Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Western Australia · Wednesday 19 August 2026
Our top pick won 4 of 8 races at Belmont Park. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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The most reliable form line in a weak maiden. With no genuine leader engaged, barrier 4 lets her take up a forward spot cheaply, which is exactly the Belmont soft-track winning profile - within the first six at the 400m.
Gelded since, drawn to stalk from barrier 5 and ridden by a leading Belmont rider. The reservations are fitness related - 126 days off with a first-up record of 1:0-0-0 - plus no wet-track evidence.
His June 2nd over 1200m at Belmont is the best course-and-distance line in the race. Maps to be handy from barrier 8 in a slow-tempo race, which suits the Belmont soft-track pattern of being in the first six at the 400m. Wet ground and the persistent maiden tag are the risks.
He won a Lark Hill trial in July and has the barrier and weight to sit in the first half of the field, which is the profile Belmont soft tracks reward. Genuine each-way value.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Gloranardo | 1 | Jordan Turner | Rhys Radford | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Call Me Invincible | 8 | Brad Parnham | N D Parnham | 58kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Win For Buster | 2 | Jason Whiting | D R Harrison | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Rollwiththepunches | 3 | Holly Watson | Brian Kersley | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 12 | Kute As Kan Be | 4 | Jefferson Tsang | Ryan Hill | 50.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Xelcimus | 11 | Patrick Carbery | H S McLaren | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 9 | Playing Solo | 5 | Clint Johnston-Porter | D L Morton | 55.5kg | $2.90 |
| 8th | 7 | No Days Off | 6 | Lucy F Fiore | Brandon Fiore | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Merchant Trader | 10 | Shaun O'Donnell | Jeremy Easthope | 58kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Hellbent For Glory | 7 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | S & J Casey | 58kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Elegant Liaison | 12 | Holly Nottle | A W Maley | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Night Broker | 9 | William Pike | Simon Miller | 55.5kg | $9.50 |
The most reliable profile in a modest maiden. Barrier 4 with an in-form Fiore lets him settle in the first half of the field, which is the dominant Belmont winning pattern. Weight relief and first-time winkers add to a genuinely improving lightly raced 3yo.
A speculative but legitimate third pick built on class relief rather than results. The reservations are the 137-day freshen with no trial, an unproven surface and a draw that may cost her position.
The overlay of the race. He was second at Belmont over 1300m on Soft 5 a fortnight ago, the single most relevant formline in the field given today's surface and venue, and his record shows one placing from two soft-track runs and one placing from two runs at this track. Each-way appeal.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Blue Sparx | 4 | Lucy F Fiore | Brian Kersley | 55.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 7 | Boutique Belle | 1 | William Pike | Michael Grantham | 56kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 3 | Wrexham | 9 | Patrick Carbery | D M Luciani | 58kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Perfume Princess | 2 | Joey Azzopardi | Simon Miller | 53.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Hamadryad | 7 | Jefferson Tsang | S P Proudfoot | 53kg | $71.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Damage Control | 12 | Austin Galati | B M Kay | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Youanmi | 6 | Lisa Staples | Rhys Radford | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Wicked Riley | 5 | Jessica Valas | G C Ballantyne | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Beston Street | 8 | Clint Johnston-Porter | R W Price | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Shooters | 3 | Shaun O'Donnell | Ms V Chalmers | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Social Playboy | 11 | Holly Nottle | A W Maley | 56.5kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 12 | Fallen City | 10 | Chloe Azzopardi | Simon Miller | 53.5kg |
She also brings genuine Listed-level exposure, is proven at track and distance, and drops to 56.5kg. Barrier 8 is the concern in a slow-tempo race, but she has the tactical speed to sit in the first six at the 400m — Belmont's key winning marker.
New stable, elite jockey and a good gate make Brinson interesting, but the form case is thin. She has never raced at 1000m, at Belmont, or won on Soft.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Modern Girl | 7 | Lucy F Fiore | Ms S Naylor | 58kg | $2.45 |
| 2nd | 2 | Don't Wink | 8 | Giaan O'Donnell | Ms K Kersley | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Guarantor | 6 | Brad Parnham | N D Parnham | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Hez Got The Safe | 1 | Jason Whiting | G C Ballantyne | 61.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Firey Panz | 5 | Jade Mc Naught | P J Naylor | 54.5kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 7 | G'day Bloke | 2 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Summer Dickson | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Brinson | 3 | William Pike | Brandon Fiore | 58kg | $3.80 |
| 8th | 3 | Finitto Web | 4 | Cassey Martinan | B G Lucas | 56kg | $26.00 |
Back To Bondi has been placed in Class 3 at both Belmont and Pinjarra in the past three weeks, and today he drops two grades. Barrier 5 lets him settle in the first half of the field, which is the key Belmont Soft-track winning marker. Fit, in-form, well placed.
