Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Monday 5 October 2026
Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Muswellbrook. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Apache Command has the best form profile in a tightly matched maiden. Her Tuncurry third was the strongest run in the field, and she has kept placing at this grade. A rail draw and handy settling position suit the Muswellbrook sprint bias on a Soft track.
The stable is in form.
Little Bubbles has the tactical speed to be handy from the wide gate, and her best runs have been competitive at this level. The jockey knows the track well, and the jockey and trainer combination has a good record together.
Arandas has never raced officially, but he has the right profile to run well: a young gelding who won his latest barrier trial over this 1000m trip, and he is with a rider who does well at this track.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Our Astute Lass | 11 | Izzy Neale | Scott Singleton | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 7 | Frog Rock | 8 | Adam Farragher | Jan Bowen | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Mary Bones | 4 | Clayton Gallagher | Jan Bowen | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Mia Amore | 10 | Jeff Penza | Peter Bloomfield | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 2 | I'm Flexible | 3 | Rory Hutchings | Brett and Georgie Cavanough | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Apache Command | 1 | Anna Weatherlake | Greg Preston | 54kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Arandas | 6 | Mikayla Weir | Bernie Kelly | 56.5kg | $5.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Modernist | 7 | Mitchell Bell | Brett and Georgie Cavanough | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Knight Chant | 2 | Grant Buckley | Terry Wicks | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Little Bubbles | 12 | Gabrielle Johnston | Wayne Wilkes | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Ms Wicked Showgirl | 9 | Zac Wadick | Robert Agnew | 55kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Hot Chestnut | 5 | Tom Ollerton | 59kg |
She has the best early speed, a light weight and a win at the track. However, she has been faded in front over longer trips, is drawn wide at barrier 9, and has a jockey who is out of form.
Zubba Storm gets a good draw and a good jockey, and may lead or sit just behind the leader in a moderate-tempo race.
Chestime has the best form in the race. Her recent runs, including a soft-track win and a solid third last start, ran to a winning standard. She should settle in the first half of the field in a moderate tempo and finish well from barrier 6. Top weight and a jockey with a poor Muswellbrook record are small negatives.
He drops in class and should race on the pace from a decent draw.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Wandjad | 7 | Andrew Gibbons | Wayne Wilkes | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 5 | Roses Imminente | 8 | Adam Farragher | Lou Mary | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Supreme Statement | 4 | Jacob Stiff | Cheryl Roberts | 53.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Dreymon | 3 | Gabrielle Johnston | Alan Smith | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Think Back | 9 | Shaun Guymer | Scott Singleton | 55.5kg | $3.20 |
| 6th | 9 | Smart Jazz | 1 | Jenny Duggan | Jeremy Sylvester | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Rebel's Edge | 5 | Grant Buckley | Jeremy Sylvester | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Zubba Storm | 2 | Aaron Bullock | Mack Griffith | 60kg | $3.40 |
| Scr | 1 | Chestime | 6 | Lou Mary | 60kg |
Fresh from a win and drawn well, Triple Yes is the most reliable on form. She will carry top weight and has to measure up in a Bm66 after a plain run in this grade here last month. With no real leader in the race she can use her barrier and race handy.
Blind Squirrel won her maiden in strong style at this 900m trip and runs second-up with improvement likely. She could easily control a race with no genuine leaders. The risks are the jump from maidens to Bm66, her inexperience and a jockey who has not won here.
Blue Dane drops in class and carries just 53kg. She has natural speed and could dictate in a race with no genuine leader. Her run last start in better company was solid. She has not raced this short or at this track, and some of her earlier runs were poor, but the drop in class and a trainer who does well here make her a solid place chance.
She won first-up and is on-pace in a race that suits handy runners. Her maiden win was on soft ground over this trip and she ran well in the trial. The significant class rise and long spell make her a risk, and last start she weakened late, but she looks the best of the rest on the map.
She is the most likely leader in a moderate tempo, and she is coming off a 900m win on soft ground in which she ran to a good standard. Top weight and a class rise are the concerns, but her best runs are clearly the strongest in this field.
