Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Wednesday 29 July 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Randwick Kensington. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Blinkers go on for the first time with James McDonald booked for Waller, mapping as a leader in a slow-tempo Soft race where top-three at the 400m dominates. Despite exposure, current trajectory, gear change and map make her the pure form standout to break her maiden.
Claudel is ultra-reliable with four straight seconds and a perfect soft-track record. She maps on-pace from barrier 4 under Rawiller for Waller in a race shape that favours leaders.
Crown Of Fire ran a solid 4th in Open company on debut and now drops sharply into a maiden with the perfect barrier and light weight. The untried 1550m and lack of soft evidence are queries, but the class edge and draw give her genuine claims in a race that can suit progressive types.
Ironblood Empress has finished a close fourth at both starts, including at this track, showing she belongs in the grade.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Crown Of Fire | 1 | Tim Clark | C Maher | 55kg | $3.40 |
| 2nd | 3 | Artgirl | 3 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 7 | Gold Globe | 6 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | David Payne | 54.5kg | $51.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Claudel | 4 | Nash Rawiller | C J Waller | 59kg | $2.70 |
| 5th | 5 | Rebel Shield | 2 | Alysha Collett | G Portelli | 57kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Ironblood Empress | 5 | Chad Schofield | Brad Widdup | 54.5kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Phantom Major | 7 | Siena Grima | C J Waller | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Divine Heights | 7 | Zac Lloyd | David Payne | 57.5kg |
Elle Hudson maps perfectly as likely leader from barrier 2 in a slow-tempo 2400m on Soft. Last-start Newcastle BM64 win on identical Soft 5 was authoritative, defeating several of today's rivals while handling 60kg. Soft specialist credentials (3 wins) and improving form override the class rise and trip query. Strongest pure form case.
Soft specialist (3 wins) who can settle handy from barrier 4 in the slow tempo. Progressive lightly-raced profile suits Kensington Soft priors.
War Ribbon offers the deepest 2400m experience and drops in grade from BM78. Soft-track wins and Zac Lloyd engagement give him claims, and the midfield settle is viable if tempo lifts.
My Greek God is the value overlay. Barrier 1 and featherweight 52kg allow a far better position than the backmarker map suggests in a slow race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Elle Hudson | 2 | Sam Clipperton | Joseph Pride | 58.5kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 4 | War Ribbon | 5 | Zac Lloyd | David Payne | 55.5kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 5 | Spacetime Legend | 3 | Grant Buckley | Joel Wilkes | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Sablonneuse | 4 | Brock Ryan | Ms T Bateup | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 7 | My Greek God | 1 | Siena Grima | Matthew Smith | 52kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Chuckler | 6 | Reece Jones | Jack Pilkington | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Unmatched | 7 | Alysha Collett | Matthew Kelley | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Bellini Spritz | 8 | William A Stanley | P Messara & L Gavranich | 54kg | $12.00 |
Clear form standout. Prior Group 2 and Group 3 placings give a decisive class buffer in this Maiden. Second-up and maps perfectly from barrier 5. Kensington Soft favours this profile of lightly-raced, on-pace progressive types.
Debutant that has won both trials stylishly on Soft and Heavy, the latest over 1050m. Barrier 4 and 54kg are perfect for Kensington Soft.
Waller colt resumes after two dominant trial wins, including a Heavy 8 success. Earlier Group 3 exposure and Soft 7 third give him the class and wet credentials required. Barrier 11 is the main query on the tight Kensington circuit, yet the fitness edge and grade drop make him a genuine winning threat if he can land midfield or better.
Resuming after solid trials for Maher.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | Sequinned | 2 | Zac Lloyd | C J Waller | 54kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 14 | Wanda's Spark | 4 | Andrew Adkins | Michael Freedman | 54kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Eviction Notice | 5 | Tim Clark | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56kg | $2.25 |
| 4th | 12 | Threads | 10 | Sam Clipperton | C Maher | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 6 | Astaire Legend | 15 | Tyler Schiller | L J Bridge | 56kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Muscle Beach | 7 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Bryce Heys | 55.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Epic Legend | 1 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | L J Bridge | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Amazone | 6 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 56kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Isawyou | 14 | Alysha Collett | David Pfieffer | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Appin Opal | 9 | Rachel King | David Pfieffer | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Anthropoid | 3 | Chad Schofield | Brad Widdup | 56kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Ghostbuster | 13 | Regan Bayliss | Joseph Pride | 56kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Saturday Party | 12 | Dylan Gibbons | M, W & J Hawkes | 56kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Steel Will | 11 | Tommy Berry | C J Waller | 56kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Viva Viva | 16 | Ms A Turner | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Bellagio Beach | 8 | Ms A Turner | 58.5kg |
Deep Pleasure stands out on pure form as the most reliable at BM72 level. Slow tempo and Kensington Soft bias to top-3 at 400m heavily favour her map. Progressive profile fits the track winner template.
Miss Kim Kar is the clear next-best on form. Strong last-start 3rd in BM78 on Heavy 9 at Randwick shows she handles wet and the class drop to BM72 is a major plus. Soft wins and handy barrier suit the Kensington pattern perfectly.
Consistent place record and soft form are positives, but the jump from Class 1 is a genuine query. Still rates a top-3 chance on map and ability if she handles the grade.
