

Charlotting maps to lead in a race with a slow tempo, which should suit her on-pace style. She drops from BM66 company and has recent wins on deeper tracks. While her lone Dubbo 2200m run was poor, she was fancied that day and can improve. The main concern is her record on Good ground, but she is the best chance to control the race.

Our price $5.00 · SP $11.00 · Jess Del Frari

King Cornelius returns from a poor run on heavy but had previously won a BM58 at Warren. He drops from BM66 and draws ideally at barrier 2. However, he is 0 from 3 at 2200m and may need the race to be run to suit. Best considered as a place chance in a slowly run race.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.70 · Anna Weatherlake

Bill Peyto is an honest veteran who has placed twice over this track and distance. He carried 52kg with a 3kg claim and comes off a solid 3rd in a BM66 here on heavy. The slow tempo may not perfectly suit his run-on style, but his consistency and weight advantage give him strong place claims.

Our price $8.00 · SP $20.00 · Mathew Cahill

Encampment steps down from Class 1 to Maiden which is a clear class edge. He ran a close second on a soft track and a third on good, showing he can compete at this level. The wide draw (15) is a concern but Dubbo's long straight mitigates it somewhat. Mathew Cahill is a capable rider.

Our price $14.00 · SP $5.50 · Izzy Neale

With gear changes (winkers first time) and a trainer/jockey combo that can get results, he could bounce back.

Our price $10.00 · SP $61.00 · Jake Pracey-Holmes

However, she has been disappointing lately, finishing 8th and 5th. The drop back to Maiden company and removal of blinkers could spark improvement. A risky but high-upside value play.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.00 · Jenny Duggan

The main query is the jockey's recent form, but the horse's ability looks superior.

Our price $12.00 · SP $21.00 · Gabrielle Johnston

Adviser has been racing consistently with wins at Walgett and Nyngan in similar grades. The last-start 6th came on Heavy 10 which can be ignored. The booking of in-form rider Gabrielle Johnston (4 wins from last 20) is a plus.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.50 · Ken Dunbar

Bounding Bon steps down in grade after running in BM66 company, and his recent efforts at Dubbo are solid without being outstanding. The return to Good ground and the class drop should help, while Ken Dunbar's familiarity is a plus. He maps to race on the speed and may just need a bit of luck to feature in the placings.

Our price $20.00 · SP $31.00 · Heavelon Van Der Hoven

Rocky Rich returns from a lengthy spell but has shown ability on Good surfaces with a 45% place rate. His first-up stats are passable, and the jockey/trainer combination has a good record at Dubbo.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Gabrielle Johnston

Prince Of Sepang comes off back-to-back wins, including a dominant track-and-distance victory at Dubbo. Barrier 4 allows an on-pace run in a fast tempo, suiting his style. The step up to BM74 is a concern, but his recent form and fitness outweigh that.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.00 · Jake Pracey-Holmes

The fast tempo suits her finishing kick. While she steps up in class, her recent margins suggest she can handle it. Solid place chance with win upside.

Our price $10.00 · SP $13.00 · Izzy Neale

Ruby Harmony has the speed to settle handy from barrier 4 and carries only 53.5kg. She is the main value in the top three.

Our price $15.00 · SP $16.00 · Jasmine Urquhart-Warren

His last two runs on wet ground can be forgiven. From barrier 1 he can either lead or sit right behind a fast tempo, and the 1400m suits. He is a genuine value runner in an open BM58.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.80 · Anna Weatherlake

However, the predicted very fast tempo could work against it if it over-races. Still, its consistency (placed in 3 of last 5) and class drop suggest it will be competitive. A strong winning chance.

Our price $12.00 · SP $81.00 · Hollie Hull

She has been contesting Open company and now drops into a BM58, where she is well weighted with 53kg. Her record at 1400m is strong (5 wins, 6 seconds from 24 tries). From barrier 3 she can settle in the first four. While her recent form lines aren't flashy, the class drop and light weight can produce a career revival.