Sha Tin tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.30 · Z Purton

Purton stays aboard.

Our price $6.50 · SP $22.00 · E C W Wong

The form horse at this level with a win and three thirds from his last four Class 5 runs over 1200m. The rider change to E C W Wong and barrier 12 are significant negatives, and the 30 August trial was plain.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · K Teetan

The handy racing style works with Sha Tin's on-pace bias, and Teetan stays on.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.00 · H Y Yuen

Concerns are the weak recent trial, a rider in a lean patch and racing manners noted by stewards. With a fast tempo expected he can settle just behind the leaders and use his finishing strength.

Our price $13.00 · SP $45.00 · E C W Wong

Last start he raced wide without cover from a wide gate and the run can be forgiven. He is drawn better today and will likely lead, which is the winning position in Sha Tin sprints.

Our price $6.00 · SP $109.00 · K Teetan

He is 7 wins from 17 and 4 from 10 at the track and distance. His quiet soft-track trial and limited first-up record are concerns, but Teetan stays on and 52kg from barrier 4 gives him every chance to fill the place behind Ka Ying Rising.

Our price $18.00 · SP $220.00 · H Bentley

Our price $8.50 · SP $10.00 · B Avdulla

Barrier 1 and a fast tempo tick the boxes for a swooper.

Our price $5.00 · SP $14.00 · J Bowman

Stunning Bundle is the most likely winner on form trajectory rather than exposed results. His debut 3rd behind a solid Class 4 field came with traffic near the 300m, and Size horses routinely improve sharply at their second start. Barrier 4 with an on-pace pattern is the ideal Sha Tin 1200m setup.

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · K Teetan

Island Buddy is the most reliable exposed form runner. He has won twice on good turf at this course and distance and placed at his last three starts in Class 4. Barrier 1 and his early speed let him hold a forward rail position, the winning profile at Sha Tin sprints. The 61kg burden and a winless first-up record temper enthusiasm, and the fast tempo from two rival leaders may leave him vulnerable late.

Our price $8.00 · SP $30.00 · Lyle Hewitson

Riding High is the clear value in the race. Each-way is the right play given his placing strike rate.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.70 · K Teetan

His last-start defeat had a clear start excuse and two recent trial placings confirm fitness. The on-pace pattern from barrier 7 fits the strong Sha Tin sprint bias.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.00 · J Bowman

Inside draw and leader style suit Sha Tin, so he should run well again.

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · K C Leung

A fast tempo from two leaders is the scenario he needs, and 53.5kg helps. The backmarker bias and weak jockey keep him at value level only.

Our price $2.60 · SP $2.10 · Z Purton

Winning Ovation is the form horse: four wins from six at Sha Tin 1400m, two of them in Class 2 this season, and he returns from two sound Group 3 efforts where he was beaten half a length over a mile and raced wide without cover at this trip. Barrier 4 and an on-pace style fit the Sha Tin bias with a moderate tempo. Still the most likely winner.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.70 · K Teetan

Six Pack is the logical main danger.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.60 · A Badel

Max Que's last-start Class 1 second over a mile, beaten under a length with a sharp final 600m, reads well against a Class 2 field. He has placed in four of ten starts at Sha Tin 1400m and draws barrier 3. He does get back in his races, which is a drawback under the Sha Tin on-pace bias, and the jockey is out of form, so he is best used as a place runner to fill the frame rather than as a winning chance.

Our price $9.00 · SP $6.00 · Y L Chung

Drombeg Banner is the overlay. His Class 1 second at this trip in February at similar weight shows he remains competitive at this level.

Our price $4.00 · SP $8.30 · C Y Ho

Grand Patch is the form horse. With two leaders promising a genuine tempo, he can be delivered into the race by C Y Ho, who is riding well.

Our price $8.00 · SP $18.00 · P N Wong

Golden Win is the value runner. His earlier form was poor, so the improvement must be confirmed, and the rider booking is weak.

Our price $3.80 · SP $6.20 · A Atzeni

His last two Class 3 1400m runs were a win and a narrow second under 60.5kg, and he drops 1kg today with Atzeni back aboard. The positional bias favours leaders and the moderate tempo suits a controlling ride.

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.70 · Z Purton

The problem is the map: he gets back from a wide gate on a track where on-pace runners dominate, and his trials were unremarkable.

Our price $11.00 · SP $20.00 · M F Poon

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.50 · Z Purton

Early speed rank 5 allows him to sit just off two genuine leaders in a predicted fast tempo, which suits a horse who finished 2nd from 6th over 1000m. Rising in class first up is the main risk, but the profile of an improving, lightly raced sprinter with Purton up is the most likely winner.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.70 · A Atzeni

The speed map shows two genuine leaders and a fast tempo, which is exactly the shape he needs. The Atzeni/Man combination fires at 23%.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.40 · C Y Ho

He can lead or sit second from barrier 5, which aligns with the on-pace bias.

Our price $13.00 · SP $32.00 · Lyle Hewitson