Gunnedah tips and results

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.60 · Mikayla Weir

His Tatura second over 1000m is quality form and both his starts have come fresh, so the six-month gap is less alarming than it looks. Against him: 59kg top weight, zero soft-track experience, no recent trial in the form, and a rider whose Gunnedah record is 7%.

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.00 · Aaron Bullock

He also won a Heavy 8 trial at Scone, which is meaningful evidence for today's Soft 5. Bullock is riding at 25% over his last 20 and sticks with the horse.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Mikayla Weir

She drops in grade and handles soft ground. Sound each-way, short enough to win.

Our price $16.00 · SP $31.00 · Grace Palmer

Genuine overlay on race shape.

Our price $3.60 · SP $2.80 · Aaron Bullock

He is fit, progressing through the distances and has proven he handles rain-affected ground with a second on Soft 7. Barrier 13 and the step to 1600m are legitimate risks, but the class and finishing strength are clearly superior here.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.40 · Mikayla Weir

The strongest distance and wet-ground credentials in the race. She won over 1700m at Grafton and has been placed twice on Heavy going, including a third over 1600m at Hawkesbury, so the conditions hold no fears. Her maiden form around Sydney tracks reads a class above typical country Class 1. Last start at Scone was disappointing, but she was wide and weighted differently. Barrier 12 is the main obstacle to a winning run rather than a placing.

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.50 · Izzy Neale

Barrier 4 and a predicted slow tempo with no genuine leader hand him the map advantage at a track where being close at the 400m matters most.

Our price $5.50 · SP $21.00 · Gabrielle Johnston

The most reliable form line in a weak maiden. His record on soft is 3 starts for 2 thirds, the best proven wet exposure here, and he consistently races forward, which the slow tempo and Gunnedah's on-pace bias reward. Barrier 12 is the drawback and is why he is not the top pick, but Johnston is in good touch.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.50 · Clayton Gallagher

The most distance-suited runner in the field. Barrier 5 gives her the handy position Gunnedah demands, and her Soft record includes a win.

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.05 · Aaron Bullock

Heathcliff has only three starts, won his maiden well and ran a close third on Soft 7, and the Bullock/Messara-Gavranich combination strikes at 27%.

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.00 · Jacob Stiff

Fit, in-form and suited by conditions. Jacob Stiff stays aboard and strikes at 21% here. The barrier 12 draw is the clear negative on a circuit where wide gates have drawn a blank, so he needs luck to be within range at the 400m.

Our price $9.00 · SP $16.00 · Jordie Thompson

Overpriced on his best distance form.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.40 · Izzy Neale

The barrier 15 draw and 59.5kg are genuine concerns at a 340m-straight circuit, but he owns the early speed to hold a forward spot, which is the profile that wins here.

Our price $7.50 · SP $16.00 · Mikayla Weir

The lift to 1250m is squarely in his favour, the Weir/Singleton combination fires at 20%, and barrier 8 lets him take the handy position this circuit demands.

Our price $4.20 · SP $6.50 · Izzy Neale

The most complete profile for the conditions. Back to her right grade, 2kg lighter than her June run, drawn three and able to sit in the first half of the field before the short straight - exactly the winning shape here.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Jake Pracey-Holmes

Barrier four lets her take a forward position on a track where leaders win a third of races. The 49-day freshen and the 2kg weight rise are the queries, but the profile - fit, in form, proven at trip and on the going, and mapping handy - is the classic Gunnedah winning type.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Grace Palmer