Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Western Australia · Thursday 20 August 2026
Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Pinjarra. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
The map is decisive. With no genuine leader engaged and a Slow tempo forecast, He'snotallthere is the one runner who can control from in front, and Pinjarra on Soft rewards being top-three at the 400m (about 19% win rate versus about 4% back in the field). The trip suits, the wet is proven, and barrier 10 over 2013m is manageable.
He maps to settle back into a forecast Slow tempo, and back-of-field runners are 0 from 17 in the current Pinjarra bias sample and win about 4% on the Soft summary.
Wet-track placed and clearly fit. The reservations are structural rather than form-based: he maps to come from behind into a Slow tempo at a track where that costs badly, and his only run near 2013m was a heavy defeat six months ago. Genuine each-way profile but graded to the placings.
The value angle. With just two starts he cannot be judged on results, so the proxy read matters: William Pike is 25% at Pinjarra and 22% for this stable, the horse drops to 55.5kg, draws barrier 5 to take a prominent position, and gets blinkers with winkers removed.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Consolidated | 6 | Brayden Gaerth | Ms T Itzstein | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | He'snotallthere | 10 | Paul Harvey | T W Widdeson | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Major Magnus | 1 | Jarrad Noske | B P Graham | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Sin City Boy | 2 | Patrick Carbery | B A Miller | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 7 | Mystacheeno | 9 | Austin Galati | Joshua Krispyn | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Pembeton | 8 | Brad Parnham | N D Parnham | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 10 | By God He Is | 5 | William Pike | A G Durrant | 55.5kg | $4.40 |
| 8th | 3 | Rockin' Robin | 3 | Ebony Johnson | Jeremy Easthope | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Suparoo | 7 | Jordan Turner | Colin Webster Jnr | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 10th | 9 | In Your Pocket | 4 | Alex Hearn | Phillipa Elliott | 56kg | $91.00 |
Second up, fit, and stepping to a trip that should suit his finishing pattern. Top weight and unproven soft form are the risks, but nothing here matches his class.
Applying the debutant proxy framework, Cassandra scores strongly on the two pillars available: trainer profile and jockey intent. G & A Williams with William Pike is one of the most potent combinations in Western Australia at 20%, and Pike's 25% Pinjarra strike is elite. She is unpenalised for the absence of form data, but barrier 9 and complete inexperience on a Soft 5 keep her behind Rocktex rather than ahead of him.
The Morton/Fiore axis is striking at 19% with Fiore herself at 30% over her last 20 rides, and the pre-race ear muffs read as a considered preparation detail.
The overlay of the race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Cassandra | 9 | William Pike | G & A Williams | 55kg | $2.45 |
| 2nd | 1 | Rocktex | 7 | Steven Parnham | T M Andrews | 57kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 6 | Slaters Legacy | 1 | Patrick Carbery | Sue Olive | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Aura Magna | 8 | Holly Nottle | D T McAuliffe | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Biscuits | 5 | Brayden Gaerth | Jade Tangaroa | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Pay No Heed | 6 | Jefferson Tsang | Jade Tangaroa | 52kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Don't Pruevoke Me | 4 | Clint Johnston-Porter | C G Willis | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Rocky Beach | 10 | Brad Parnham | E A Martinovich | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Chief Commander | 3 | Natasha Faithfull | D & B Pearce | 57kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Chantatious | 2 | Lucy F Fiore | D L Morton | 55kg |
About Turn brings the strongest distance and class credentials in a weak maiden. Second up off a sharp Belmont trial, drawn one, and with no genuine leader engaged, he should be handy by the 400m - the position that wins here on Soft.
Twelve starts without a win is the obvious blemish and barrier 15 forces her back in a race likely to be run at a slow tempo, which is against the on-pace Pinjarra Soft profile.
