Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Northern Territory · Wednesday 29 July 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Darwin. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Garrix holds the strongest pure form case via the class drop from a solid Open third over 2050m and a dominant Rest64 win at this track/trip. As a progressive 3yo he maps to lead and dictate the projected slow tempo. Barrier 8 and weight are negatives on the Fannie Bay bias, yet the overall class and recent winning form outweigh them for win priority in a Restricted 62.
Beau Factor offers the most reliable profile among the locals with consistent placings at this exact track, trip and grade. While lacking the upside of the younger class droppers, his pattern of fighting out finishes makes him the clearest each-way threat and logical second pick on form solidity.
Iknowhatyouredoing is the clear overlay.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Biden Time | 7 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 58kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 2 | Garrix | 8 | Raymond Vigar | Michael Hickmott | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Girls Girls Girls | 2 | Jason Lyon | Ms K Petrick | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Mummsie | 5 | Aaron Sweeney | Ms K Petrick | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Iknowhatyouredoing | 3 | K J Lamprecht | 57.5kg | $4.00 | |
| 6th | 6 | Anphina | 1 | Lek Maloney | Ms K Petrick | 53.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Mr Jones | 6 | Jade Hampson | Kym Healy | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Beau Factor | 4 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Terry Gillett | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
Improving trajectory, solid place stats and a workable gate 4 outweigh the trip query and top weight on a Good surface that suits.
Faberge Tzar brings the best course-and-distance credentials and draws the prized inside alley. A Rest 66 win and subsequent Rest 62 placing at 1600m show he is effective at this level when not over-faced. Slow tempo and gate 1 allow him to control proceedings; the recent Open thrashing is forgiven as a class mismatch.
The drop to 56kg and proven Good-track ability make him a genuine threat if the race develops into a grind. Reliable each-way profile in a volatile Restricted field.
Kieffer offers clear value.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Stomp''em | 4 | Jade Doyle | Kym Healy | 60kg | $2.45 |
| 2nd | 2 | Hopeless Romantic | 3 | Billy Cray | N J Dyer | 59kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 3 | Faberge Tzar | 1 | Jason Lyon | Andrew Perdon | 58kg | $2.80 |
| 4th | 5 | Kieffer | 5 | K J Lamprecht | 56.5kg | $9.50 | |
| 5th | 4 | The Accelator | 6 | Lek Maloney | Ms K Petrick | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Danger Man | 2 | Jade Hampson | Chris Pollard | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 8 | New Enterprise | 7 | Paul Shiers | Peter Stennett | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Machine Man | 8 | Aaron Sweeney | Ms K Petrick | 55kg | $41.00 |
Galaxy General maps perfectly for Fannie Bay 1200m Restricted 62. Recent win in the grade at the track and trip, followed by a solid 3rd from a wide gate, confirms fitness and suitability. Barrier 2 and 56.5kg are major advantages on this inside-bias circuit under a slow tempo. Proven local and distance record edges the lightly-raced but less-established rivals for pure winning chance.
Cavendish brings the strongest class edge after a solid first-up 2nd in Rest70. Second-up statistics and the drop in grade are clear positives for a progressive lightly-raced type. Barrier 5 is workable and the Hampson booking is a plus.
If I Was You is hitting form hard with consecutive seconds, the latest a narrow defeat under 61kg. Jason Lyon’s outstanding combination stats and track record provide a clear edge. Barrier 7 is the main negative on this circuit, yet the horse’s tactical speed and fitness make it a genuine threat if it can settle midfield and finish.
While recent margins have been plain and the jockey is out of form, the map and raw ability at this level create genuine each-way value in a volatile Restricted 62.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Cavendish | 5 | Jade Hampson | D Leech | 60.5kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 2 | Limited Risk | 6 | Jade Doyle | Kym Healy | 60.5kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | If I Was You | 7 | Jason Lyon | Chloe Baxter | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Cap Ten | 1 | Ianish Luximon | Kym Healy | 60kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 4 | The Final Word | 3 | D Leech | 60kg | $14.00 | |
| 6th | 6 | Romantic Love | 4 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Terry Gillett | 58kg | $3.80 |
| 7th | 5 | Galaxy General | 2 | Jessica Booth | G Clarke | 56.5kg | $3.70 |
Clear form standout. Proven at Fannie Bay over 1100m with ideal barrier 4. Todd/Clarke combo fires at 18%. Weight is a query but class and fitness edge override in this low-grade sprint. Most likely winner on pure form.
Reliable local with a win at the track and distance. Maps to settle handy in a moderate tempo. First-up record is only fair but overall suitability and current fitness profile place him firmly in the top chances behind the form leader.
Same trainer as All Inclusive suggests stable confidence. However, complete lack of local form, major gear changes and ordinary recent performances in the west mean he is overbet relative to proven locals. Still a top-three chance on barrier and connections alone in a volatile Class 2.
