Eagle Farm tips and results

Our price $3.50 · SP $4.40 · Ben E Thompson

Clear form standout after a narrow second at Eagle Farm on identical Good 4 going. Gollan-Thompson axis is the strongest in the race and the horse maps as progressive. Wide gate is the main query but class and recent near-win edge him as the most likely maiden winner here.

Our price $11.00 · SP $26.00 · Michael Rodd

Respectable debut effort when fourth beaten just over a length. Lees-Rodd combination adds credibility and the filly should improve with that experience.

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.30 · Mark Du Plessis

However barrier 11 is a clear negative on this rail and Good surface that heavily rewards top-3 at the 400m from inside gates. Still the main danger if she can cross or find cover, but map makes her vulnerable and overbet relative to Exceed The Sale.

Our price $12.00 · SP $31.00 · Cejay Graham

Honest placegetter who has already run well at both 1110-1200m and at Eagle Farm. Second-up off a solid fresh 4th and drawn to settle handy. Clear value runner for exotics and each-way.

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.00 · Corey Sutherland

Complete form blank but the standout map advantage. Barrier 1 is gold at Eagle Farm 1000m on Good with the rail out; inside runners hold a clear statistical edge. In a maiden short on reliable form he is the logical second chance purely on draw and connections.

Our price $11.00 · SP $26.00 · Danny Peisley

Another clean-slate runner drawn perfectly. Barrier 2 gives every chance to settle handy on a track that rewards early position. Peisley is riding well and the stable has two in the race.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.50 · Jag Guthmann-Chester

Standout form horse for this exact setup. First-up record includes a placing, she maps prominently, and the Good surface suits.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · Leah Martyn

Highest-quality overall form profile. Last-start nose second at this track on Good, places both first-up runs, and carries only 53kg for the lethal Gollan/Martyn combination. Barrier 10 is the sole major negative on a +12m rail, but form and weight edge keep her firmly in the win mix.

Our price $11.00 · SP $16.00 · Jake Bayliss

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.80 · Ben E Thompson

Riez Souvent is the progressive 3yo with winning momentum and the strongest connections. Last-start Ipswich win and prior placing show upward trajectory, but the jump to BM70 plus Good-track and distance queries keep him behind Natoya on pure form. Still a clear second chance if he handles the rise.

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Sean Cormack

Four wins from nine starts, two of four first-up, and drops sharply from a Group 3. Barrier 4 lets her settle handy under moderate tempo. Southern form is strong and the Good surface suits. Main risks are the spell and lack of local knowledge, but the upside is clear for a strong placing chance.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.80 · Ben E Thompson

Freeland is well-found with Thompson riding in career-best form and the Munce yard. The long spell and wide gate are negatives on a track that favours inside on-pace runners, so she is more place than win, but connections lift her into the top three.

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.50 · Jai Williams

Giapponese stands out on pure form for this Open. Midfield map fine in slow tempo. Class and conditions suitability override recent ordinary runs and jockey form. Clear winning chance ahead of lower-grade risers.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.50 · Ben E Thompson

Last-start win and barrier 1 suit the Good on-pace bias, with Thompson riding well. However class rise and zero Good wins temper win claims versus proven Open horses.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Robbie Dolan

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.00 · Brandon Lerena

Clear form standout with back-to-back strong runs at/near this level, including a narrow BM70 defeat. Maps perfectly from barrier 3 in a slow-tempo race that suits on-pace types. Most likely winner on pure form.

Our price $6.00 · SP $15.00 · Cejay Graham

Consistent BM70 form and a jockey who rides the track well. Strong each-way overlay who can run into the first three.

Our price $11.00 · SP $21.00 · Leah Martyn

Iconify won his Maiden over this exact track and trip only four weeks ago yet is friendless after a poor Class 2 effort. The Gollan-Martyn combination strikes at 30% and the gelding retains upside at the mile.