Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Friday 14 August 2026
Our top pick won 0 of 7 races at Ipswich. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
The most exposed and most suited runner in a thin maiden. Two runs back-to-back over the trip in the last three weeks means peak fitness off just 10 days, and barrier 4 maps her handy on a circuit where being top-three at the 400m is the durable edge.
Solid, reliable and mapping well.
That is a legitimate improver's profile at a track that rewards lightly raced types.
Ear muffs first time suggest the stable is addressing her raciness. Genuine each-way overlay.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Miss Vader | 7 | Yvette Lewis | Gregory Cornish | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Love And Pain | 2 | Brandon Lerena | Ms S Croxford | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | It's Kaos | 9 | Kayla Johnston | J L Johnston | 53.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Sunset Adios | 6 | Jace McMurray | J C Smerdon | 56kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 10 | Lady Estelle | 3 | Leslie Tilley | Pat W Webster | 54kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 6 | Luminous Girl | 4 | Cejay Graham | Jack Bruce | 56.5kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Mishani Senorita | 10 | Olivia Kendal | Donna Stanbridge | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Vega Five | 5 | Taylor Marshall | G R Duncan | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Cliffs Hanger | 1 | McKenzie Apel | Sonya Dixon | 54.5kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Kid Mckinlay | 8 | Bella Youngberry | A & T Sweeney | 55kg |
The most reliable form proposition in a weak maiden. He steps to 1666m which should suit rather than trouble him, he is at peak fitness six runs in, and from barrier 6 he can take the handy forward spot the Ipswich Good pattern demands.
Heathcote and Ben Thompson is a serious combination and blinkers coming off suits the trip rise. Placed at best.
The barrier makes her. Lightly raced at just five starts with Boris Thornton an upgrade in the saddle, she is overpriced against a field of exposed non-winners.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | King Emperor | 7 | Taylor Marshall | L F Birchley | 58.5kg | $1.75 |
| 2nd | 1 | Brass Band | 6 | Cejay Graham | Renita Beaton | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | I Say I Say | 10 | Ben E Thompson | R L Heathcote | 58.5kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 2 | Chance De Lune | 2 | Adin Thompson | Ms J Aitkenhead | 58.5kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Amazara | 1 | Boris Thornton | C H Richardson | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 11 | O'reilly's Shout | 4 | Olivia Kendal | B & M Costello | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Miss Firestar | 3 | Jason Taylor | B Robinson | 56.5kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Iron Bull | 8 | Brandon Lerena | Ruby Chatterton | 58.5kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Steplika Lion | 9 | Brooke Ainsworth | Brooke Ainsworth | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 7 | The Hindustan | 11 | McKenzie Apel | Amanda Park | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Alkebulan | 5 | Micheal Hellyer | B A Gentle | 56.5kg |
70 at Doomben over 2200m, and two back defied gate 13 and 59kg to win over 2240m. He has already been competitive over this exact Ipswich 2150m trip. Barrier 5, a 1.5kg drop on his last Ipswich run, and Jake Bayliss (14% at the track) in the saddle give him the map and class edge on a circuit that rewards handy, distance-proven runners.
A reliable, in-form staying type with two consecutive thirds and, importantly, a win at the 2150m distance. With a slow tempo forecast and Ipswich rewarding runners handy at the 400m, his forward map from barrier 6 is an advantage.
The last-start winner maps beautifully — gate 2, forecast slow tempo and an Ipswich circuit that strongly rewards prominent racing. Tiffani Brooker retains the ride after steering him to victory, and the stable/jockey link is producing at 25%. The concerns are real, though: he lifts 5.5kg to 60kg top weight and has never won beyond 1800m, with his only recent 2240m attempt yielding a well-beaten seventh.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Power Pack | 6 | Georgina Cartwright | K R Kemp | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Makamae | 1 | Brandon Lerena | Stephen Sutherland | 55kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 3 | Kerkorian | 5 | Jake Bayliss | J R Bayliss | 58.5kg | $3.30 |
| 4th | 9 | Miss Dynamo | 3 | Adam Sewell | Billy Healey | 54kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Chassagne | 7 | Bella Youngberry | Todd Pollard | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Another Dazzler | 4 | Micheal Hellyer | Neil Hocking | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Launcher | 8 | Karl Zechner | Allan Chau | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 5 | Vermeer | 9 | Harrison Shaw | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 58.5kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Big Ticket Boy | 2 | Tiffani Brooker | L J Gough | 60kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Aboveforty | 10 | Benjamin Osmond | Ms P Campbell | 55kg |
Barrier 2 gives her the forward, economical spot this on-pace circuit rewards, and first-time blinkers plus tongue tie signal a sharpened effort third-up.
