Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Western Australia · Saturday 1 August 2026
Our top pick won 1 of 8 races at Belmont Park. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Want A Winner presents the strongest formline in the race - a genuine 50% strike rate, proven at the track/distance/going, and partnered by a jockey in red-hot form at Belmont. Slight query second-up but excellent fresh runner.
Consistent recent form and clear course/going suitability make him a leading rival to the top pick, sitting just behind on official assessment.
Capper Thirtynine arrives after a suitable class relief from tough Victorian midweek/city grades, with solid overall and Soft-track form.
Hubble's Dragon is a classic lightly-raced, progressive type that the Belmont Soft data says to back - two wins from six starts with a strong first-up record.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Sunny Honey | 6 | Paul Harvey | D R Harrison | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | The Calabrese | 4 | Clint Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 56.5kg | $2.70 |
| 3rd | 5 | Want A Winner | 5 | William Pike | S & J Casey | 56.5kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 8 | Hubble's Dragon | 7 | Holly Nottle | D L Morton | 52.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Capper Thirtynine | 3 | Chris Parnham | Aaron Mitchell | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 1 | Ice Pick Nick | 8 | Steven Parnham | S V Vahala | 60.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Speed Dream | 1 | Jason Whiting | R J Piercey | 59kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Atlantic Spirit | 2 | Brad Parnham | N D Parnham | 55.5kg |
She fits the exact profile Belmont Park rewards on Soft ground: classy, fresh, and capable of racing off any pace position.
Bird's The Word arrives with credible recent form, having placed last start at this same track and distance under similar wet conditions. While his second-up statistics are unremarkable, his overall resilience and course experience make him a solid third pick capable of running into a place, particularly with the neutral run-style bias on Soft ground suiting his游off-speed pattern.
A genuinely progressive mare in career-best form, dropping class from stronger grades and boasting an excellent record on soft ground.
Her placing form at similar class levels and suitable inside barrier make her an interesting swooper option in a race where run-style is close to neutral on Soft ground - an overlay relative to her assessed winning chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | In Confidence | 3 | William Pike | D L Morton | 56kg | $1.18 |
| 2nd | 8 | Classic Impact | 2 | Brandon Louis | Daniel O'Connor | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Bird's The Word | 8 | Alex Hearn | Charlotte Skerritt | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Deel Her In | 1 | Steven Parnham | T M Andrews | 56kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Kelora | 5 | Laqdar Ramoly | N D Parnham | 54kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Celebrity Prince | 4 | Brayden Gaerth | Mack Hall | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Odinaka | 7 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 58kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 1 | The Crimson Pirate | 4 | Chris Parnham | D L Morton | 59kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Diamonds'n'rubies | 6 | Holly Watson | Mitchell Pateman | 55.5kg |
The drop in class from BM72+ suits, and Soft ground neutralises typical barrier/run-style disadvantages.
His high place strike rate (53%) and proven Soft-track form make him a leading threat, even though his win rate lags. The neutral run-style bias on Soft suits his tactical versatility from barrier 8.
Swingman arrives from a much stronger Open grade with a striking run of minor placings, suggesting he is unlucky not to have more wins. Proven on Soft and Heavy ground, and boosted by an outstanding jockey combination with Parnham, the drop in class could see him translate placings into a win first-up, though fitness after 84 days is a slight query.
Her barrier draw and adaptability suit the neutral run-style bias here, though her last-start flop is a mild concern.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Excess Baggage | 6 | Holly Watson | Luke Fernie | 54kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Girls Day Out | 5 | Brad Parnham | D L Morton | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Lord Shiva | 8 | Holly Nottle | Mitchell Pateman | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Long Service Leaf | 1 | Chris Parnham | N D Parnham | 57kg | $2.50 |
| 5th | 4 | Swingman | 7 | Steven Parnham | J P Taylor | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 1 | Sinful Living | 9 | Cassey Martinan | D & B Pearce | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Amaroo Star | 4 | Chanel Cooper | Simon Miller | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Bonnie Lad | 3 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 54.5kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Big Me | 2 | Joey Azzopardi | Rebecca Bayliss | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
True Fiction is the model of consistency, with 6 placings from his last 7 runs and a strong soft-track record. His barrier draw is favourable and he has already won at this exact grade. The query mark is his rider's poor recent strike rate at this specific track, but the horse's underlying profile is rock solid.
