Leeton tips and results

Our price $4.00 · SP $12.00 · Justin W Stanley

Improving four-year-old who produced the best run of her short career when second in a Class 1 over 1820m at Griffith last start, beating a couple of today's rivals. She is on an upward curve and the good track suits. The concern is that she does her best work from off the pace on a track that heavily favours forward runners, so she will need the race to fall her way.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.50 · Blaike McDougall

Maps to sit just off the speed, the ideal spot at Leeton without the pressure of leading. Sharpened by a recent trial placing and has been consistent over 1000m at this level. A leading jockey takes the ride and the wide gate is no disadvantage here. Still to place in three starts, but this is a winnable maiden and she should be in the finish.

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.60 · Cassidy Hill

Frosted Amber is the one to beat on track fit. She maps to settle right on the speed, and Leeton has been a graveyard for horses coming from off the pace while forward runners dominate. She has done her best work on Good ground — all three placings — and drops out of a far richer Super Maiden into this ordinary bunch. The knock is eight goes without a win from a quiet stable, so she is a win play rather than a bank.

Our price $4.20 · SP $5.00 · Blaike McDougall

Tassy Fox brings the strongest body of form into this and has been a model of consistency, placing six times from thirteen and five times from eight at the trip. She handles Good ground and a leading rider is engaged. The concerns are a wide draw and two flat efforts at 1400m before a freshen, so she is taken more for the minors than the win at a track that rewards the speed.

Our price $8.50 · SP $12.00 · Coriah Keatings

A value play rather than a likely winner.

Our price $3.60 · SP $6.00 · Samantha Noble

The one to beat on recent evidence. She rolls forward from an inside gate, exactly where the Leeton winners have come from, and brings the strongest winning form in the field after two wins last preparation. The query is the sharp rise in grade out of restricted company and a last-start fade after leading, with her best runs coming on rain-affected ground.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.20 · Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen

Our price $3.40 · SP $3.50 · Cassidy Hill

Melodee Rose is lightly raced and lightly weighted, and her best run — a last-start win — was a strong staying-on effort. She draws well in barrier two and the trainer is going nicely. The concerns are a four-month break with only a jump out behind her, a jockey yet to find a recent winner, and a rise in grade.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.00 · Sairyn Fawke

Cashbook will roll forward from an on-pace position, which is exactly what this track demands, and he has two wins and two placings over the trip. But he carries top weight of 60.5kg, his recent form is plainly declining, and his stable has not produced a winner in its last 20 starters. Worth a place-only play given the map.

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.60 · Brodie Loy

He has run to a winning standard in this company, maps to settle handy, and is still improving with only six starts behind him. The knock is that every run so far has come on wet ground, so a first look at a good surface and top weight of 59.5kg are genuine queries. Still the most likely winner.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · Ella Bent

The best closer in the field and a three-time winner over the trip. She charged home for second in stronger company at Wagga last start and can also lead, as she did when winning at Narrandera. The problem is the map: she tends to settle well back, and horses off the pace simply do not win at Leeton. If she lands closer she is a serious threat.

Our price $12.00 · SP $16.00 · Brittany Button

He is one of only two genuine speed runners and should be prominent at a track where on-pace types dominate and wide gates hold up. His trainer has a strong record here and he trialled sharply.