Solid for the placings rather than value to win.
The trip is proven with an 800m win at Kilcoy. The reservation is entirely tactical: barrier 12 on this tight circuit, mapped among six likely leaders in a projected very fast tempo, means she must either burn early to cross or concede ground wide.
A blatant overlay.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Coincide | 6 | Jasper Franklin | B A Gentle | 61kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Wax On Wax Off | 7 | Tiffani Brooker | D J Hansen | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Crypto Miss | 4 | Jace McMurray | R G Lipp | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 9 | I Am Gone | 12 | Nozi Tomizawa | J P Wallace | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Mashean | 3 | James Orman | Adam Campton | 58.5kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 1 | Sutherland | 5 | Kenji Yoshida | Amanda Park | 62kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 6 | King Of Geraldine | 13 | Chloe Lowe | Donna Stanbridge | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Before Anyone Else | 2 | Emily Lang | T J Gollan | 60kg | $4.40 |
| 9th | 12 | Top Bird | 10 | Jade Hampson | Ms S Batten | 57.5kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Shelly's Ace | 8 | Georgina Cartwright | Taryn Churchill | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Sleepy Joe | 1 | Leslie Tilley | L J Roche | 59kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Tara's Reward | 11 | Taylor Marshall | Jack Bruce | 60kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Starward | 9 | Olivia Kendal | Ms S Murdoch | 56.5kg |
The most compelling form case in the race. Hazey Hill has won both his starts at Ipswich over this trip and returns off a last-start Gatton 1600m win under 60kg. His profile — lightly raced, distance-proven, forward-settling — is exactly the Ipswich Good-track winner template, and the tight turning circuit with its on-pace bias suits a horse that has already proven he handles the geometry. The 48-day gap is the only genuine query, but he was freshened after a win and Maloney's booking signals intent.
A progressive young stayer doing everything right. He is by far the least exposed runner here with only 9 starts, and the Ipswich winner profile skews heavily towards lightly raced types beating exposed rivals. Lerena retains the ride after winning on him and the speed map has him prominent, which is the durable edge on this tight circuit. The maiden-grade formline is the only real reservation.
The genuine overlay in the race. He drops back from 2000m to his best trip, draws barrier 5 in the favoured band, and races forward — the single most durable winning pattern on this tight circuit. Youngberry is riding well.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Divil A Bit | 7 | Brandon Lerena | Ruby Chatterton | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Flying Bat | 8 | McKenzie Apel | Allan Chau | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Luconi | 4 | James Orman | Jack Bruce | 60kg | $3.60 |
| 4th | 11 | Better Yet | 2 | Nozi Tomizawa | Indiana Turner | 54kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Tewkesbury | 9 | Mitch Goring | Emma Fouchard | 57.5kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Enidzel | 3 | Tiffani Brooker | Diane Murphy | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Classique Gal | 10 | Ben E Thompson | B W Brown | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Hazey Hill | 6 | Ryan Maloney | T J Hurley | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 9th | 1 | Capo Strada | 1 | Jasper Franklin | B A Gentle | 61.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Yukanuma | 5 | Bella Youngberry | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 58.5kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Power Pack | 10 | K R Kemp | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Bolshevic Road | 9 | Taylor Marshall | R L Heathcote | 57.5kg |
She was second at this track over this trip in Bench. 65 in June and second again at Sunshine Coast in the same grade beaten a half-length, so the class and course boxes are both ticked. Bayliss regains the ride at just 56.5kg, and a very fast tempo up front should deliver targets for a midfield finisher.