The rise to 1650m is a plus given he won his maiden over 1705m, and barrier 3 lets him hold a spot in the first six at the 400m. Wet-track record is unproven, which is the main check.
The most reliable place proposition in the race. Grandad's Adiction was a clear-cut second in Class 1 over 1800m at Pinjarra on Soft 6 last start and has a genuinely strong wet-track profile - 7 soft starts for a win and three placings. Barrier 1 with Clint Johnston-Porter is an ideal draw at a track that rewards holding position.
The clear overlay of the race. Value each-way.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Back To Bondi | 5 | Holly Nottle | T M Andrews | 58.5kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Pure Mac | 3 | Jefferson Tsang | Sue Olive | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Grandad's Adiction | 1 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Ms S L Miller | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Solo Vega | 4 | Victoria Corver | Ryan Hill | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Point Gibraltar | 10 | Brad Parnham | C & M Gangemi | 60kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 9 | So Many Stories | 7 | Jade Mc Naught | P J Naylor | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Saucisson | 11 | Jason Whiting | Ms K D'Orsogna | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Panthera Tiger | 6 | Paul Harvey | Rebecca Bayliss | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Vergrey | 9 | Shaun O'Donnell | Mollie Clark | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Universal Impact | 2 | Giaan O'Donnell | Renee Forrest | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Rock Dee Jay | 8 | Cassey Martinan | B M Kay | 51kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 11 | Gaspardo | 12 | Brayden Gaerth | S J Wolfe | 54.5kg |
The most reliable form line in the race. Barrier 9 is a material tactical upgrade, 55kg is featherweight for a stayer, and she has proven 2100m Belmont form. Non-winner risk is real, but the distance, class, surface and map all line up.
Must Be Nice won over 1760m on Soft 6 at Kalgoorlie under 60kg only ten days ago and owns the best win strike rate in the field at 25%. He has a win on soft and a placing on heavy at Belmont, so conditions hold no fear. Solid each-way rather than a confident win play.
The most improved horse in the race. The negatives are the class rise off a maiden and barrier 10 on a track that rewards forward positions. Rates a genuine place chance with upside.
Her first-up run over an inadequate 1600m can be forgiven, and she is now second up where she has a win from four attempts. Johnston-Porter's booking is a positive signal.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Dandy's Gem | 3 | Paul Harvey | Embroja Lee Altieri | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Whiskers Harbour | 13 | Brad Parnham | R C McPherson | 56.5kg | $17.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Awesome Force | 11 | Joey Azzopardi | R W Price | 58kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 3 | Delicate Warrior | 10 | Holly Nottle | D R Harrison | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 8 | Global Trip | 12 | Laqdar Ramoly | Coreen Maynard | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Hot Like Chili | 9 | Jessica Valas | G C Ballantyne | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Hanafubuki | 7 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Aaron Mitchell | 60kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 5 | Sluice Box | 4 | Shaun O'Donnell | A W Maley | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Flash Paddy | 8 | Chloe Azzopardi | Darren Taylor | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Granite Rock | 1 | Jefferson Tsang | Michael Grantham | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Obscentino | 2 | Sharni Webster | Ms K D'Orsogna | 52kg | $151.00 |
| 12th | 4 | Must Be Nice | 6 | Natasha Faithfull | Felicity Forbes-Ives | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| Scr | 7 | L'il Capri | 5 | Taj Dyson | Mack Hall | 57.5kg |
Poblano has finished first or second at six of seven career starts, is 2 wins from 4 at 1200m and has already won at this track and trip. Pike's retention for a stable he wins 32% for is a clear intent signal. Maps to sit in the first half of the field, which is the Belmont soft-track winning profile.
Hurricane Harley won over this exact course, distance and grade at its last appearance and owns the best distance record in the field at 3 wins from 8 at 1200m. Barrier 4 lets it take a handy position, which is the profile Belmont rewards on soft ground. The reservations are genuine - it is 0 from 3 first up and unplaced in two starts on rain-affected going - so it is taken each-way rather than to win outright.
The safety runner of the race. Cooper is riding at 25% over her last 20 and the stable is in form. Prefer her in the placings.
