Hawkesbury tips and results

Our price $4.80 · SP $2.70 · Regan Bayliss

Red Affairs trialled up nicely, winning her latest hit-out, and maps well from barrier three. Sara Ryan can ready a debutant and the Home Affairs bloodlines fit a sharp 1000m.

Our price $7.00 · SP $15.00 · Jean Van Overmeire

De Grawin Queen faces Artemex again after a tough debut here where she raced wide, keen and without cover. The two prior trial wins showed ability, and second-up with that experience she can jump forward.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.00 · Rachel King

Maps to control or sit handy, which is a genuine advantage at this course when maidens are run. The Warwick Farm fourth behind stronger types was honest, and the Waterhouse-Bott/King team often strike in these midweek spots. Third on pure winning chance; needs to sustain the gallop at 1500m but the pattern fits.

Our price $4.20 · SP $2.60 · Chad Schofield

He gets a nice draw but does his best work from off the pace, and this track has strongly favoured forward runners, with backmarkers barely winning. His trainer has had no winners from many local starters.

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Tommy Berry

A last-start maiden winner over 1500m who also ran second in a good maiden here at the same trip earlier in the year. He gets the meeting's best local rider and a trainer with a strong Hawkesbury record, and is the stable's only runner.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Mikayla Weir

Oakfield Alaska is the horse with the highest ceiling. Three wins from four and a dominant profile before the spell mark him as progressive. Mikayla Weir said after the Wyong flop that he wants further, so this is the right race. Second-up he has won before and he has already saluted at Hawkesbury. The big weight and lack of an 1800m run are the only real queries; if he stays, he wins.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · Winona Costin

Prefer Diamonds keeps turning up and running honest races. Her Midway third at Rosehill was a high-class effort for this grade, and she followed with another solid third over 2000m here. Two wins at the venue underline her liking for Hawkesbury. Blinkers come off, which may help her settle. She is a reliable each-way chance who will be hard to hold out of the first three.

Our price $6.50 · SP $11.00 · Grant Buckley

Binkou is flying at his home track. He won an 1800m here, then ran second over the same trip and second again over 2000m, all in this grade. That is the strongest sequential form in the field at Hawkesbury. The map is the worry because he often gets back, and this circuit can punish backmarkers, yet he has already won from off the pace here.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.60 · Shannen Llewellyn

Clearest form horse. Handles Hawkesbury and 1400m, maps forward in a race without a genuine leader, and has been competitive in similar or stronger company. Last-start third here in a Midway BM68 was honest and prior Open run was strong. Best win chance on form and setup.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Louise Day

Run-style angle is the key. No confirmed leader and a moderate tempo hand her the front from barrier 4, and this track has been kind to early speed. Her 1100m win was the right form; the latest 1200m fade is forgivable and the trip drop helps.

Our price $11.00 · SP $16.00 · Chad Schofield

Genuine each-way overlay. She beat Bench 64 company last start with the race not truly run to suit, and connections keep the winning rider. Small each-way stake captures the upside if she repeats the latest effort.