Second-up-style consistency and a positive jockey combination make this the pick to finally break through, especially with the race set up as tactical with no clear leader.
New South Wales · Saturday 8 August 2026
Kembla Grange tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
JJJ Racing Mdn Hcp
Concrete Storm looks the most likely leader in a field lacking genuine speed, a significant positional advantage at Kembla Grange where on-pace runners dominate.
Adaptation is a genuine, oft-placed maiden runner with strong second-up statistics and previous placings on Good tracks including at Kembla Grange. While not the sharpest closer, the consistency and suitability of today's conditions make this a leading contender against a field of largely unproven or lightly performed rivals.
- 1st4SkystoneKeagan Latham$2.45
- 2nd7WonkaLee Magorrian$2.60
- 3rd5Barr TurnChristian Reith$26.00
- 4th6Over The MountainMitchell Bell$41.00
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Skystone | 6 | Keagan Latham | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 58kg | $2.45 |
| 2nd | 7 | Wonka | 1 | Lee Magorrian | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 5 | Barr Turn | 8 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Over The Mountain | 7 | Mitchell Bell | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Argansort | 5 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Odin's Eye | 2 | Grant Buckley | M, W & J Hawkes | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Adaptation | 3 | Brock Ryan | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 58kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Concrete Storm | 9 | Jean Van Overmeire | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 56kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Zensen | 4 | Robyn Freeman | G Portelli | 56kg |
Bluestone Building Mdn Hcp
Barrier 4 sets up a workable forward position at a track that heavily rewards runners in the top three at the 400m. The blinkers add sharpens her further. She looks the most reliable, in-form runner in a moderate-tempo race that suits her forward-based tactics.
Promenade drops significantly in class from Open grade races and looks the most likely leader on a good, position-based Kembla track. Barrier 2 and lone-leader status give her a strong tactical edge in a moderate-tempo race. Her placing form against much stronger company suggests real ability, though the new lugging bit gear change bears watching. A more than valid winning chance.
Still would not be surprised to see her go well, but ranks marginally below the top two on latest form trajectory.
As a lightly-raced, improving type she fits the profile of winners at Kembla Grange perfectly.
- 1st7Yangzi RiverLee Magorrian$3.70
- 2nd6Mark Of GloryKeagan Latham$15.00
- 3rd8Rebel EleganceMitch Stapleford$16.00
- 4th10MobiliseJean Van Overmeire$41.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Yangzi River | 1 | Lee Magorrian | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 6 | Mark Of Glory | 5 | Keagan Latham | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Rebel Elegance | 3 | Mitch Stapleford | Peter Snowden | 54.5kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Mobilise | 10 | Jean Van Overmeire | Peter Snowden | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Promenade | 2 | Mitchell Bell | Michael Freedman | 57kg | $2.30 |
| 6th | 11 | Isotropic | 6 | Adrian Layt | W A Hudd | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Che Ole | 4 | Brock Ryan | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 58kg | $4.60 |
| 8th | 2 | Thinkshe's Ausbred | 7 | Brodie Loy | Brad Widdup | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Machrihanish | 11 | Louise Day | Richard & Will Freedman | 55kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Farfetched | 8 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Written About | 12 | Molly Bourke | Matthew Smith | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Zoudawnie | 9 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 56kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Nambi Ghima | 7 | J C Coyle | 55kg |
Master Builders Association (Bm64)
Majorian was narrowly beaten last start in this exact grade, track and distance, showing he is racing well and suited to today's task. His distance record (3 wins from 8) and course form make him the most reliable form-based pick, with a suitable barrier and in-form rider adding confidence.
Celebrity arrives after a big drop in class from BM78 grade, having won twice from just five starts.
Longinus arrives in career-best form, having won last start over today's exact distance. The step up in grade from Class 1 to BM64 is a query, but the elite jockey/trainer combination and improving profile make him a genuine threat to the top selections.
Kirkuk is a genuine Kembla Grange specialist with a strong record at the track including several placings in similar company.
- 1st2CelebrityMitchell Bell$2.90
- 2nd3KirkukDeon Le Roux$8.00
- 3rd4LonginusChristian Reith$2.80
- 4th1MajorianOlivia Dalton$3.70
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Celebrity | 6 | Mitchell Bell | Bjorn Baker | 61.5kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 3 | Kirkuk | 2 | Deon Le Roux | J & G Lee | 54.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Longinus | 3 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 57.5kg | $2.80 |
| 4th | 1 | Majorian | 5 | Olivia Dalton | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 60kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 6 | Gemtiki | 8 | Olivia Chambers | S Harvey | 53kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Zizette | 4 | Jess Taylor | Ms K Gavenlock | 55kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Anulfa | 7 | S B Hill | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Dunwithya | 1 | Jean Van Overmeire | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 55kg |
Your Next Stop Wests Illawarra Provincial (Bm68)
The fast-tempo speed map suits hisika midfield-to-on-pace running style, and he arrives fitter than any first-up rival in this field.
