Tamworth tips and results

Our price $2.80 · SP $1.65 · Jacob Stiff

In a field of maidens, backmarkers and horses without Good-track wins, he is clearly the most likely winner.

Our price $8.00 · SP $14.00 · Donovan Dillon

Shakespeare's Girl is a progressive mare whose last-start Tamworth 2nd, improving sharply from the 800m, marks her as the best of the maidens. Light weight and a handy map are assets on this leader-friendly track. The step to 1600m and the Dillon booking (very poor Tamworth record) cap confidence, but she looks capable of running into the placings in a race where few runners have reliable Good-track credentials.

Our price $7.50 · SP $26.00 · Ben Looker

The unplaced Good-track record is the reason she is a value rather than top selection, but with the on-pace bias and Looker aboard she represents a genuine overlay for an each-way play.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.10 · Aaron Bullock

Tasman Deel ran a solid third on debut at Scone in the same race as Tigrios and should improve second up as a 4yo Dundeel gelding stepping to 1400m. Bullock choosing him over stablemate Folkdance is meaningful. He maps handy from gate 8 which suits the track.

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.60 · Anna Weatherlake

Yeah Buddy has placed at 9 of 10 starts including narrow Toowoomba defeats and two seconds at Scone under 59kg. Drops to 56.5kg, draws barrier 2 and maps to settle in the first three, which is exactly where Tamworth sprint winners come from. Only knock is the bridesmaid tag, but this is the weakest field he has met.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Adam Farragher

The obvious risk is running style, as Tamworth is punishing on backmarkers, but the two-leader speed map projects a genuine tempo that should give her something to run at. Good track record without a win tempers enthusiasm, though most of those runs came from poor draws or in stronger company.

Our price $6.50 · SP $3.50 · Andrew Gibbons

A genuine sprinter whose two wins came at 1000m, making the 1200m the key query, particularly if the tempo is genuine. Positives are the Tamworth win on Good ground, a favourable inside gate and an on-pace pattern that suits the track. The Scone third under a big weight was solid. Jockey statistics at this track are a concern.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.50 · Aaron Bullock

Sipping Shamus has won both times he has led at 1400m, including at Tamworth, and returns to the track and trip second-up where his record reads 2:1-1-0. Barrier 2 and Bullock give him the ideal on-pace run on a track where leaders dominate and backmarkers fade. The first-up effort had valid excuses (interference, keen at 1200m).

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Rory Hutchings

Most reliable placegetter in the race and a proven Good-track performer who maps handy. He was narrowly beaten twice at BM66 recently and ran creditably in a Tamworth BM82. The concern is the 61kg top weight on a tight track and a 1400m record of three placings without a win, which caps him as a place proposition rather than the most likely winner.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Izzy Neale

She rates a place chance if the pace is genuine enough for her to get into the race.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.30 · Heavelon Van Der Hoven

He returns from a bleeding ban, steps from BM66 to BM82, has no Good-track win, and his two trials were plain.