Twisted Queen offers clear value as a soft-track specialist with three wins from six on the surface. Lightly raced profile matches Kensington Soft winner trends and the blinkers-off change plus grade drop give upside.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Concordia Wind | 5 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 61.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Deep Pleasure | 1 | Braith Nock | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Twisted Queen | 7 | Regan Bayliss | Joseph Pride | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Emballee | 6 | Siena Grima | C J Waller | 54.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Miss Kim Kar | 3 | Rachel King | Bjorn Baker | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Cuesta | 4 | Zac Lloyd | Bjorn Baker | 57.5kg | $4.20 |
| 7th | 8 | Ivy Legend | 2 | Tommy Berry | C J Waller | 56kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Pierata's Gem | 8 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg |
Champagne Hero maps perfectly from barrier 1 as a genuine leader on a Soft Kensington track that heavily favours on-pace runners. Progressive profile, top connections and the Soft-5 surface all align.
The 53.5kg impost is a major plus and he is race-fit.
Roma Green is the improver of the race. Two early wins and a solid Soft second last start show upward mobility. He maps on-pace which is critical at Kensington and the Baker/King combination is a strong intent signal. The class and distance rise are the only queries, yet his raw ability and map give him genuine top-three claims.
Forecaster has placed in three of his last four BM72 runs on Soft/Heavy and maps to lead or sit handy from barrier 4 under only 54.5kg.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Champagne Hero | 1 | Tim Clark | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 58.5kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 5 | Forecaster | 4 | William A Stanley | P M Perry | 54.5kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Conchiero | 9 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 9 | Roma Green | 6 | Rachel King | Bjorn Baker | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Interjection | 3 | Nash Rawiller | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 61kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Tanglewood Jimmy | 8 | Shannen Llewellyn | W T Wilkes | 53.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Charleroi | 7 | Zac Lloyd | Nacim Dilmi | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 3 | Hot Bandit | 2 | Brodie Loy | Luke Pepper | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Acheson | 5 | K Dryden & L Snowden | 56.5kg |
Expect to finish strongly when leaders fold.
Maps midfield to exploit the predicted very fast tempo and has the tactical speed to be top-three at the 400m.
Vella's Best owns elite soft and sprint credentials plus a major class drop and Nash Rawiller. The very fast tempo is a clear negative for a projected leader, yet the horse's resilience and wet-track strength keep it firmly in the first three chances if it can rate.
Speck is the clear overlay. Massive class drop from genuine BM82 seconds, elite soft/distance stats and a barrier that allows a midfield trail into the fast tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Vella's Best | 6 | Nash Rawiller | G P Vella | 59kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 5 | Rantan | 5 | Mollie Fitzgerald | R J Quinton | 56kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 2 | Winning Proposal | 1 | William A Stanley | John Thompson | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Century Song | 3 | Tommy Berry | R & L Price | 60kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Pleasurize | 4 | Brodie Loy | Luke Pepper | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Shall Be | 7 | Braith Nock | M S Minervini | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Albany Road | 9 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 8 | Occult | 8 | Adam Hyeronimus | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Speck | 2 | Reece Jones | R P Northam | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Navy Steel | 10 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 56kg | $31.00 |
Engine Room is the clear form standout. Second-up record is elite, he owns this track and soft ground, and James McDonald is a major plus. Slow tempo and Soft 5 bias favour his adaptable midfield style. Progressive profile and class consistency make him the most likely winner despite the weight.
Transcend drops sharply from Group company into a winnable BM72. Wet-track form is excellent, first-up stats stack up, and the Freedman/Berry team is reliable. Soft 5 and 1300m suit. Maps midfield but has the class to overcome a slow tempo if she gets a clean run.
Pierata's Gem is well-handicapped at the bottom of the weights and brings genuine soft-track ability. Last-start 4th in BM78 was honest and she maps for a clean run. Second-up and the claimer booking add upside. Ideal for the Soft 5 and a place chance with win upside if the tempo stays slow.
Cosmeena is a genuine soft-track weapon dropping from Listed grade.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Cosmeena | 5 | Rachel King | M C Vella | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Little Beginnings | 10 | William A Stanley | K A Lees | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Anthracite | 6 | Adam Hyeronimus | Joseph Pride | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Transcend | 9 | Tommy Berry | Michael Freedman | 58.5kg | $3.90 |
| 5th | 14 | Dashing Rupert | 3 | Ashley Morgan | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 15 | Show 'em Howl | 1 | Alysha Collett | R J Agnew | 58kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Stagnum | 14 | Tyler Schiller | M, W & J Hawkes | 60kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Mamushka | 4 | Zac Lloyd | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 58kg | $4.80 |
| 9th | 12 | Motoscafo | 11 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | John Thompson | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Engine Room | 8 | James Mc Donald | Bryce Heys | 60.5kg | $2.80 |
| 11th | 13 | Sharp Shock | 13 | Reece Jones | R P Northam | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 2 | Balkans | 12 | Siena Grima | Richard Litt | 58.5kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Winston Hills | 16 | Nash Rawiller | Matthew Smith | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Steel Strike | 15 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Satness | 17 | R & L Price | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Three Arrows | 2 | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Pierata's Gem | 7 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 54kg |
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