His first-up statistics are strong and connections know how to have him fit fresh.
Up The Front is racing consistently without a recent win but shows solid top-4 form across a mix of grades.
- 1st3ZaragozaJean Van Overmeire$2.00
- 2nd2SatnessBrock Ryan$10.00
- 3rd4C'mon MateChad Lever$13.00
- 4th1GunroomDeon Le Roux$3.60
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Zaragoza | 5 | Jean Van Overmeire | R & L Price | 60kg | $2.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Satness | 2 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 61kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | C'mon Mate | 4 | Chad Lever | Ross McConville | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Gunroom | 3 | Deon Le Roux | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 59kg | $3.60 |
| 5th | 5 | Up The Front | 7 | Leeshelle Small | Blake Ryan | 54kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Pretty Sassy | 8 | Louise Day | Joseph Ible | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Change The Date | 6 | Poppie Gorton | Donna Grisedale | 52kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Surf Sonic | 1 | Jeff Penza | Ms K Outtrim | 55kg | $101.00 |
Jansz Midway Mdn Plate
Grand Carousel presents the strongest form case in this maiden - a model of consistency with three placings from five runs, including a solid 3rd at this track last start.
Quick back-up from a promising Illawarra run suggests a horse on the rise. Lightly-raced profile fits Kembla's preference for progressive types, making this a genuine threat to the top selection.
Copartner Pegasus offers the most tested profile in the race with consistent placings across nine runs and multiple track conditions.
- 1st6Green WinterJeff Penza$5.50
- 2nd11Grand CarouselJean Van Overmeire$7.00
- 3rd3Coral CoveJess Taylor$4.20
- 4th16Nambi GhimaMitchell Bell$12.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Green Winter | 6 | Jeff Penza | Blake Ryan | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 11 | Grand Carousel | 9 | Jean Van Overmeire | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Coral Cove | 3 | Jess Taylor | Ms T Bateup | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 16 | Nambi Ghima | 5 | Mitchell Bell | J C Coyle | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Flying Arabesque | 13 | Chad Lever | Ross McConville | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Frosted Amour | 11 | Claire Ramsbotham | Ms T Bateup | 54kg | $71.00 |
| 7th | 17 | Zensen | 4 | G Portelli | 56.5kg | $5.50 | |
| 8th | 1 | Bankrupt | 15 | Brodie Loy | Lee & Cherie Curtis | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Santarno | 8 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Presumptuous Gal | 1 | Louise Day | David Pfieffer | 57kg | $15.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Atossa | 12 | Lee Magorrian | Ms T Bateup | 57kg | $201.00 |
| 12th | 14 | Aureo | 7 | Molly Bourke | J G Sargent | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Copartner Pegasus | 17 | Keagan Latham | Stephen O'Halloran | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Final Spirit | 16 | Ms T Bateup | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Mr Reiby | 2 | Ms T Bateup | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Star Of Kyeema | 14 | Ms T Bateup | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Elle Tee | 10 | Ms T Bateup | 57kg |
Private Drivers Online Super Mdn Hcp
Under the debutant proxy framework, trainer strength and clear stable intent outweigh the lack of runs. Considered a genuine top-three threat but with more inherent uncertainty than the exposed runners above it.
Zinger was narrowly beaten last start in a similar-grade 1000m maiden and fits the profile of lightly-raced, in-form, distance-proven types that perform well at Kembla Grange. The barrier is workable given the track's weak barrier bias.
The wide gate is a minor concern but Kembla's barrier bias is weak, and the class/form edge should outweigh it.
She has never won but rarely runs poorly, and her second-up record supports today's assignment.
- 1st10Harry's HusseyBrock Ryan$3.60
- 2nd13YamashitaJean Van Overmeire$9.50
- 3rd12PiaffeMitch Stapleford$14.00
- 4th11Majestic LegendMitchell Bell$5.50
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Harry's Hussey | 4 | Brock Ryan | Bjorn Baker | 56.5kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 13 | Yamashita | 8 | Jean Van Overmeire | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 12 | Piaffe | 9 | Mitch Stapleford | Peter Snowden | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Majestic Legend | 7 | Mitchell Bell | L J Bridge | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 6 | Mille Feuille | 5 | Lee Magorrian | Richard & Will Freedman | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 3 | Lady Talea | 11 | Jess Taylor | J C Coyle | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Red Hot Rosie | 3 | Keagan Latham | Edward O'Rourke | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Spud Gun | 2 | Louise Day | Jack Pilkington | 58kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Definition | 1 | Jett Newman | Bjorn Baker | 56kg | $8.50 |
| Scr | 5 | Zinger | 10 | Matthew Smith | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Union | 12 | Rory Hutchings | Peter Snowden | 57kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Acrohope | 13 | Jeff Penza | Lee & Cherie Curtis | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Cool Art | 6 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg |
Omnimodal Logistics (Bm64)
All Machiavellian is the ultimate course specialist for this Kembla Grange assignment, with a formidable record at the track including multiple placings in similar grade races. While not a prolific winner, the extreme course form, ideal barrier and fitness from regular racing make this the most reliable formline in a moderately weak race.
