Hobart tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.70 · Luke P Dempsey

Hobart rewards class, current form and distance suitability, and she ticks all three. The slow tempo forecast and barrier 5 should let Dempsey park her closer than usual, removing her main flaw.

Our price $4.20 · SP $5.00 · Chloe Wells

The classiest runner in the race on raw form. Dropping to Maiden grade, drawn 3 to exploit the inside bias, carrying just 54kg with blinkers added. The 206-day let-up is the query, but her better run came fresh and the class relief is substantial.

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.80 · Troy Baker

Our price $5.00 · SP $23.00 · Christopher Pang

The overlay of the race. Steel Spaniel meets him today 4kg better off at the 52kg minimum and from barrier 6 rather than 13.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.40 · Chloe Wells

Barrier 2 and natural early speed put her top-three at the 400m, which is the most durable winning signal at this track. The Class 2 to Class 5 rise is the query, but she is the lightly raced, progressive, in-form, track-proven type that wins here, and she is drawn to control her own fate at a weight-favourable 55.5kg.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · Troy Baker

The forgotten last-start winner. She scored over 1390m here a fortnight ago in Bench. 68 company, which is a tougher assignment than today's Class 5, and her record at this track and distance reads 6 starts for 2 wins and a second - the strongest specific credential in the field. The map is the concern, as she is likely to settle last on a track that punishes swoopers, hence each-way rather than win.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Craig Newitt

Craig Newitt's 23% Hobart record is the best local booking on offer and a firm upgrade.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · Sheridan Clarke

Barrier 2 and a forward settling pattern fit the track's on-pace profile, and she gets grade relief from Class 1. The obvious negative is 11 starts without a win and no placing from three Good-track runs, which caps her as a place proposition rather than a winning one.

Our price $10.00 · SP $19.00 · Troy Baker

Troy Baker returns having ridden her for that Hobart placing.

Our price $4.20 · SP $8.50 · Troy Baker

The specialist. Zewinna is 9 starts for 5 wins and 2 placings at Hobart over 1600m, a record no rival can match, and she won over course and distance in May carrying 57kg before finishing second over the mile at Launceston. Today she drops to 54kg with Troy Baker aboard from barrier 5. The last-start 5th came over 1380m, well short of her optimum.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.50 · Kirra-Lee Lane

The obstacles are practical rather than ability-based: 60kg over the longest trip of his career from the outside gate, and no weight relief against Merlin Beach off the Aug 5 line. Solid claims to be in the finish; the place is the safer proposition.

Our price $9.00 · SP $9.50 · Troy Baker

The Baker/Campbell combination at 60% is a meaningful intent signal, he has won two of six at Hobart, and 54.5kg over 2400m under a slow tempo gives him a legitimate staying chance against top-weights carrying 60kg-plus.

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.50 · Erica Byrne Burke

The most reliable frame-filler in the race. Two placings on the synthetic have her fit. In a race where the top two are clearly the winning chances, she is the logical third leg.

Our price $11.00 · SP $11.00 · Sheridan Clarke

Today she gets the Good surface, the right trip, class relief and 54kg.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.90 · Christopher Pang

The most reliable form line in a weak Class 1. Her record on good is 7 starts for 1 win and she is 8 starts 1-1-2 at Hobart. The speed map places her forward, which is the single strongest Hobart prior. Win rate is modest, but she is consistently in the finish and the class-and-weight case is the clearest in the race.

Our price $4.60 · SP $5.50 · Anthony Darmanin

Darmanin is in excellent recent touch. Solid each-way, not the value.

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.00 · Craig Newitt

The overlay in the race. Craig Newitt at 23% here is a meaningful upgrade in the saddle.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Sheridan Clarke

The safety net of the race. He has already run second in Bench 68 here so the grade is no barrier. The problem is conversion - no wins from 9 Hobart starts and 50 career starts for 6 wins mark him as an honest placegetter.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Christopher Pang

The genuine overlay. The Spirit Of Zero owns the best Good-track record in the race at 11 starts for 3 wins, and today he finally gets that surface after a run of soft and synthetic assignments.