His fourth in a Bm66 here last month and a handy-midfield style fit the track bias.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Triple Yes | 2 | Aaron Bullock | Liam Ruddy | 59kg | $1.70 |
| 2nd | 5 | Blind Squirrel | 5 | Clayton Gallagher | Gregory McFarlane | 56.5kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 6 | Blue Dane | 3 | Liberty Smyth | Shaun Harvey | 53kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Our Emily | 1 | Jack Baker | John Bannister | 53kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Lily Bobtail | 4 | Jeff Penza | Luke A Thomas | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Sir Freddie | 9 | Grant Buckley | Jeremy Sylvester | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Movin' Denman | 6 | Rory Hutchings | Rodney Ollerton | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Angie's Sister | 8 | Brett Robb | 62kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Alabama Hammer | 7 | Gregory McFarlane | 57.5kg |
A moderate tempo and wide gate are real concerns, and Open class is new, but she still rates the most likely winner.
Hellcibell has beaten this class at this track and distance. She comes off a close second last start and should get a handy run from barrier 4 in a moderate tempo, which suits. Soft ground is only an average fit for her, but the on-pace profile gives her a solid chance.
Cresta Run is the likely leader from a good inside gate. The tempo should be moderate, which helps. She has the right profile to run a place, though her soft record shows no wins and she has gone down late when leading.
Navy Steel is bigger than he should be. He won an Open handicap on heavy ground at Dubbo and has also won at this track, with a tendency to run on well in the wet. His last run was poor, but it was a drop in conditions he did not need.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Nova Centauri | 8 | Adam Farragher | Rodney Northam | 55kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 2 | Hellcibell | 4 | Rory Hutchings | Brett and Georgie Cavanough | 57.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Unreachable | 1 | Grant Buckley | Jeremy Sylvester | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Imatruestar | 3 | Zac Wadick | Grant Jobson | 61.5kg | $20.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Navy Steel | 7 | Mikayla Weir | Brett and Georgie Cavanough | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 6 | Grandini | 5 | Anna Weatherlake | Rodney Northam | 52kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Clifton Springs | 6 | Clayton Gallagher | Carlos Antonio | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Cresta Run | 2 | Mitchell Bell | Brett and Georgie Cavanough | 55kg | $10.00 |
Rolling Home has been placed in all four starts, has run well over this course and trip on Soft 5, and now meets maidens after racing in open company. A trial win last start confirms his fitness.
Race debutant with excellent connections. The stable and rider combination wins at about one in three, and the trainer is dominant at Muswellbrook. A trial win and a placing in her two lead-up trials suggest she is forward and ready. Barrier 8 should allow a handy trip.
Bold Bucks has been consistently competitive in maiden company and was only just beaten last start after being held up. The expected fast pace from three genuine leaders gives him a chance to finish over the top.
A consistent three-year-old who was just beaten last start over a similar trip and has shown she handles soft ground. Barrier 7 offers a handy midfield trip, and the likely fast tempo should suit her late run.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Rolling Home | 9 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Annabel and Rob Archibald | 60kg | $1.70 |
| 2nd | 6 | Imelda | 8 | Aaron Bullock | Paul Messara and Leah Gavranich | 58kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 11 | Machrihanish | 7 | Shaun Guymer | Richard and Will Freedman | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 14 | Enchantic | 6 | Andrew Gibbons | Kris Lees | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Prince Of Wants | 11 | Zac Wadick | Robert Agnew | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 15 | Songbird Yessiree | 1 | Liam Riordan | Jay Hopkins | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 19 | Bigbetterbest | 3 | Gabrielle Johnston | Noel Boland | 53kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Gee Pee Jay Aye | 4 | Adam Farragher | Scott Aspery | 57kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Paris Knights | 16 | Rory Hutchings | Kim Waugh | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Letterman | 10 | Gregory McFarlane | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | River Jordan | 19 | Nacim Dilmi | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Bold Bucks | 15 | Richard and Will Freedman | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Hidden News | 14 | Kim Waugh | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Escalopecan | 17 | Kris Lees | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Sweet Disposition | 12 | Jay Hopkins | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Dynamic Diva | 5 | Tony Ball | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Riga | 18 | Nacim Dilmi | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Torpedo Tube | 2 | Andrew MacDonald | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Whoopi Do | 13 | Tony Ball | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | I'm Flexible | 20 | Brett and Georgie Cavanough | 56.5kg |
Mainstay won well at Scone and ran to a winning standard in the process. He is well drawn, should sit handy in a race short of early speed, and is ridden by a jockey and trainer team in top form here.
