Toowoomba tips and results

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.00 · Karl Zechner

Linwar is a lightly raced 5yo who has already won at this exact track and distance. He was below his best first-up over 1200m at Toowoomba, but the step back to 1300m and second-up fitness should suit.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.50 · Sariah Champkin

The concerns are a winless Toowoomba record and an inexperienced local jockey, but her raw speed and fitness progression make her the best of the rest behind the top two.

Our price $9.00 · SP $20.00 · Scott Sheargold

Ma's Epic is the value runner. Her third in a Class 4 over 1000m at the Gold Coast reads well against this Class 3, and she is one of the few in the field with synthetic-track form - a useful pointer at Clifford Park. She drops back in grade and has drawn favourably in barrier 4.

Our price $6.50 · SP $3.60 · Aidan Keeley

The Cops has the strongest recent form line outside the winner, finishing a narrow second in the same race Good Philly won, and his 23% career win rate is the best of the leading hopes. From barrier 1 he can control the race on a track that heavily favours on-pace runners. He still rates third with genuine place value.

Our price $7.50 · SP $12.00 · Kelsey Lenton

Caitlin is the value runner of the race. She meets the top chances on far better terms than last start, drops 2.5kg, and gets Kelsey Lenton, who has a strong record at this track.

Our price $11.00 · SP $26.00 · Sariah Champkin

He has been racing consistently in Open company and now drops to BM75 with just 55kg. His overall place rate of 36% adds each-way appeal. Concerns are obvious: no Toowoomba form, no wins in three attempts at 1110m and Sariah Champkin is 0-from-12 at the track.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Gary Geran

I Wasonly Nineteen is the unknown factor in this race.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Kelsey Lenton

Her overall record is modest, but the pattern is upward: a 4th at Gatton was followed by a competitive 5th at Toowoomba, and Kelsey Lenton is an excellent track specialist. With a moderate tempo likely, she should be prominent throughout.

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.00 · Aidan Keeley

Our price $10.00 · SP $9.00 · Brandon Lerena

He finished fourth on debut at Toowoomba over 1000m, and that experience at the track is an asset in a maiden full of unraced rivals. The 210-day break is a concern, but the stable has kept him in work and drawn barrier 4, which suits the track's handy bias. He is a place chance rather than a strong win hope.

Our price $6.50 · SP $15.00 · Harrison Shaw

Best map in the race from barrier 2 and a likely leader in a slow-run 2175m maiden. He finished third behind #5 last start but was carrying 2.5kg more and has since dropped 1.5kg. At a track that strongly favours prominent runners, the inside draw is a significant advantage. He remains winless and is first try at the trip, but the on-pace profile gives him a strong each-way chance.

Our price $7.50 · SP $5.50 · Olivia Kendal

He finished fifth behind #5 and #2 last start while giving weight away; a 4kg weight drop and Tarzino stamina help at 2175m. However he is winless in seven starts and was beaten 30 lengths at 2150m previously.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Scott Sheargold

Roughie with genuine place claims. His second at Toowoomba over 1890m on Good shows he can run well on the synthetic, and barrier 1 gives him every chance to settle handy. The risks are clear: no wins from eight starts and he has failed to back up his best run. Small each-way play only.