Woodville tips and results

Our price $4.80 · SP $4.60 · Kylan Wiles

Billy owns the strongest class reference in the field, beaten half a length in a Restricted 1-Win Hurdle at Riccarton over 3100m on Heavy 9 carrying the same 67kg he shoulders today, and he was runner-up over this course and distance in July. He is a reliable wet-tracker with 5 seconds from 12 heavy starts.

Our price $5.20 · SP $6.50 · Jay Kozaczek

Racing off the minimum 65kg with the inside gate and a rider who wins at 18% at Woodville, she is fit, consistent and effective on Heavy going. The obvious caveat is that she is still a maiden in 6 starts, and inside barriers historically underperform in Woodville staying races.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.60 · H A Mc Neill

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.80 · C J Wiles

The clear improver of the race. Kick On won over 3100m at Riccarton on Heavy 9 last start carrying 66.5kg, having earlier won a Maiden Hurdle at Trentham on Heavy 10, giving him a jumps record of two wins from three starts. He drops 1.5kg, has an excellent jumping strike rate, and C J Wiles has the best Woodville record of the riders. The concern is genuine open hurdle company for the first time and no record at 3000m. Best of the on-pace types after Quid.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.10 · Bella Oliver

The proven course-and-distance specialist. His heavy record of 18:3-1-5 is solid. The major reservation is the map: he settles well back and Woodville's data is brutal on backmarkers, while a slow tempo makes ground harder to make up. Class and course affinity make him a genuine place chance rather than a likely winner.

Our price $6.50 · SP $15.40 · L Douglas

Tutin Cans ran third over this exact course and distance on Heavy 10 just three weeks ago after contacting a hurdle, and is placed in both of his Woodville 3000m starts. He carries the lightest weight in the field at 63kg and L Douglas is in outstanding form, riding at 35% recently and 33% for this stable.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.90 · S K Macnab

The most in-form horse in the race on raw results, with two wins from his past three and a heavy-ground line of five starts for two wins and a third, including a Woodville win over the jumps on Heavy 10. He wins by finishing over the top of them, which is exactly the pattern the Woodville staying stats punish, and a slow tempo compounds that. Genuine winning chance but the map and the track bias force him to work harder than the leader, so a saver on the place is the sensible structure.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.40 · Zoe Pawson

He settles handy, drawn in the gate band that dominates Woodville staying events, and has won two of four on heavy.

Our price $9.00 · SP $9.70 · A E Taiaroa

He owns a Woodville 2100m record of four starts for two wins and a third, including this very race on Heavy 10 last September with today's jockey, and every career win has come on heavy ground.

Our price $3.40 · SP $3.70 · D M Parker

The one runner with a completed, competitive run over today's exact course and distance, where he finished 4th and headed Odysseus. The reservation is tactical rather than ability-based - Woodville staying races are unkind to horses settling last, and a slow tempo would make his ground-making job harder.

Our price $6.50 · SP $10.30 · D M Parker

Virtually his entire record is on Heavy ground and he has already won at this track.

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.90 · L Sutherland

Our price $4.80 · SP $6.40 · K A Myers

A live debutant, assessed on connections and pedigree rather than downgraded for absent form. The caution is the combination of 57.5kg top weight on Heavy 8, a first-ever start over a sprint trip, and a projected settling position well back on a track where backmarkers rarely feature. Enough upside to include, not enough evidence to place above the exposed form.

Our price $5.00 · SP $9.30 · B Queiroz

He has already placed at Woodville over this trip on a Soft 6 and maps to control or sit outside the lead, which the Woodville heavy on-pace bias rewards. The reservation is real: his best form is all synthetic, he has never met Heavy going, and he carries top weight of 58.5kg through the mud. Sound each-way proposition rather than a confident winner.

Our price $7.50 · SP $4.60 · M Singh

A lightly raced type with the wet-track credentials this race demands. He maps just off the speed, which suits Woodville's on-pace bias. Against him are 58.5kg on a heavy surface, 79 days between runs, and a jockey out of form. Best treated as a place proposition rather than a winning chance.

Our price $6.50 · SP $10.10 · L T Hemi

A wet-track-only mare whose form is trending the right way. Her last start 3rd over 1600m at Hawera on Heavy 10 came despite a slow beginning, losing balance and being hampered near the 300m - a run better than the bare margin. Barrier 2 helps at a track whose mile stats favour inside gates, and Hemi is a capable booking off a 12% strike rate for the stable.

Our price $7.00 · SP $17.20 · M Singh

The overlay in the race on class and map.