The overlay of the race. Military Power owns comfortably the best wet-ground profile here - 3 wins and 5 placings from 12 soft starts plus 2 wins from 4 on heavy - and has already won this grade at Belmont on rain-affected going. Each-way only given he will be giving away a start.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Hurricane Harley | 4 | Austin Galati | Summer Dickson | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 4 | Champagne Crusader | 13 | Chloe Azzopardi | Simon Miller | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Lucky I Am | 10 | Chanel Cooper | J P Taylor | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Poblano | 5 | William Pike | J F Miller | 57kg | $2.80 |
| 5th | 9 | Fantaxtic | 2 | Holly Watson | Mitchell Pateman | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Catch The Red Eye | 11 | Patrick Carbery | Sue Olive | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Divine Inanna | 1 | Laqdar Ramoly | Meryl Hayley | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Mean Feat | 12 | Joey Azzopardi | Rebecca Bayliss | 54.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Cash Away | 9 | Steven Parnham | Q R Jackson | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Highland Flair | 6 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | H S McLaren | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Bricini | 8 | Holly Nottle | Coreen Maynard | 52.5kg | $41.00 |
| 12th | 13 | Teabiscuit | 3 | Lisa Staples | Kirsten Melis | 54kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Military Power | 7 | Jefferson Tsang | J P Taylor | 57kg |
He has been beaten narrowly in stronger races through the prep, including Restricted grade at Pinjarra, so the maiden tag understates his ability. Barrier 7 and the 3kg claim have him mapping in the first half of the field, which is the dominant Belmont Soft profile. The class rise and modest jockey strike rate are the risks, but he is the most likely winner on form.
Classic Ruler is the wet-track specialist of the race with both career wins coming on Soft ground, including a Class 3 success at Northam in July. He was solid last start over this course and distance on Soft 5, finishing fourth beaten under two lengths. William Pike replacing Jefferson Tsang is a meaningful upgrade given Pike's 21% Belmont record.
You Can Call Me Al is the reliability play. Fourteen starts have produced seven top-three finishes, including a placing over this course and distance. He broke through at Pinjarra in July and was not disgraced in this exact Belmont Class 3 last start. Lucy Fiore is in outstanding touch at 30% from her past 20 rides and 17% at Belmont. The barrier and 3.5kg weight rise limit the win case, and he has no soft-track win, so he is best used in the placings.
He also ran third at Belmont over today's 1400m on Soft 6 in June.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | The Rocket | 7 | Natika Riordan | S & J Casey | 56kg | $1.85 |
| 2nd | 4 | Pure Obsession | 2 | Jordan Turner | Colin Webster Jnr | 60kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Olaf The Snowman | 12 | Steven Parnham | C & M Gangemi | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Classic Ruler | 10 | William Pike | Ms C Stelmach | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Abissi | 6 | Jefferson Tsang | Michael Grantham | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 8 | You Can Call Me Al | 11 | Lucy F Fiore | G J McPherson | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Playing Free | 3 | Laqdar Ramoly | N D Parnham | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Boussac | 1 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Meryl Hayley | 60kg | $20.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Strictly Cash | 4 | Chloe Azzopardi | S J Ryan | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Acta Non Verba | 9 | Holly Nottle | G J Kersley | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Leetron | 5 | Taj Dyson | F R Kersley | 59.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Later Alligator | 8 | Sharni Webster | Ryan Hill | 57kg |
That is the single most relevant formline in the race: same track, same trip, same going, same grade, 14 days ago. Her overall distance record reads 2: 1-1-0 and she is 5:1-1-1 on Soft. Nottle is in strong form for the stable at 30%.
Cosmic Spirit is the least exposed runner with 2 wins from 5 and a 1400m win on her record, and Pike's booking plus first-time blinkers signal intent after a beaten 11th at Pinjarra.
The most exposed and most reliable form line here. Her track-and-distance record of 6: 1-2-1 is the strongest in the race and her Soft record reads 6:1-1-2.
The value angle is the map. With one genuine leader projected and a slow tempo, Belmont on Soft rewards runners in the first six at the 400m — and Capable Angel draws barrier 4 with leader status. She has already won over this exact course and distance (2: 1-0-0), owns the best track record in the field at 6: 2-0-1, and her wet form reads 9:1-1-2 on Soft with a Heavy win.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Zeezea | 9 | Holly Nottle | Summer Dickson | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Cosmic Spirit | 12 | William Pike | Michael Grantham | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 12 | Ginger And Tonic | 6 | Lisa Staples | P H Jordan | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Romming Danger | 11 | Chanel Cooper | G C Ballantyne | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Capable Angel | 4 | Lucy F Fiore | Brandon Fiore | 55.5kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 13 | Rising Fame | 8 | Steven Parnham | N D Parnham | 55kg | $20.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Gav Has Spoken | 2 | Shaun O'Donnell | Brett Mathews | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Cantrix | 3 | Holly Watson | Jamie Morgan | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 9th | 5 | Admire The Girl | 10 | Clint Johnston-Porter | J F Miller | 57kg | $19.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Divine Impact | 7 | Natika Riordan | N D Parnham | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Artie's Storm | 1 | Laqdar Ramoly | S & J Casey | 56.5kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Choux Shoe | 5 | Jefferson Tsang | Simon Miller | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Miss Wall Street | 4 | Brad Parnham | Mack Hall | 57kg |
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