New Plymouth Raceway tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.80 · Sam McNab

Misissipi Gambler is the clear top pick based on her heavy track form (2nd over 1400m Heavy9 in BM65) and class drop to maiden company. She ran well at New Plymouth on heavy earlier in her career. She maps midfield and should be strong late over 1800m.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.90 · Hayley Hassman

Hi Yo Fox Rox won impressively on Soft7 last start and looks progressive for Kim Reid. However, he is untested on heavy ground and has a small sample size. Barrier 4 helps him get a good run.

Our price $6.67 · SP $7.40 · Floor Moerman

Lacey Luck is improving sharply - she ran second at Waverley on Soft7 (1400m) then third on Awapuni Synthetic (1000m). She returns to the track where she struggled on Heavy8 earlier, but she is a better horse now and gets the benefit of a light weight and a good draw. The heavy ground is an unknown, but her recent form suggests she is close to a breakthrough.

Our price $6.67 · SP $8.00 · Joe Doyle

From the inside barrier (1) and with Joe Doyle aboard, she maps perfectly to settle handy and run a big race.

Our price $12.00 · SP $12.30 · Elen Nicholas

Tulsa King is a classy animal who has raced in Group company. He returns from a spell in easier grade and has previous success at New Plymouth on heavy. Risky but high-upside play.

Our price $2.50 · SP $2.30 · Sam McNab

Drommy is the clear form horse, having won impressively on Heavy9 over the same trip last start. His heavy track record is perfect from one attempt and he maps nicely from barrier 7. The main knock is jockey Sam McNab's recent cold streak, but they combined for that win.

Our price $9.00 · SP $16.90 · Ashlee Strawbridge

She draws barrier 2, carries only 53.5kg, and retains Ashlee Strawbridge who is riding well. While the win was unexpected, the form is solid and she gets every chance to confirm it.

Our price $25.00 · SP $64.40 · Elen Nicholas

She is second-up today and likely to strip fitter. From barrier 6, she can settle handy. A high-risk, high-reward option.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.60 · Hayley Hassman

Don's Legacy brings the best recent form, having won on Heavy10 at Woodville then placed 3rd at Te Rapa on Soft7. Drawn barrier 2, he can settle handy and utilise his strong heavy record (8:2-2-0). In a race where on-pace runners are less favoured in BM65 handicaps, his tactical speed and proven wet form give him a clear edge.

Our price $7.00 · SP $17.80 · Craig Grylls

Belles Fate tumbles in class after struggling in BM75. Her heavy track form is outstanding with 2 wins and 2 placings from 5 starts, and she has won at this track. The booking of Craig Grylls signals serious intent.

Our price $5.00 · SP $10.10 · Jonathan Riddell

Zanzibar is the standout on suitability: he has two wins at this track and distance on heavy ground, and his overall heavy record (1 win, 4 places from 9) is among the best in the field. Drawn ideally in barrier 2, he maps to get a soft run midfield and finish strongly, which aligns with the BM75 pattern favouring closers. His last-start 4th at Arawa Park was solid, and he won a BM82 here last year.

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.30 · Ashlee Strawbridge

Scarlet Temple is a genuine heavy-track mare with three wins from seven starts on the bog. She arrives off a confidence-boosting victory at Arawa Park, where she settled back and finished powerfully. Her light weight (53.5kg) is an asset on the heavy surface, and Ashlee Strawbridge has a 50% strike rate on her. Though she hasn't raced at New Plymouth, her running style suits the track bias for closers in BM75 handicaps.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.90 · Toni Davies

Wire Rope has a fantastic record at New Plymouth with two wins from two visits, both on rain-affected ground. He drops sharply from Open class back to BM75, which should see him improve. His last start in Open company was okay, and he won a BM75 here on Heavy10 earlier this year. The main query is the step up to 1600m and whether he can run out a strong mile on heavy, but his class edge and track affinity compensate.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.60 · Amber Riddell

Bonnard is the clear form horse with four wins from his last five starts, including a strong Open win over 1400m on Soft7. He has solid heavy track credentials (won 2 of 3) and a favourable inside draw. The class rise to Listed is a concern, but his run of dominance suggests he can measure up.

Our price $8.00 · SP $22.10 · Elen Nicholas

Kaimai Queen comes off a strong runner-up effort in a Listed race on Heavy10 at Tauranga. Barrier 5 gives her every chance to settle handy and she has a proven heavy track record.

Our price $10.00 · SP $5.30 · Lynsey Satherley

Joshua Brown is a proven heavy-track performer who won this very race 12 months ago on Heavy10. He hasn't been at his best recently but a close second two starts back suggests he's not far away.

Our price $2.70 · SP $5.00 · Craig Grylls

Astoria Brooke is a heavy-track specialist with three wins from five attempts on the bog. She comes off a smart win at Te Rapa over 1600m in Open company and has Craig Grylls in the saddle (21% strike rate at New Plymouth). Barrier 4 should allow her to settle handy and she maps well. The only queries are the lack of course experience and the step up to 1800m, but her pedigree suggests she will stay. The clear top pick.

Our price $6.50 · SP $3.00 · Floor Moerman

Tobias is a genuine course specialist with five wins at New Plymouth and a strong heavy track record. He ran a close 2nd last start and should be competitive again. Barrier 5 is ideal. However, his jockey is out of form (0 wins from 20) and he is stepping to 1800m for the first time. He rates as a place chance rather than a win pick.

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.10 · Masahiro Hashizume

Pick Of The Litter offers value as a horse who has proven ability at this track and distance, finishing 2nd in an Open race over 1800m on Heavy8 last year. He won on Heavy10 two starts ago and has light weight and an inside draw.