Solid without being convincing. The gear change and gate keep him in the placings conversation rather than the win one.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | About Turn | 1 | Jarrad Noske | Simon Miller | 58kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Zero To Sixty | 4 | Steven Parnham | S V Vahala | 58kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 8 | She's Some Craic | 5 | Joey Azzopardi | Dexter Aiken | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Pure 'n' Simple | 3 | Shaun O'Donnell | Ms R Lockwood | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Fortgang | 8 | Natika Riordan | N D Parnham | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Diamond Choux | 15 | Clint Johnston-Porter | R W Price | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 12 | Threespirit | 7 | Brad Parnham | Takahide Ikenushi | 56kg | $19.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Opal Nero | 2 | Jefferson Tsang | Tania Burns | 55kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Spiritart | 11 | Alex Hearn | Charlotte Skerritt | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Tanunda | 6 | Taj Dyson | F R Kersley | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Bush Bandit | 10 | Jason Whiting | G A Crispin | 58kg | $51.00 |
| 12th | 6 | Ginger Zinger | 14 | Holly Watson | Rhys Radford | 58kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Tag Time | 4 | G & A Williams | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Super Show | 13 | G C Ballantyne | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Costa Del Darlo | 12 | Laqdar Ramoly | Ms K Kersley | 58kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Momotaro | 9 | Jarrad Humphries | 56kg |
He then confirmed staying credentials with a 3rd over 1690m at Bunbury.
A lightly raced profile that fits the Pinjarra Soft winner template: winners here average about 12 career starts versus 19 for the field.
Wet-track form reads 4 starts 0-0-2, barrier 2 gives him every chance to be handy on a track where being top-three at the 400m is the durable edge.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Trickster | 7 | William Pike | A G Durrant | 55.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 8 | Forever Victorious | 9 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Holly Taylor | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Atsui Haru | 4 | Jefferson Tsang | Steele Casey | 50.5kg | $2.10 |
| 4th | 2 | Energetic | 6 | Steven Parnham | N D Parnham | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Sylva Jack | 2 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | D T McAuliffe | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 5 | History Supreme | 3 | Brad Parnham | Joshua Krispyn | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 6 | Long Shanks | 11 | Jordan Turner | Colin Webster Jnr | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Thomas Henry | 10 | Jarrad Noske | R W Price | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Donatally | 5 | Jason Whiting | Ms S L Miller | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Loose Foot | 12 | Chanel Cooper | Russell Stewart | 54kg | $81.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Ace Sniper | 8 | Holly Nottle | Misty Bazeley | 53.5kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 7 | Sniffy Tiffy | 13 | Alex Hearn | Charlotte Skerritt | 56kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Crazy Carrot | 1 | Raquel Reid | 56kg |
The most complete form profile in the race. Late Arrival won last start on Soft 5 at Belmont under 60kg, and his soft record reads 3 starts for 2 wins and a second - genuine wet credentials rather than assumed ones. Maps forward, which is the durable Pinjarra Soft edge.
She is not top-picked because her soft record is four starts for no wins and one third, she maps behind the speed at a track that punishes swoopers, and the riding statistics are cold.
In-form and fit, having won at nearly today's trip on Soft 5 under 59kg before a 3kg drop. The wet-track win and a Soft 5 third at the Pinjarra circuit make conditions no issue and she maps close enough to the speed. The reservations are class and conversion - just two wins from 25 starts, no wins from five at 1600m, none from four at this track, and a genuine jump from Class 1 into Class 5.
The overlay. From barrier one she can be top three at the 400m, which is the single most durable Pinjarra Soft signal, and Brad Parnham replacing the previous rider for a stable he strikes at 35% for is a clear intent marker.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Publicise | 5 | Paul Harvey | D T McAuliffe | 56kg | $2.40 |
| 2nd | 5 | Chantel | 1 | Brad Parnham | Joshua Krispyn | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Rosie Can Run | 8 | Jason Whiting | G C Ballantyne | 56kg | $3.60 |
| 4th | 1 | Late Arrival | 9 | Taj Dyson | Ms K Kersley | 60kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 8 | Side Show | 6 | Jefferson Tsang | Dylan Bairstow | 52kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Where's My Lunch | 2 | Brayden Gaerth | Cammeron Ellery | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Real Senor | 3 | Alex Hearn | Phillipa Elliott | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Let Sparks Fly | 4 | Shaun O'Donnell | Sky Ballinger | 55kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Triple The Chant | 7 | Joey Azzopardi | Ms D Riordan | 57kg |
Barrier 13 is the only real query; Azzopardi has ridden her in each of the last five and knows to work forward.
