Goulburn tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $11.00 · Andrew Adkins

Maysun brings the best two recent efforts in the race and does it the way this track rewards. She was beaten a nose-length on a Heavy track leading throughout at Bathurst, then finished off strongly at Muswellbrook first time in blinkers. She is the only natural leader engaged, draws in the barrier band that wins most often at Goulburn, and gets a rider and stable that both perform above average here.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.50 · Andrew Adkins

She has only had two runs but both were at 1100m and both were high quality — a Soft 5 maiden win at Hawkesbury and a narrowly beaten second at Wyong that was arguably the best single effort any runner here has produced this preparation. She draws the barrier band that wins at Goulburn, settles close enough to use the on-pace bias, and is the one horse in the race still improving rather than exposed.

Our price $10.00 · SP $18.00 · Amy McLucas

She was run down by only half a length in a stronger race at Queanbeyan on the same Soft 5 going two weeks back, and she now meets easier company, draws to sit handy from gate three, and gets back on a rider who has won both her previous starts aboard. Goulburn punishes backmarkers and rewards forward runners with wet form — she ticks both boxes.

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.80 · Andrew Adkins

She settles close enough from gate four and gets a suitable tempo.

Our price $5.00 · SP $12.00 · Rebecca Bronett Prag

She is the one runner in the race clearly better suited by today's conditions and trip than by her last start. First-up over 1200m she raced too keenly and still closed to within four lengths, and she is a proven soft-track performer stepping up to a distance where she has done her best work.

Our price $9.00 · SP $21.00 · Rebecca Bronett Prag

Won her last start on a heavy track and did it from a handy position, which reads well for a soft Goulburn surface where wet-proven horses dominate. The concerns are the outside draw, the likelihood she settles back on a track that favours the forward runners, and a first go at 1300m.

Our price $7.00 · SP $16.00 · Amy McLucas

The overlay in the race. She is the quickest away, drawn to use it, and a proven wet-tracker — exactly the profile Goulburn produces winners from on a soft surface.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.80 · Rebecca Bronett Prag

The form horse of the race on raw ability — she was the best finisher in this field at Goulburn a fortnight ago and has been a consistent placegetter through a run of maidens. Soft ground is fine for her and the fitness edge is real. The catch is obvious: 13 starts without a win, a Goulburn track that punishes closers, and a moderate tempo that won't set the race up for a late run. Big place chance, and the winner if they go hard enough in front.

Our price $11.00 · SP $20.00 · Adrian Layt

The each-way roughie. His Goulburn run reads terribly but he was knocked sideways at the start and never had a chance to build momentum — throw a line through it. The Wagga third in open grade earlier in the prep is a better guide and is comfortably above this class. He's second-up off a short break with a Soft-track trial behind him, and the extra 100m helps.

Our price $6.00 · SP $17.00 · Alysha Collett

She has placed twice at Goulburn and her autumn second over the mile here was a top-class effort for this grade. The complication is the trip: she is coming back a long way in distance first-up after nearly five months. Against that, she has an excellent draw, a jockey who knows the track, proven ability on rain-affected ground and enough natural speed to be closer than her fresh record suggests. Clear second pick and a genuine each-way chance.

Our price $8.00 · SP $13.00 · Adrian Layt

Honest and in good order, he has run third at Goulburn in each of his past two starts and was beaten only a head-bob last time after racing keenly and hanging late. He handles a soft surface and his best form at the track reads well for this grade. The worry is the drop to 1100m from mile trips plus the awkward inside draw, which is statistically the worst band here. Solid each-way value rather than a winning play.

Our price $9.00 · SP $19.00 · Dale Cole

The map is the case. She has the gate and the gate speed to cross and control a moderate tempo at a track where front-runners hold a real edge, and she drops to the minimum weight with the claim. Her Queanbeyan win was genuinely strong for this level and the two recent trials have her ready.