Champagne Crusader boasts a genuine track/class-relevant win in February and drops significantly in grade today after a tougher recent campaign.
Roaming America offers each-way value as a talented, lightly-raced type stepping down in class off a spell.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | True Fiction | 7 | Paul Harvey | D R Harrison | 59kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Mia Gusto | 12 | Holly Nottle | G J Kersley | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 13 | Village Girl | 11 | Shaun O'Donnell | Takahide Ikenushi | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Roaming America | 6 | Brad Parnham | Mack Hall | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 9 | Slick | 9 | Brandon Louis | Ms J Erkelens | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Lucky I Am | 3 | Chanel Cooper | J P Taylor | 56.5kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Amarlime | 13 | Clint Johnston-Porter | A G Durrant | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Cosmic Treat | 1 | Chris Parnham | D T McAuliffe | 54.5kg | $4.80 |
| 9th | 1 | Ruler Rocket | 10 | Cassey Martinan | B V Watkins | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Cawarra | 4 | Laqdar Ramoly | N D Parnham | 54kg | $19.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Bonny Rock | 5 | Holly Watson | Mack Hall | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Pat's Last Bang | 8 | Steven Parnham | A W Maley | 55kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Champagne Crusader | 2 | Chloe Azzopardi | Simon Miller | 58.5kg |
Top-class, lightly-raced filly with genuine credentials - won last start at this exact track defeating today's key rival Godspeed. Soft track winner, in career-best form, second-up today which suits based on history. Barrier is a mild concern but the Belmont soft bias is barrier-neutral. Best combination of proven class, recent form and suitability.
Barrier 14 is a slight concern but Soft ground neutralises barrier bias more than Good. Strong second pick.
The gelding operation and lengthy freshen-up create query marks, but the quality of engagement suggests genuine confidence.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Godspeed | 14 | Clint Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 56kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 10 | Head And Shoulders | 1 | Steven Parnham | Russell Stewart | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Western Splendour | 6 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | D R Harrison | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Non Reflective | 13 | Brad Parnham | Luke Fernie | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 5 | The Persian God | 11 | Patrick Carbery | Mitchell Pateman | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 9 | God's Hammer | 5 | William Pike | D L Morton | 56kg | $3.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Countersunk | 2 | Jason Whiting | L P Luciani | 56kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 14 | Axopar | 7 | Holly Nottle | D L Morton | 52.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Paul Party | 3 | Holly Watson | A W Maley | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Trickster | 10 | Chris Parnham | A G Durrant | 56kg | $17.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Ronny's Secret | 4 | Troy Turner | Darren Taylor | 56kg | $91.00 |
| 12th | 1 | They'reallsisters | 12 | Paul Harvey | D R Harrison | 57.5kg | $3.70 |
| 13th | 13 | Flying Temptation | 9 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | Darren Taylor | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 14th | 11 | Irresistible Man | 8 | Taj Dyson | A W Maley | 56kg | $201.00 |
Optimus Prime ticks every box for the Belmont Soft profile: lightly raced, progressive, won last start fresh, drawn to get a run, and partnered by the track's leading rider.
The one blemish is no Soft-specific form, but her Heavy win and overall wet-weather adaptability suggest she'll cope. Fits Belmont's chalk-trusting Soft profile as a leading in-form runner.
