Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Wednesday 19 August 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 7 races at Warwick Farm. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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The strongest form profile in an open wet maiden. He is proven on Soft with a placing, has a first-up placing on record, and is now gelded off a solid Warwick Farm Soft 5 trial. Barrier 5 gives him the pressing-midfield map that wins 13-17% here.
She has the best raw wet-track evidence in the field, having run third first up on Soft 5 at Randwick, and gets significant class relief from Open grade back to a maiden.
A well-prepared debutant from a stable that wins fresh, with the most relevant trial line in the race - a win at Randwick over 1045m on Soft 5, effectively today's trip and surface. He has been placed in three of his last four trials on wet ground and is ridden by the most successful jockey at this track in the field. Absence of race form is not a negative here, but he is unproven under pressure and drawn eight, so he is taken for the each-way rather than outright.
He won his Warwick Farm trial over 789m on Soft 5 and draws barrier 2, the ideal gate to be inside the top three at the 400m - the single most durable winning pattern on this surface.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Blessed Eagle | 8 | Tim Clark | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 58kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 10 | Saffron Veil | 3 | Zac Lloyd | C J Waller | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Profitabelle | 9 | Tommy Berry | Bjorn Baker | 57kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 4 | Watson's Bay | 4 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 9 | Darn You | 7 | Sam Clipperton | Peter Snowden | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Secrets Within | 2 | Dylan Gibbons | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Artemex | 5 | Nash Rawiller | C Maher | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 3 | Ghostbuster | 10 | Chad Schofield | Joseph Pride | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Jammed | 1 | Zac Wadick | G M Brown | 54.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Dragon Blood | 11 | Tom Sherry | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Whitehall | 12 | C J Waller | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | La Folle | 6 | Jacqueline Greentree | 55kg |
Strong place claims, poor win value.
The class runner of the race. Defensemen has contested Group 3 and Open company and ran second at Randwick over 1400m on Heavy 9 last start, form well above maiden grade. He is proven wet with a placing on both Soft and Heavy, and was third in a Canterbury maiden over 1250m on Soft 6. Top weight of 57.5kg, a 39-day gap and barrier 10 temper enthusiasm, and he remains a maiden after five starts, but he is a live each-way proposition.
He is a lightly raced Snitzel colt on an upward curve with Rawiller booked for a stable he wins nearly a third of his rides for.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | Queen's Gamble | 16 | Tommy Berry | Matthew Smith | 56.5kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 14 | Satin Serenade | 6 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 56kg | $1.35 |
| 3rd | 10 | Albert Palais | 12 | Nash Rawiller | C E Conners | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Comanche Chief | 9 | Chad Schofield | Fabio Martino | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Power Broker | 17 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | Edward O'Rourke | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Wendell | 8 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Stateroom | 7 | Sam Clipperton | C Maher | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 18 | Sheza Boom | 11 | Alysha Collett | L F Birchley | 54kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 19 | Whitehall | 3 | Tim Clark | C J Waller | 57kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Defensemen | 10 | Siena Grima | C J Waller | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Unhinged | 19 | C J Waller | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Esquire | 1 | Zac Lloyd | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 57kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Kiviska | 16 | C J Waller | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Our Turbo | 14 | Tom Sherry | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Endeavour | 2 | Tyler Schiller | C J Waller | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Pacific Titan | 13 | Andrew Adkins | C J Waller | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Saffron Veil | 15 | C J Waller | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Roebuck Plane | 5 | Rachel King | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Leonessa | 15 | C J Waller | 54.5kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | La Folle | 4 | Jacqueline Greentree | 54kg |
The most progressive runner in the race and the profile Warwick Farm Soft racing rewards - lightly raced, in-form and distance-proven. He has won over 1600m and on Soft ground, is third-up with blinkers applied for the first time, and McDonald stays aboard. Barrier 8 and 59kg are the only genuine reservations; the tactical tempo should let him settle midfield and press.
The most reliable form line in the race. Barrier 3 and a forward-settling pattern fit the Warwick Farm Soft bias where being top-three at the 400m is the durable edge, and blinkers first time is a positive tweak.
