Dubbo tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.70 · Grant Buckley

The improver of the race. His trials read far better than his one race start, including a win on Heavy 8, so the Soft 7 holds no fear.

Our price $8.50 · SP $14.00 · Clayton Gallagher

Barrier 3, 55kg and a Dubbo-proficient rider add up.

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.20 · Mikayla Weir

The most reliable form line in a volatile maiden. Her wet-track record - seven soft starts for three minor placings - is the strongest proven soft profile here, which matters on a Soft 7. Barrier 6 lets Weir take a forward, ground-saving position in a slow-tempo race. The 0-from-18 record is the obvious risk, but on current form and conditions she is the most likely winner.

Our price $4.40 · SP $6.00 · Kody Nestor

Our price $9.00 · SP $41.00 · Zoe Hunt

The value angle. His only previous second-up run produced a half-length second at Parkes, and he now returns to that same stage of a preparation after a first-up hit-out over an unsuitable 900m. Barrier 1 is a significant asset on a Soft 7 at Dubbo where the map shows no genuine leader, letting Hunt dictate terms or sit one-off the fence.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.80 · Clayton Gallagher

Strong wet-track credentials with a win and two placings from five Heavy starts, including a second at Dubbo on Heavy 9 in June. Query is the win strike rate - two from twenty-five - and the untested 1620m trip. Best suited as a place proposition where his consistency is the asset rather than his finishing punch.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Jake Pracey-Holmes

The best pure Heavy-track record in the field - two wins and a second from six starts on the going. Barrier 1 helps enormously in the mud. Against him is a modest overall win rate and two ordinary recent efforts on drier ground, but conditions today swing sharply in his favour.

Our price $15.00 · SP $41.00 · Liam Blanch

Our price $4.50 · SP $9.00 · Juliet Partridge

The most reliable winner on recency and specific suitability. She has won her last two, both at Dubbo over 1100m, the most recent on Soft 5 in this exact grade beating today's rivals Street Parade and Quasimoto. Her track-and-distance record is 2 starts for 2 wins and she handles soft and heavy going. Barrier 12 and the inexperienced claiming rider are genuine risks, but a moderate tempo on a fair Dubbo soft surface lets her settle midfield and use the long straight.

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.40 · Aaron Bullock

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.40 · Gabrielle Johnston

Fit, honest and drawn to get the right run. The negatives are real: 61kg top weight, no wins from four previous second-up attempts and no Dubbo experience. He rates a strong placing chance who needs a genuine tempo and clear air in the long straight to threaten, so the each-way angle is the appropriate play.

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.00 · Jasmine Urquhart-Warren

Barrier 2 and first-time visors add to the case.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.60 · Jacob Stiff

Talented and well weighted, but asked a lot. Her 31% strike rate and Dubbo win are genuine positives, and 53.5kg on a Heavy 8 is a real advantage. Against that, she resumes from 311 days off with no first-up wins from two attempts, drops back below her best distance and draws awkwardly.

Our price $6.50 · SP $13.00 · Hollie Hull

The clear overlay. His two failures since were on Soft 5 and Good 4 ground, which masks the fact that his only Heavy 8 run produced a win at this track over a similar trip. He gets in on 53kg, draws barrier 2 and maps close to a slow tempo that Dubbo statistics say favours on-pace runners.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.10 · Chad Lever

He gets 2.5kg relief from the 60.5kg he humped at Bathurst and returns to the rain-affected ground on which he broke through. Class rise is the only genuine query.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.20 · Aaron Bullock

Proper Twelve maps beautifully as the lone leader from barrier 4 and is race-fit off a narrow Forbes second over 1400m, with a track win to his name.

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.50 · Grant Buckley

She drops 2.5kg, draws barrier 1, and picks up Buckley, a 22% winner at Dubbo. Her soft-ground form (six starts, two thirds) suggests she handles the wet, though she has never met Heavy going.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Aaron Bullock

The most complete form case in the race. Shamedy is the only runner combining a proven 1420m profile (six wins from 14 at the trip), a genuine soft-track record (27% win, 64% place) and established Open-class credentials. The projected fast tempo off five on-pace types suits a horse who settles midfield and finishes, and barrier 5 gives Bullock - riding at 25% recently and 18% at Dubbo - complete tactical freedom. Last-start third in Open grade at Grafton on Soft 5 confirms he is fit and competitive at this level.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.00 · Nick Palmer

Blinkers back on second up is a positive gear signal, and barrier 8 sits squarely in the middle-barrier band the Dubbo bias data favours. With five genuine leaders generating a fast tempo, her sit-and-sprint pattern is the right one.

Our price $8.50 · SP $6.50 · Zoe Hunt

A pure conditions-and-venue overlay. Stockholm has won two of three starts at Dubbo over this distance and scored twice at the track in June on Heavy 9 and Heavy 8 in Bench 82 grade - no other runner has that combination of track, trip and wet-ground evidence. Dubbo's own soft-track profile notes wide draws are less punitive when the ground is rain-affected, and Zoe Hunt has won on him twice.