Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Western Australia · Saturday 18 July 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 6 races at Derby. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Angel Like You is the most upwardly trending runner in a weak race. Drawn 2, she can settle just off the speed and avoid the wide running that has troubled others. The class rise from Maiden to Class B is a query, but in this low-grade race she may not need to improve much to win.
He is the only obvious leader in a race likely to be run slowly, which suits on-pacers at Derby. However, his recent form is unconvincing with two heavy defeats at Broome. The very light weight (53kg) is a plus but the horse needs to bounce back.
Moment In The Sun is the most experienced horse at this level, having raced in Class 2 and BM58+ company. He has placed at Broome over 1435m and is consistent without winning. He should be in the finish but is more likely to place than win.
Wicked One is a big risk fresh off a long layoff, but his win at Kununurra last spring shows he can handle this level. Drawn 3 and carrying only 57kg (including claim), he maps to get a soft run just behind the speed. The 307-day break is a major concern, especially on a tight track where fitness matters.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Power To Rule | 5 | Ebony Johnson | P R Bamford | 53kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Moment In The Sun | 6 | Kyra Yuill | Ms J McLaughlin | 60kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 3 | Angel Like You | 2 | Tiana Murray | S & J Casey | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Principal Dealer | 4 | Rosie Mahony | P R Bamford | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Matsoka | 1 | Jessica Gray | Leigh Murray | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Wicked One | 3 | Jason Li | Roy Rogers | 57kg | $13.00 |
Viva Marconi is the most consistent runner in the field, having placed second in his last two starts at Broome. He maps to lead or sit handy in a race with no genuine pace, and the slow tempo should suit his running style.
Muzza's Gift has shown promise in limited runs and is drawn to get a nice run just behind the speed. The step back to 1120m could suit, and the jockey booking is positive.
Hard To Top is the only runner with a placing at Derby over this trip, coming home third in the corresponding race last year. However, the jockey's poor recent record is a concern, so she is a place chance rather than a win selection.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Viva Marconi | 5 | Tiana Murray | S & J Casey | 55kg | $1.95 |
| 2nd | 7 | Coupe Deburj | 4 | Jessica Gray | Leigh Murray | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Glyda | 6 | Jason Li | Roy Rogers | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Muzza's Gift | 3 | Casey Hunter | Ms J McLaughlin | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Hard To Top | 2 | Peter Farrell | Ms K Farrell | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Belle Belle | 8 | Rosie Mahony | Roy Rogers | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Prove Me Wrong | 1 | Kayla Holroyd | Roy Rogers | 52kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Belle Rose | 7 | Bailey Webster | K L Moore | 54kg | $21.00 |
Climb On Top brings the strongest recent form and a perfect 2-from-2 record at the 1120m journey. He won a BM70+ two starts back then placed again, indicating peak fitness. The slow tempo should suit his racing style as he can position forward. Top weight is a slight concern but he's shown ability to carry weight. The main danger.
Bayezid has the benefit of a class drop after competing in stronger races. However, his record at the exact distance is unproven (0-0-0) and recent efforts have been mixed. He is a place chance at best.
Universal Playboy is the likely leader from the inside gate and has a strong record over this distance. He steps up in class but has won at similar country tracks. The main concern is the jockey's lack of recent winners, but if he leads at a slow tempo he could be hard to run down.
He drops 5kg from his last start and may appreciate the shorter sprint.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Gift Of The Heart | 3 | Jason Li | Roy Rogers | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Lost Gravity | 5 | Peter Farrell | Ms K Farrell | 56kg | $17.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Bayezid | 2 | Bailey Webster | Casey Hunter | 58kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 2 | Climb On Top | 4 | Rosie Mahony | P R Bamford | 59.5kg | $1.60 |
| Scr | 5 | Universal Playboy | 1 | Bonnie Casey | Anthony Barton | 56kg |
Outlaw Music is the logical top pick. He drops to a career-low class (BM48+) after competing in BM50+ and Class 2. He ran a strong 3rd two starts ago and his jockey/trainer combination is firing at 24%. Barrier 3 gives him every chance to settle on-speed at a track that favours forward runners. The main concern is his low win rate, but this race looks well within his reach.
Mrs Kangaroo is the most consistent runner in the field. She won two starts ago and then ran 5th in a slightly higher grade. The drop to BM48+ suits, and she has placed at this distance before. Her jockey is in form. The main negatives are the unknown track and a moderate win rate, but she profiles as a reliable place chance and a winning threat.
Magnasonic is a high-risk, high-reward pick. However, his recent form is dreadful and his jockey is out of sorts. The gear change might spark improvement.