Barrier 2 in a slow-tempo 1600m gives Berry the chance to save ground and be top-three at the 400m, the position that wins here on Soft. The gear change is meaningful. What holds him back is conversion - one win from eleven starts and no Soft-track victory - so he is an each-way proposition rather than a confident win play.
The overlay of the race. She is legitimately second up, a status that produced a BM72 win on Soft 7 last preparation, and drops sharply in grade from BM78 with just 56.5kg.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Deep Pleasure | 3 | Zac Lloyd | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 58.5kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Columbus | 8 | James Mc Donald | L J Bridge | 59kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 10 | Supreme Sovereign | 5 | Tyler Schiller | C J Waller | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Belle Detelle | 4 | Nash Rawiller | Joseph Pride | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Namaste | 1 | Tim Clark | Bjorn Baker | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 5 | John Dory | 2 | Tommy Berry | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 2 | United Kingdom | 10 | Sam Clipperton | C J Waller | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Millie De Lune | 6 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | Matthew Smith | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 8 | The Stars Align | 7 | Jean Van Overmeire | Anthony Mountney | 56kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Bombelleistic | 9 | Siena Grima | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 53kg |
The most complete form case in the race. She won first-up last preparation, so the 88-day freshen is not a barrier, and the Warwick Farm soft profile - classy, lightly raced, in-form types who can be handy at the 400m - describes her precisely. Barrier 10 is the only genuine query.
The wet-track specialist of the race and the most reliable recent formline. The class rise and a modest jockey booking keep her at each-way rather than win.
The overlay of the race. She is a genuinely progressive mare with 4 wins from 10, including a last-start win over this 1100m trip on Soft 6 under 59.0kg, and she drops 1.5kg today while retaining an in-form Brodie Loy.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Cool Waters | 11 | Ashley Morgan | Nathan Doyle | 55.5kg | $19.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Tequila Baby | 9 | William A Stanley | Brad Widdup | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Lull | 6 | Shannen Llewellyn | C Maher | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 13 | Uncertain Glory | 10 | Tommy Berry | Michael Freedman | 55kg | $3.20 |
| 5th | 6 | Alottosay | 5 | Louise Day | B L Adams | 58kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 14 | Helluva Teen | 3 | Alysha Collett | N J Osborne | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Extrio | 7 | Brodie Loy | Luke Pepper | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Zoutastic | 4 | Chad Lever | T P Croft | 59kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Bubbles Up | 1 | Rachel King | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Couples Retreat | 9 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Scenic Point | 2 | Nash Rawiller | Joseph Pride | 60kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Olivia Twist | 11 | Brad Widdup | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Sphere | 12 | Tyler Schiller | C J Waller | 56kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Striking Alibi | 8 | Zac Lloyd | C J Waller | 55.5kg |
His sole soft-track run produced a win here at Warwick Farm first-up, so both the fresh angle and the surface are already proven. Barrier 3 with McDonald maps him prominently in a slow-tempo race, which is precisely the 400m-position profile that dominates this track and going. Lightly raced and still improving.
The most reliable placing prospect in the race. Sociable has run top-four at ten of his last eleven and drops into the perfect draw with Tim Clark, whose 25% strike rate here is the best of any rider engaged. The knocks are real: two wins from sixteen and no win from six soft-track runs, plus an untried 1400m. Ideal each-way rather than win material.