The best raw win rate in the race and a genuinely in-form mare who has won and then placed within half a length across her past two. The reservation is entirely tactical: barrier 16 on a tight, on-pace-biased Ipswich circuit forces her either wide or back, and she was beaten badly from a similar gate at the Gold Coast in June. Strong enough to place, too compromised by the draw to trust for the win.
The overlay of the race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Don'tcha Think | 17 | Ben E Thompson | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 60kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 8 | Kundabung | 1 | Ryan Maloney | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Royal Gladiator | 9 | Taylor Marshall | D J Hansen | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Bolshevic Road | 6 | Bella Youngberry | R L Heathcote | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Saveur | 4 | Emily Lang | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Fiorsum Fred | 7 | Jace McMurray | Emma Fouchard | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 1 | Holy Flash | 8 | Sophie Wilcock | P P Jenkins | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 8th | 16 | Privalova | 15 | B A Gentle | 54kg | $61.00 | |
| 9th | 17 | Shes A Belle | 3 | R G Lipp | 54kg | $91.00 | |
| 10th | 11 | Echo Hunter | 11 | Jake Bayliss | P P Jenkins | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Fifth Force | 10 | Cejay Graham | Billy Healey | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 12th | 3 | Heroic Miss | 2 | Mitch Goring | A & D Simpson | 57kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Keiko Say | 16 | Jasper Franklin | J C Smerdon | 58kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Power Reece | 14 | T J Gollan | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Family Of League | 13 | P P Jenkins | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Captivate Legend | 12 | Peter Robl | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Upstart Lover | 5 | Brandon Lerena | Michael Nolan | 55kg |
Barrier 2 with Maloney is ideal for a circuit that rewards prominent racing, and her second-up record is 2:1-1-0. The 1200m question is real but her 1000m Open form is well above this class ceiling.
The best-drawn genuine chance in the race. First-time blinkers for Gollan suggests a sharpener is expected.
Back to the trip she won at first-up in her career, and the 1000m defeat last start reads better than the bare result given she was giving away her best asset - a 1200m staying-on pattern. Only two starts means real upside remains.
The overlay of the race. Iransofar won over today's 1200m at Eagle Farm two weeks ago, is unbeaten in terms of condition suitability with a 4:1-0-1 Good-track record, and gets in on the 55.5kg minimum against runners humping 60kg. A neutral barrier 10 costs little at Ipswich, where the raw gate matters far less than map feasibility.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Starlightning | 1 | Bella Youngberry | T J Gollan | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 12 | Starvecchio | 5 | Ashley Butler | Pat W Webster | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 11 | Forgotten Spirit | 2 | Ryan Maloney | David Vandyke | 58kg | $1.50 |
| 4th | 8 | Transgress | 3 | Taylor Marshall | Michael Freedman | 60kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Kinki Fish | 18 | James Orman | Ms C Allardyce | 60kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 13 | Tam Na Ghar | 15 | Ben E Thompson | Jack Bruce | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 15 | Power Hit | 12 | Nozi Tomizawa | Michael Nolan | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Chiba | 4 | Adin Thompson | G Heinrich & B Rodgers | 60kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Buckeye | 13 | Leslie Tilley | Chris & Corey Munce | 60kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Mongolian Spring | 14 | Harrison Shaw | Adam Campton | 60kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Sum Invictus | 7 | Nick Heywood | Kurt Goldman | 60kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Super Luck Dragon | 16 | McKenzie Apel | Allan Chau | 58kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Arctic Whisper | 19 | G Heinrich & B Rodgers | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Express Barbie | 8 | Boris Thornton | Matthew Hoysted | 58kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Tasman Bay | 9 | Barry Lockwood & Emma-Jane Vincent | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Iransofar | 10 | Georgina Cartwright | Desleigh Forster | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Dazzling Diamond | 20 | Ron Stewart | J L Johnston | 58kg | |
| Scr | 18 | Je Reve | 11 | Adam Sewell | Laura Anderson | 60kg | |
| Scr | 19 | Autumngirl | 6 | Adam Campton | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | Cosmic Coco | 17 | Samantha McGuren | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 21 | Starward | 16 | Ms S Murdoch | 60kg |
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