Randwick Kensington tips and results

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.60 · James McDonald

Klocke has done nothing wrong but nothing decisive either, running second at all three starts including a stakes placing at Eagle Farm over today's trip on soft ground. The blinkers and McDonald booking are intent signals, and his on-pace pattern from barrier 5 suits the circuit.

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.00 · Sam Clipperton

Iommi ran into form last start at Rosehill, finishing within a length over this trip despite over-racing and being checked near the 800m. He draws well, has handled heavy ground before and backs up quickly in good order.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.50 · Kerrin McEvoy

The horse with the highest ceiling in the race. His Newcastle win on heavy ground as a two-year-old was better than anything else in this field has achieved, and his follow-up fifth at Randwick came after racing wide without cover and losing a plate. The wide draw and a likely position towards the rear on a track that punishes backmarkers are the concerns.

Our price $10.00 · SP $9.50 · Tom Sherry

His Newcastle third at this exact grade and distance was a very good run, covering extra ground the whole way yet finishing a third of a length off the winner. He won when second-up last preparation, handles soft ground and should settle in the first four here with the tempo expected to be slow. Small each-way play.

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.00 · Adam Hyeronimus

Maluku has done little wrong in four starts and her last-start win at Warwick Farm was the best performance of her career, overcoming a wide run without cover while carrying 60kg on Soft 5 ground. She drops a kilo today and gets a better draw. The two queries are the first attempt at 1400m and the step up to Bench. 78, but her rate of progress and soft-track record say she can handle both.

Our price $5.20 · SP $3.90 · James McDonald

Beside The Ocean is the forgotten horse. She has been beaten under a length in two straight Bench. 78 races at Rosehill, including a run last start where she hung in the straight yet still finished close to the winner. That is form as good as anything in this field, and she adds James McDonald, who has a 30% strike rate for the stable. Worth an each-way play.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.40 · James McDonald

He has only one win from nine starts, and while he keeps running honestly, his recent efforts sit a touch below Botanical Boy's last-start win and Leica Storm's steady form. In his favour is the perfect run from barrier 4 trailing the leader, a strong jockey-trainer partnership and a good soft-track placing at Canterbury.

Our price $9.00 · SP $9.50 · Dylan Gibbons

Furious is the value runner purely on class. He lost a shoe last start, has won here before and handles soft ground. The negatives are real, chiefly 61kg and a get-back racing pattern in a slowly-run race on a track that has not been rewarding closers.

Our price $3.40 · SP $4.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Monte Kate is the form horse. Her Warwick Farm win at this grade on a soft track was the strongest recent performance in the race and she had excuses at a higher level before that. She handles wet ground, has an outstanding distance record and will race handy in a small field on a track where forward runners dominate.

Our price $3.75 · SP $3.30 · Ashley Morgan

He has won four of seven, maps to lead uncontested and this track rewards exactly that. The stable is in form and his trials were sound. The concerns are real though: he has never performed on soft ground, failed badly last time when keen, has been off the scene since June and carries 60kg into a stronger race.

Our price $11.00 · SP $10.00 · Sairyn Fawke

Who But Roo is the forgotten runner. He raced on the speed and held his ground at this grade last start, drops to the minimum weight and should be close to the lead throughout in a race with little pace. The Kensington stats heavily favour horses in his position on the turn.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.30 · Dylan Gibbons

He is talented with a high strike rate, but the race shape is the concern: a lone leader at a slow tempo on a closer-hostile track leaves him needing luck and a sharp turn of foot from behind.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.00 · Regan Bayliss

Shotgun Bella is the most reliable form horse in the race, placing in ten of twelve starts and winning at a higher grade than this at Scone. Her runs before the break were up to a winning standard for this class, she races on the speed on a track that strongly rewards that style, and her two trials show she is ready. She handles soft going.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · Tommy Berry

Island Dec is a soft-track specialist whose form reads far worse than it is because her last two runs were on good ground with clear excuses. Berry has an excellent record on her.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Kerrin McEvoy

Found The Gold is the improver in the race. A stakes-placed 3yo filly with placings from all three starts, she gets a significant weight advantage over the older mares and her last-start third in this grade came after copping interference at several points. Her debut win was on soft ground.