Oneforian arrives well placed for a genuine class drop from Open-grade racing into BM64, with sound recent form including a competitive 3rd at Canberra. The booking of in-form rider Coriah Keatings, who has ridden this horse to a win previously, adds confidence. Good barrier draw supports a forward, competitive run.
Leica Storm has the best raw form profile in the race with a strong overall record and proven ability at 1400m, but the extraordinarily long spell (859 days) combined with a poor first-up record is a significant red flag. If fitness is there, the class and ability suggest a striking chance, but this is a risk that tempers conviction to third pick.
- 1st2EveridoJessica Brookes$5.50
- 2nd8SinisterChad Lever$8.00
- 3rd1Leica StormClaire Ramsbotham$11.00
- 4th5Rocco LiniBrodie Loy$10.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Everido | 10 | Jessica Brookes | K Dryden & L Snowden | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Sinister | 8 | Chad Lever | Bjorn Baker | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Leica Storm | 7 | Claire Ramsbotham | Matthew Smith | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Rocco Lini | 2 | Brodie Loy | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Bon Frankie | 9 | Glenn Cahill | Aaron Clarke | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Oneforian | 4 | Coriah Keatings | N J Olive | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 9 | October Star | 5 | Mitchell Bell | Richard Litt | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 10 | All Machiavellian | 3 | Jean Van Overmeire | R & L Price | 56.5kg | $3.90 |
| Scr | 4 | Powder Man | 6 | Jon Grisedale | Donna Grisedale | 60kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Up The Front | 5 | Leeshelle Small | Blake Ryan | 56kg | |
| 11 | Hammering Away | 1 | Jeff Penza | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Surf Sonic | 8 | Ms K Outtrim | 55kg |
Shore Goggles (Bm64)
Cuesta is the most course-proven runner in the race, with a win and two placings from three Kembla Grange starts and a 1-4-0 record from six on Good ground.
Canny Queen drops sharply in grade after a first-up run behind much better horses at Bench 74, and her second-up record (1 win from 2) is a strong positive today. She has won twice previously at this exact BM64 level and is proven at the trip.
Peschiera looks the likely lone leader in a genuinely slow-run 1400m race, a significant positional advantage at a track where forward runners dominate.
Celtic Sin has been racing consistently at the right level, winning and placing in BM64 company recently including a narrow last-start defeat. Distance form is solid and connections are strong, though the wide gate and lower suitability on Good ground temper enthusiasm slightly.
Magenta Skies drops sharply in class from Group 1 level and boasts obvious talent, but the long spell and lack of experience create some uncertainty. Gear changes suggest the stable is managing a fresh runner carefully. A live threat but not clearly superior to in-form, track-proven rivals.
Tavolo's recent form line looks modest, but it was compiled entirely in Open-grade races against much better opposition. A clear overlay relative to her assessed winning chance.
- 1st1Canny QueenClaire Ramsbotham$11.00
- 2nd3Mighty MyrtleJessica Brookes$7.00
- 3rd11Ciao Bella MiaRobyn Freeman$7.00
- 4th6TavoloCoriah Keatings$11.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Canny Queen | 3 | Claire Ramsbotham | Danielle Seib | 60kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Mighty Myrtle | 10 | Jessica Brookes | K Dryden & L Snowden | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Ciao Bella Mia | 9 | Robyn Freeman | Anthony Mountney | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Tavolo | 4 | Coriah Keatings | Rob Potter | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Cuesta | 7 | Jett Newman | Bjorn Baker | 59.5kg | $2.60 |
| 6th | 10 | Peschiera | 5 | Mitchell Bell | M, W & J Hawkes | 58kg | $3.80 |
| 7th | 8 | Think I Do | 2 | Brodie Loy | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Celtic Sin | 11 | Keagan Latham | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Spiritualistic | 8 | Jean Van Overmeire | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Magenta Skies | 1 | Rory Hutchings | Michael Freedman | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Invasive Dreams | 6 | Olivia Chambers | S Harvey | 56kg |
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