Love You Anyway rarely runs badly, and her soft-ground record is the strongest in the race. She has been running to a winning standard, gets a much better draw than her last Muswellbrook start, and carries just 55kg.
The connections do well at Muswellbrook. The concerns are a likely back-of-field run in a moderate tempo, no soft-ground placing yet, and the top-end weight. She needs a bit of luck to win but should be running on, so is better as a place option.
Bonoyster has been desperately close in his last two starts and should be able to stride forward from barrier 9 to lead or sit one-off. In a moderately run sprint on a track favouring on-pace runners, that suits.
The negatives are the wide gate and a back-half settling spot at a track where backmarkers struggle.
Real Mccoy is a rising 4-year-old whose Coffs Harbour win came at a winning standard, finishing strongly. He should settle midfield from a reasonable draw and be running on late.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Mainstay | 5 | Aaron Bullock | Paul Messara and Leah Gavranich | 59kg | $1.18 |
| 2nd | 7 | Real Mccoy | 6 | Zac Wadick | Glen Milligan | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Cassiere | 2 | Mitchell Bell | Brett and Georgie Cavanough | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Kermitisapet | 4 | Clayton Gallagher | Tim McIntosh | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Love You Anyway | 3 | Mikayla Weir | Barry Lawrence | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 13 | Carbrook | 8 | Jack Baker | Mark Howard | 53kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Heta | 10 | Rory Hutchings | Brett and Georgie Cavanough | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| 8th | 14 | Helen's Crown | 1 | Deep Shanker | Mark Howard | 55kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Steel Knight | 13 | Annabel and Rob Archibald | 62kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Supido Star | 14 | Todd Howlett | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Excelluna | 12 | Richard and Will Freedman | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Bonoyster | 9 | Noel Boland | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Salma's Star | 11 | Gregory McFarlane | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Just Joan | 7 | Toby Pracey | 55kg |
La Potenza won at Class 2 last start with a strong finish, has two wins on Good ground and gets a handy gate with a likely slow tempo and a lone leader. The Cavanough stable and Mitchell Bell are a potent team here.
Ode So Much has been in sound form, winning a BM58 and running second in another, both at a good standard. He steps up to Class 2 off a light weight and has a decent record. The risk is a back-of-field map in a likely slow race, which makes it harder for a closer, and wide of the soft-ground record he is unproven on Good. A solid place chance.
He ran a gutsy second at Gosford and drops the blinkers after a flat effort at this track. The negatives are top weight and a likely back-of-field position in a slow-run race, which doesn't suit.
She is likely to be near the tail of the field in a slow-run race, which goes against the bias at this track, and her form to date is only moderate. The trial win and strong stable are positives.
Ring My Bell is the one runner likely to get an easy lead from the rail in a slow-run race. She hit the frame in her last two starts despite being forced to run from the back, so a better position could lift her.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Missile Magnate | 2 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Annabel and Rob Archibald | 61kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | La Potenza | 3 | Mitchell Bell | Brett and Georgie Cavanough | 58kg | $2.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Ode So Much | 8 | Olivia Dalton | Simon Casey | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 14 | Frenchburg | 15 | Grant Buckley | Terry Wicks | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 13 | Ring My Bell | 1 | Jenny Duggan | Mark Milton | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 9 | Silent Serenade | 11 | Daniel A Northey | Tim McIntosh | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Blue Suede Hooves | 10 | Rory Hutchings | Kim Waugh | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Pappiana | 4 | Billy Cray | Nikki Pollock | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Cassie's Lad | 9 | Liam Riordan | Jay Hopkins | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Etoile Filante | 6 | Kris Lees | 62.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Zubba Storm | 12 | Mack Griffith | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Gem Tycoon | 13 | Richard and Will Freedman | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Admire Me | 7 | Scott Singleton | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | All Too Sneaky | 14 | Damien Lane | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Dreymon | 5 | Alan Smith | 55.5kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.