Grafton tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Ben Looker

Durness produced her best performance last start, closing well for 2nd over 1720m at Grafton on Soft5. She has a solid wet-track record and the same rider stays aboard. With a forward midfield position from barrier 8, she maps to be in the front three by the 400m - the key winning zone at Grafton. She represents the strongest form line in the race and should break her maiden.

Our price $8.00 · SP $17.00 · Bailey Wheeler

Happy Coffee is hard to recommend confidently but the gear change and barrier draw give her a chance in this moderate field. She has placed on soft before and Bailey Wheeler is a positive booking. If the blinkers sharpen her early speed, she can sit handy and maybe hold on for a place.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.70 · Raymond Spokes

Morebar maps perfectly from barrier 1 and should lead or sit just off it. Grafton on Soft heavily favours front-three runners. His recent 2nd on Heavy 10 and 4th on Good suggest he's close to breaking through.

Our price $7.00 · SP $17.00 · Bailey Wheeler

Sea Turtle returns from a spell but his only poor run was on Soft. He placed well on Good and has gate 2 to find a forward spot.

Our price $15.00 · SP $51.00 · Frederick Larson

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.10 · Olivia Dalton

Tryanza is the standout on form with excellent Grafton statistics, including two wins and a narrow third at this track and distance. He drops from Class 3 to BM58, bringing strong class credentials. His on-speed running style and favourable barrier 6 align perfectly with Grafton's leader-biased pattern. The recent 3rd on Soft 5 confirms he handles the going.

Our price $10.00 · SP $7.00 · Mikayla Weir

The Lupercal brings strong recent consistency with consecutive placings in Class 3 company, and now drops to BM58 grade. However, his lack of wins at 1100m and on soft ground tempers confidence. Still, he represents a solid place chance and is likely to be in the finish.

Our price $12.00 · SP $15.00 · Archie Mc Colm

Zucchero faces a significant class drop from Class 3 to BM58, which could spark improvement. The wide barrier and jockey's poor form are negatives, but if he can slot in behind the speed, his class may prevail.

Our price $8.00 · SP $21.00 · Siabh Rigley

He has a consistent record on soft ground and at Grafton, with two seconds from five starts. The wide barrier is a concern, but his on-speed style and good track experience should help. He looks underpriced and is the best value play in the race.

Our price $10.00 · SP $9.00 · Dylan Turner

Personal Space draws the inside gate and has a solid wet-track pedigree. He is a genuine on-pace runner who should hold a forward position, fitting the Grafton soft-track bias. His recent form is reliable and the step back to 1100m is suitable.

Our price $6.00 · SP $2.70 · Archie Mc Colm

Red Chick is a promising filly who has shown ability in her short career. She ran well on this track last start over 1215m and drops slightly in distance. Her barrier and the claim give her a good tactical advantage, but her lack of a soft-track win and the jockey's recent form are concerns. She rates as a place chance.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Grady Spokes

Balmierro comes off a strong Class 1 win over 2200m on soft ground, showing a sustained finishing burst. Drawn inside, he can sit just off the lead and pounce. The 3120m is a query, but he has placed over 2350m at Grafton. With the slow tempo likely, his turn of foot could prove decisive. He is a solid each-way chance but the distance is a slight unknown.

Our price $10.00 · SP $18.00 · Nathan Thomas

Mimessi is a genuine stayer who appreciated the rise to 2100m last start with a dominant win. He has the crucial experience over 3170m at Grafton, running 4th on Soft7. Barrier 8 is manageable if he can slot into midfield. The jockey's poor recent form is a negative, but the horse's suitability to the trip and track makes him the best value of the top three.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Dylan Turner

She gets in light with 55kg and Dylan Turner's 2kg claim effectively drops her to 53kg.

Our price $7.00 · SP $13.00 · Nick Heywood

Sinatra is lightly raced and has genuine ability, as shown by his maiden win on soft and a Class 1 victory on heavy. His last start was disappointing but he was tackling a BM66. If he can find the front, he could give a big sight.