Sherpa Express arrives with superior class credentials from Listed grade, a big drop in company that should suit. However, the lengthy spell, unconvincing first-up record, and out-of-form rider dent conviction as the outright banker.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Yes I Know | 7 | Clint Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | God's Gate | 9 | Steven Parnham | N D Parnham | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Get Out Mick | 8 | Jade Mc Naught | B S Seinor | 54kg | $91.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Rock The Market | 2 | Brad Parnham | Simon Miller | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Ripper Farooq | 10 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Optimus Prime | 4 | William Pike | Michael Grantham | 54kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Sherpa Express | 3 | Holly Nottle | D & B Pearce | 58.5kg | $1.90 |
| 8th | 4 | Hard Solo | 6 | Chris Parnham | A W Maley | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Catch The Red Eye | 1 | Patrick Carbery | Sue Olive | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Leetron | 5 | Holly Watson | F R Kersley | 56kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Allentown | 6 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | C & M Gangemi | 57kg | |
| Scr | 8 | High Pressure | 6 | Shaun O'Donnell | P W Rowe | 56kg |
Sensessional presents the strongest formline in the race - a genuine Listed class runner dropping into BM84+, with excellent soft-track credentials (4-1-1 from 8) and a track record of winning first-up at Belmont in this exact grade. Good barrier and slow tempo suit its versatile racing style. Represents the most complete package on form.
Long layoff is a slight concern but the horse has placed first-up before and drops back from Listed grade. Represents a live each-way threat with genuine upside given the closer-friendly Soft track bias.
Second-up and fresh, she maps well from barrier 8 in a tactical race. The major concern is a moderate soft-track record, but current form and consistency are compelling enough to warrant a top-three placing rather than outright top pick.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Too Dardy | 1 | Shaun O'Donnell | Ms J Erkelens | 54.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Angel Undercover | 8 | Chris Parnham | S & J Casey | 56.5kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 8 | Snippy Which | 12 | Joey Azzopardi | A G Durrant | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Sensessional | 2 | Clint Johnston-Porter | D & B Pearce | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Without Reg | 3 | Holly Watson | Rhys Radford | 55.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Rokanori | 4 | Jordan Turner | C & M Gangemi | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Silver Eye | 10 | Holly Nottle | A G Durrant | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Triple Jay | 5 | Brad Parnham | D & B Pearce | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Outspoken Lad | 7 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | D & B Pearce | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Currimundi | 6 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 54.5kg | $26.00 |
| 11th | 1 | Captain Pluto | 11 | William Pike | G & A Williams | 60kg | $10.00 |
| 12th | 7 | Boots Like Bruce | 9 | Alex Hearn | Dexter Aiken | 56kg | $101.00 |
Berry Blast presents the strongest form case in the race - a genuine in-form mare dropping in grade off a narrow win, with consistent placings and proven versatility on Soft footing. Fits the Belmont Soft template of classy, lightly-raced, recently-placed types perfectly.
Vexatious Rose is building strong form with back-to-back placings/wins and looks well suited to the demands of this Soft track profile.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Belle Journee | 3 | William Pike | Ms C Stelmach | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Right To Silence | 9 | Laqdar Ramoly | C G Willis | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Vexatious Rose | 8 | Shaun O'Donnell | Jeremy Easthope | 57.5kg | $3.60 |
| 4th | 3 | Changing Guard | 1 | Holly Nottle | D T McAuliffe | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Showlas | 12 | Brad Parnham | David Catarino | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Proportrait | 6 | Jade Mc Naught | Robyn Cottman | 55kg | $20.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Starwalker | 13 | Chanel Cooper | Ms J Clements | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Berry Blast | 2 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Simon Miller | 58.5kg | $2.80 |
| 9th | 10 | Canny Jack | 7 | Alex Hearn | Ms C Stelmach | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Statewide | 10 | Steven Parnham | N D Parnham | 59.5kg | $19.00 |
| 11th | 1 | Mr Talentino | 11 | Chloe Azzopardi | Campbell McCallum | 60kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 11 | No Peer | 4 | Victoria Corver | Ms D Riordan | 55kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Side Show | 5 | Brandon Louis | Dylan Bairstow | 55kg |
Before the races, not after
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