Mildura tips and results

Our price $2.40 · SP $4.00 · Alana Kelly

Renege brings the deepest experience in the race and has been racing right at this level consistently, including a closing 2nd last start. However, 20 starts without a win is a real red flag, and this is more likely to be minor placing than the breakthrough win.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.90 · Ryan Hurdle

Defy Gravity is unexposed with only 3 runs, leaving some upside given lack of true exposure, and gets a positive jockey booking locally. Included as a placing chance based on lack of true exposure rather than demonstrated ability.

Our price $11.00 · SP $13.00 · Alana Kelly

The drop back to 1200m first-up is the main query, but the consistent placing pattern and professional racing manners suggest this gelding is well overdue to break through, making it a leading each-way threat.

Our price $15.00 · SP $19.00 · Jack Martin

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.00 · Linda Meech

First-time blinkers and tongue-tie suggest stable intent to sharpen her up.

Our price $15.00 · SP $31.00 · Chelsea Taylor

Our price $14.00 · SP $26.00 · Jackie Beriman

Mr Zeus's best form line came on a Good track at a similar distance, finishing a close second, suggesting today's conditions suit him better than recent starts indicate. His barrier 1 draw is a plus at Mildura.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.50 · Will Gordon

A genuine top-three chance who should get the ideal running position at Mildura's speed-favouring 1000m circuit.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · Jackie Beriman

Listening Is Doing is on an improving trajectory, racing at a suitable class level with a good recent placing fresh off a spell run. Second-up today with a strong in-form rider aboard, he profiles as thereabouts in a race with a genuinely fast tempo that could bring back-markers into play late.

Our price $12.00 · SP $41.00 · Bradley Vale

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.90 · Jackie Beriman

Eau De Cologne is racing at the right level, coming off a narrow defeat in a Bench 56 race and a win before that. This is the most complete profile in the race on recent evidence.

Our price $9.00 · SP $31.00 · Jack Martin

Stepping up slightly in class but the upward trajectory and sound recent efforts make this a value each-way proposition capable of running into the finish.

Our price $11.00 · SP $31.00 · Ryan Hurdle

Oh Lovey No offers each-way value given her excellent placing record and prior success at today's track and distance.

Our price $7.00 · SP $13.00 · Carleen Hefel

Second-up with a positive record fresh, dropping in class, and drawn to get a positional advantage.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.80 · Steven Vella

Formidable Force drops significantly in grade today and was competitive at a similar level last preparation, finishing 2nd narrowly beaten. However, being first-up after a lengthy 162-day spell with a poor first-up record (0 wins from 5) tempers confidence.

Our price $8.00 · SP $26.00 · Sarah Field

Sauer is a lightly-raced 3-year-old dropping sharply in grade after competing against much stronger Bench.62 company. The booking of in-form jockey Sarah Field (25% recent strike rate, particularly strong at Mildura) is a significant positive signal.

Our price $3.80 · SP $7.50 · Jack Martin

Her improving trend and fitness (12 days since last run) make her the standout form pick over a moderate-tempo 1400m that suits on-pace/handy runners.

Our price $3.50 · SP $6.00 · Steven Vella

Her recent runs against much stronger opposition show she retains ability, and the blinkers-off change adds interest. The wide barrier is a slight concern at Mildura but with tactical pace she should find a workable position.

Our price $10.00 · SP $41.00 · Sarah Field

Solar Mist arrives fresh off a win and carries strong recent-form momentum with a red-hot rider aboard. The extremely wide barrier (18) is the major concern at a track that shows a moderate inside bias, but her professionalism and current form trend offset this enough to include as a each-way threat rather than top selection.

Our price $8.00 · SP $21.00 · Alana Kelly