Against that, he has won last start, is second-up off 14 days, and steps up in trip which should suit a Snitzel colt who has been strong late over shorter. Barrier 6 with Rawiller gives him the pressing position that wins here. Class rise is the risk, but the trajectory is steep.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Mr Miller | 3 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 59kg | $1.28 |
| 2nd | 7 | Sociable | 1 | Tim Clark | C Maher | 57.5kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Mazis | 12 | Braith Nock | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 59.5kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Hallowed Halls | 11 | Siena Grima | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $71.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Think Itz You | 4 | Tyler Schiller | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Island Dream | 8 | Zac Lloyd | C J Waller | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 9 | It's A Wonder | 5 | Jay Ford | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Crown The King | 10 | Rachel King | Bjorn Baker | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Point Score | 14 | Andrew Calder | Ms A Turner | 54kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Phantom Major | 6 | Nash Rawiller | C J Waller | 58kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Laurel Hill | 9 | Alysha Collett | Rob Potter | 57kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Stallone | 7 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | Bjorn Baker | 57kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Waku Waku | 2 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Overshadow | 13 | Dylan Gibbons | M, W & J Hawkes | 54kg |
The most directly proven runner under today's exact conditions. The jockey booking is the flaw, but the form case is the strongest here.
He is fresh from 234 days but has won first-up before. The reservations are class and fitness: he has never faced BM72 metro grade, has no Warwick Farm experience, and must carry top weight into a predicted very fast tempo.
The most reliable placegetter in the race. Tim Clark's 25% strike rate here and the removal of the tongue control and lugging bit are positives. The wide gate, first-up status and a soft-track record of four seconds without a win argue for the place rather than the win.
The overlay of the race. Barrier 2 lets him settle just off a very fast tempo and take the shortest way home.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Fierce | 7 | Tyler Schiller | M, W & J Hawkes | 57.5kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 7 | Spartus | 12 | Tommy Berry | Fabio Martino | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Rantan | 6 | Mitch Stapleford | R J Quinton | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 8 | Manukau | 11 | Tim Clark | Michael Freedman | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 13 | Just Awesome | 4 | Jay Ford | Blake Ryan | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Scillato | 10 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Matthew Smith | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Generous Harry | 8 | Zac Wadick | R J Quinton | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Gambler | 13 | Regan Bayliss | Peter Snowden | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Bengal | 1 | Brodie Loy | Luke Pepper | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Oryx | 9 | Tom Sherry | Richard Litt | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 4 | Valilee | 5 | Mitchell Bell | Jake Hull | 59.5kg | $3.70 |
| 12th | 2 | Winning Proposal | 3 | William A Stanley | John Thompson | 58kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Action King | 2 | Siena Grima | Rob Potter | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Helluva Teen | 9 | N J Osborne | 54kg |
The most likely winner on form. He is the classic Warwick Farm Soft winner profile - lightly raced, improving, distance-proven, won last start and well weighted at 55.5kg. Class rise is the query, but he is unexposed and maps to be handy off gate 8.
The class relief runner. Barrier 1 is a genuine asset with three genuine leaders projected to burn the race up, letting her save ground and sprint late. She has not won on Soft and the 1200m record of four starts without a placing tempers the win case, but she is a strong each-way proposition.
Four starts for two wins and a third marks her as unexposed and improving. The 1200m record of two starts for a win and a third confirms trip suitability. Rock-solid place claim with winning upside.
Barrier 4 and 55.5kg let her take up the prime 400m position the track profile rewards.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Heroic Deed | 8 | Ashley Morgan | Nathan Doyle | 55.5kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 2 | Diddle Dumpling | 7 | Nash Rawiller | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 60.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Silencio Porfavor | 14 | William A Stanley | Matthew Smith | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 7 | The Little General | 13 | Tim Clark | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 6 | Kirribilli | 3 | Rachel King | Bjorn Baker | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Equilibrist | 5 | Jay Ford | K J Parker | 55.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Olivia Twist | 4 | Tommy Berry | Brad Widdup | 55.5kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 1 | Couples Retreat | 1 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 9th | 8 | Royal Air Force | 12 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 16 | Not That Easy | 6 | Jess Taylor | J C Coyle | 54kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Albany Road | 15 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Tequila Baby | 12 | Brad Widdup | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Alottosay | 11 | B L Adams | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Spread The Love | 9 | Tyler Schiller | Danielle Seib | 56kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Infusion | 11 | Zac Lloyd | Peter Snowden | 55kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Kwirky Smile | 10 | Dylan Gibbons | Bjorn Baker | 54kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Vexxy | 2 | Alysha Collett | Richard & Will Freedman | 54kg |
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