Moe tips and results

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Damien Thornton

Improving stayer who ran second over 2400m last start, beating several of these, and is only three runs into her career. She carries 2kg less than the geldings and her jockey has an excellent record at this track. She comes from off the pace, a concern at Moe, but she is trending the right way and stays well.

Our price $26.00 · SP $41.00 · Valentin Le Boeuf

He is a natural leader, and in a staying maiden expected to be run at a slow tempo a forward horse can steal a break — he has two placings here and three over this trip.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.40 · Liana Wood

The most reliable stayer in the field. He led and was only collared late over this trip last start, running to a winning standard, and with little speed engaged he should dominate a slowly-run staying contest. Moe rewards runners on the pace through the turn, which plays to his strength. The obvious knock is fifteen starts without a win, but his distance form is clearly the strongest here.

Our price $8.00 · SP $14.00 · Beau Mertens

An improving mare who found the line well when a close third over a similar trip last start. She should settle handy in a race with little early pressure, and her trainer's record at Moe is a positive.

Our price $2.80 · SP $1.90 · Jamie Mott

The clear form pick. His Ballarat second over 1000m was the strongest run in this race - he came from near last to be beaten under a length - and he has won a jump-out since. Drops to maiden grade and teams with a stable-jockey pairing that wins regularly. The worry is his get-back style from a wide gate on a track that rewards forward runners, so he will need luck.

Our price $12.00 · SP $41.00 · Beau Mertens

Overpriced on her debut fade at Mornington, where she showed speed before tiring on soft ground.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.60 · Ethan Brown

A first-starter from the powerful Maher yard with a big-race rider aboard in Ethan Brown, who has been riding this track brilliantly. The Brazen Beau gelding has shown natural early speed in recent jump-outs and is clearly the stable's pick on debut. The wide-ish gate is a slight worry but he should be prominent from the jump.

Our price $9.00 · SP $26.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

An improving on-pace type who has been solid without winning. He raced on the speed in better maidens and has tuned up with two handy jump-outs.

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.70 · Olivia East

Aubaine has the best recent form in the field, having won his maiden last start and placed at his two previous runs, and he comes from a top stable with a fine record here. However, this is a big rise out of maiden company, all his form is on the synthetic, and he is yet to win on a Good turf track. Sitting on a hot tempo is another query.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.60 · Bailey Kinninmont

Super Mirage drops out of stronger races where he was competitive over further, and the predicted hot tempo should suit a horse who finishes powerfully. He has a win over this trip and his two seconds earlier in the year were at a higher grade. The knock is that he can settle a long way back and will need the race to unfold to his liking, and he comes off a jump-out rather than a hard race.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.00 · Nadia Daniels

She looks the one to lead and is the most in-form stayer in the field, narrowly beaten in her last three over a similar trip. Getting in light off the inside gate, she should control a moderate tempo and prove hard to run down at Moe, where forward runners are favoured. The short back-up is the main query.

Our price $9.00 · SP $18.00 · Teodore Nugent

Improving galloper who closed hard for second at this grade last start. The step to a staying trip looks ideal and the even tempo should suit his midfield style.

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.00 · Melea Castle

Veteran who saves his best for Moe, with a win and two seconds from seven starts here and a narrow second over this trip. Closes hard and would be well suited if the speedsters cut at each other up front.

Our price $4.20 · SP $2.70 · Jye McNeil

Consistent galloper dropping out of stronger company, and the race sets up well for him: three genuine leaders should force a genuine tempo, which suits a horse who settles back and finishes hard. He has won on good ground and has two placings at this track. The knock is a modest winning strike rate — he finds one or two better more often than he wins.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.60 · Beau Mertens

The strongest recent form in the field — he won nicely two runs back and was beaten less than a length in a stronger grade last start, leading on both occasions. He drops in class and maps to settle handy at a track where on-pace sprinters do well. The doubts are that all his wins have come on softer ground and he has never won on a good track.

Our price $11.00 · SP $13.00 · Koby Jennings

She is a proven 1200m performer with several wins and placings at the trip, handles good ground, and has been racing consistently. A genuinely fast tempo should help her come from off the pace. The knock is that both her jockey and trainer have had a lean spell.