Berry Berry Good is the value pick. He is the only horse in the field with a win at Derby, having won this exact race last year. He drops significantly in class from BM58+ to BM48+, which should help. His recent form is poor but he's had a freshen-up.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Outlaw Music | 3 | Casey Hunter | Casey Hunter | 59.5kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Mrs Kangaroo | 6 | Kayla Holroyd | Leigh Murray | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | City Of Sin | 5 | Bailey Webster | K L Moore | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Vernacular | 4 | Jessica Gray | Leigh Murray | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Magnasonic | 7 | Peter Farrell | Ms K Farrell | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Purple Circle | 2 | Rosie Mahony | Roy Rogers | 60kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Hey Bull | 1 | Ebony Johnson | Ms C Godden | 53kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Berry Berry Good | 8 | Tiana Murray | P R Bamford | 58.5kg |
Close Talker has been racing consistently in BM58+ company, recently winning over 1200m at Broome and placing last start. Drops into BM56+ off a 60.5kg impost but gets the services of Kyra Yuill who has won with the trainer previously. The moderate tempo and on-pace bias at Derby should suit her handy style.
Topaz broke through with a strong win at Broome over 1435m three weeks ago, beating a similar field. She has placed at Derby over 1400m before and gets in light with Jason Li's 3kg claim. The moderate pace should allow her to stalk the leaders and use her fitness. The main query is the jockey change, but Roy Rogers' horses are in form. She is a definite winning threat.
Ima Wild Girl has the ideal profile for Derby: she has won over 1400m here before, draws to lead, and gets in with just 52.5kg after the claim. Her recent form is mixed, including a close second two starts ago before fading last start. The moderate pace suits her style. However, the jockey is unproven and she needs to bounce back.
Karsavina drops sharply from metro Class 1 to country BM56+ after a moderate first-up run at Belmont. The blinkers go back on, which should help her focus. With only 55kg and a reasonable barrier, she maps to settle midfield and finish off.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Play Dice | 3 | Kayla Holroyd | Roy Rogers | 56kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Bin Shalaa | 1 | Simone Altieri | Anthony Barton | 61.5kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Topaz | 8 | Jason Li | Roy Rogers | 53kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 9 | Karsavina | 4 | Casey Hunter | Robert Gulberti | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Shoulder Patch | 11 | Rosie Mahony | Ms J McLaughlin | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 4 | Fellafromdownunder | 10 | Jessica Gray | Leigh Murray | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Close Talker | 5 | Kyra Yuill | Ms J McLaughlin | 60.5kg | $5.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Ima Wild Girl | 7 | Ebony Johnson | P R Bamford | 52.5kg | $4.20 |
| 9th | 10 | Spirit Of Luna | 6 | Peter Farrell | Leigh Murray | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Hobelar | 2 | Tiana Murray | S & J Casey | 52kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 11 | Schuhbeck | 9 | Ms K Farrell | 55kg |
Do It Right brings winning momentum from a comfortable win in Bench 50+ company and already ran second in this exact race 12 months ago. With barrier 2, he can settle handy and use his late kick. Class rise is a query but the form pattern suggests he's ready for the test.
Fortune's Luck has been racing consistently in weaker grades and is fit from recent runs. The inside draw gives him every chance to control the tempo or sit just off it. The class rise is a concern but the horse is versatile and should handle the step up.
Lutz is a track specialist who won this same BM68+ contest last year. His recent form is ordinary but he has been racing in tougher company and drops in weight. If he can recapture his Derby form he's a huge threat.
Capricorn Man comes off a narrow second in similar grade and gets a valuable 3kg claim. The step up to 1800m is a query but his running style suits Derby. A genuine each-way chance at fair value.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Kings Sicario | 12 | Jessica Gray | D R Pateman | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 10 | Star Testymony | 5 | Peter Farrell | Leigh Murray | 56kg | $19.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Lutz | 11 | Casey Hunter | D R Pateman | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Civvy Street | 6 | Bonnie Casey | S & J Casey | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Capricorn Man | 9 | Tiana Murray | S & J Casey | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Magic Whistle | 8 | Simone Altieri | Leigh Murray | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Do It Right | 2 | Ms J McLaughlin | 56kg | $5.50 | |
| 8th | 6 | Alotta Dane | 10 | Jason Li | Roy Rogers | 53kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Fortune's Luck | 3 | Bailey Webster | P R Bamford | 54kg | $7.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Striking Fella | 1 | Rosie Mahony | P R Bamford | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Hafey | 7 | D R Pateman | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Rubick Lass | 7 | Kyra Yuill | Ms J McLaughlin | 56kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Street Maschino | 4 | Ms C Godden | 56kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.