His wet record of 2 wins from 14 Soft starts and a prior Pinjarra win are genuine ticks. Against him are the 58kg impost, gate 12 in a race where being top-three at the 400m matters, and an inexperienced booking in Jason Li. Solid claims but the map and the jockey engagement stop him topping the list.
She also handled a Heavy 8 at Pinjarra in July, running fifth. The negatives are real - a persistent non-winner who fills placings rather than wins, a midfield draw at gate 11 and a jockey out of form. That profile makes her a strong each-way proposition rather than a win play.
She has been out of her depth in Class 5 and Restricted company since, which explains the plain recent numbers, but this is a return to the exact grade and track she has already conquered. Barrier 5 lets her sit handy into the dominant on-pace bias, and Lucy Fiore is in the sharpest form of any rider in the race at 6 wins from her last 20.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Military Jane | 13 | Joey Azzopardi | Ms D Riordan | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Kelora | 12 | Jason Li | N D Parnham | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 12 | Ah Kum | 10 | Natika Riordan | Ms S L Miller | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Angel's My Name | 2 | Jason Whiting | G C Ballantyne | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Cosmic Eclipse | 9 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Ms S Bakranich | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Gaspardo | 3 | Brayden Gaerth | S J Wolfe | 56.5kg | $20.00 |
| 7th | 4 | He's Archie | 8 | Jefferson Tsang | Ms C Stelmach | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Olden | 6 | Steven Parnham | Nadia Bishop | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Who Saz Yes | 11 | Giaan O'Donnell | Ms D Riordan | 53.5kg | $14.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Miss Wall Street | 4 | Brad Parnham | Mack Hall | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Cherokee Miss | 5 | Lucy F Fiore | Matthew Scott | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 12th | 5 | Worcester | 7 | Austin Galati | Dylan Bairstow | 59kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Forever Victorious | 1 | Holly Taylor | 56.5kg |
Drops to a workable barrier 4 which should have him top three at the 400m — the durable Pinjarra Soft edge.
Gate 1 and the slow-tempo map read well against a bias that rewards being top three at the 400m. He is not the top pick because the last two runs were flat, including a tenth over this trip on Soft 5 three starts back, and one win from 14 starts marks him as a horse who finds one better more often than not.
The most complete profile: a lightly raced, progressive mare with a Soft-track win at Pinjarra and a competitive Class 1 third at Bunbury on Soft 5 last start. Pinjarra Soft data rewards lightly raced, in-form, distance-suited types that settle forward, and she ticks each box with Pike aboard at 25% strike here. Gate 9 is the only genuine query; expect her handy by the 400m.
Last start was plain but she was well back on a track that gave her no chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Cable Rock | 4 | Holly Watson | S & J Casey | 56.5kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 5 | Radiant Light | 1 | Natika Riordan | N D Parnham | 57kg | $2.40 |
| 3rd | 4 | Come On Emma | 3 | Joey Azzopardi | Ms D Riordan | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Cawarra | 8 | Brad Parnham | N D Parnham | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Javelin Strike | 11 | Jason Whiting | L P Luciani | 59.5kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 3 | The Scholar | 5 | Steven Parnham | T Triscari | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 12 | Milly's Clever Too | 7 | Madi Derrick | P J Naylor | 54kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Another Chant | 2 | Jarrad Noske | Tiarnna Noske | 58kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Jesa Lupa | 10 | Sharni Webster | Ryan Hill | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Astonisher | 6 | Austin Galati | Summer Dickson | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Authorative | 12 | Brayden Gaerth | Ms T Itzstein | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Cosmo Ruler | 9 | William Pike | G & A Williams | 58kg |
Before the races, not after
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