Prime map horse. Barrier 1 and likely lone or joint lead in a moderate tempo is gold at Fannie Bay. Light weight and prior track win add appeal. Clear overlay for a horse that can dictate terms in a low-reliability Class 2 sprint.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Southampton Flare | 7 | Jason Lyon | Chloe Baxter | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Forgetaboutit | 2 | Jade Doyle | Philip Cole | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Order Online | 3 | Jessica Booth | G Clarke | 57kg | $3.30 |
| 4th | 6 | Sassy Abbey | 1 | Wayne Davis | Philip Cole | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 1 | All Inclusive | 4 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 60.5kg | $2.45 |
| 6th | 5 | Predicting | 5 | Raymond Vigar | Ms T Halter | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Private Tender | 8 | Hannah Le Blanc | Philip Cole | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Mlinzi | 9 | Jade Hampson | Philip Cole | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Dynasty Reward | 10 | Richard Bensley | K J Lamprecht | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Charlie Magic | 6 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Terry Gillett | 53.5kg | $9.00 |
Littlebourkestreet maps ideally from barrier 1 and brings the strongest recent form, finishing second in this exact grade and trip three weeks ago.
Down The Wicket drops sharply in grade after a solid 4th in BM76 and has already placed in Restricted 66 company this campaign. Four wins at the trip and a favourable barrier 3 make him the clearest danger.
From barrier 4 he can take up a prominent position and use his proven turn of foot. Age and the Fannie Bay win drought are negatives, yet the raw ability and class relief make him the best of the rest for a top-three finish.
Miami Vice is a genuine Fannie Bay specialist with four track-and-distance wins and a strong overall place record. Light weight and course knowledge give him each-way value if he can overcome the wider gate.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Littlebourkestreet | 1 | Deborah Barton | Paul Shiers | 55kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 2 | Down The Wicket | 3 | Raymond Vigar | K J Lamprecht | 59.5kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Real Valentia | 4 | Jade Doyle | Kym Healy | 60.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Juice Box | 5 | Richard Bensley | Tommy Logan | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 4 | Miami Vice | 6 | Jessica Booth | Philip Cole | 55kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Tellez | 2 | Lek Maloney | Ms K Petrick | 56kg |
Standout form horse via major class drop after competitive BM68 run here just 4 days ago. Perfect barrier 2 on this tight turning track with inside bias, maps on-pace to control slow tempo. Multiple prior maiden seconds underline readiness to break through against genuine maidens. Clear top chance on pure form and map.
Maps to lead or dictate slow tempo from barrier 5.
Reliable local form with last-start second at Fannie Bay and another second prior. Wide barrier is the main query on a draw-sensitive track, yet overall consistency and map midfield keep him firmly in the finish in a slow-run maiden.
Lightly raced filly has improved with each run, finishing third last start at the track over 1200m. Maps midfield and can capitalise if the race develops into a sprint home. Clear each-way value against more exposed maidens.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Entrapment | 5 | Jade Hampson | D Leech | 56.5kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 2 | Saxon Beach | 6 | Wayne Davis | Philip Cole | 59kg | $19.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Forever A Diamond | 2 | Jade Doyle | Kym Healy | 56.5kg | $3.30 |
| 4th | 5 | D''ambidex | 4 | Jason Lyon | Kym Healy | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Epic Jewel | 1 | Jessica Booth | Kym Healy | 53.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Brave Heritage | 3 | Aaron Sweeney | N J Dyer | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Meet Me At The Bar | 8 | Richard Bensley | Chris Nash | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 9 | Vinolent | 7 | Billy Cray | N J Dyer | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Fabres | 9 | Raymond Vigar | Ms T Halter | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
His Rest 70 win here and class drop from Open give him a clear form edge over exposed types.
Orion The Hunter is a genuine Fannie Bay 1300m specialist with two wins at the trip and a last-start third in Restricted 76. Barrier 4 lets him use his natural forward pattern under the moderate tempo.
However the wide gate 12 is a genuine negative on this turning track and drops him below the better-drawn form horses for win purposes. Still a high-probability place chance if he can find cover.
Five-time Fannie Bay winner who has won at 1300m and maps to control a moderate tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Anson Bay | 12 | Richard Bensley | Chris Nash | 58kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 9 | Rossanado | 11 | Paul Shiers | Paul Shiers | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Bon''s Your Back | 6 | Hannah Le Blanc | Tommy Logan | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Genetic Freak | 8 | Raymond Vigar | Ms T Halter | 60kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Shisuta Bo | 2 | Ianish Luximon | Kym Healy | 59kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Awash | 9 | Aaron Sweeney | G Clarke | 58.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Princess Pancakes | 1 | Lek Maloney | Ms K Petrick | 54.5kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Wallenda | 3 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 59.5kg | $3.40 |
| 9th | 11 | Time To Baca | 10 | Jade Hampson | Philip Cole | 54kg | $7.50 |
| 10th | 6 | Orion The Hunter | 4 | Vanessa Arnott | Jason Manning | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Lucky Fortuna | 5 | Jade Doyle | Kym Healy | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 12th | 3 | Hamlet Von Snitzel | 7 | Jason Lyon | Chris Pollard | 59kg | $101.00 |
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