Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Sunday 11 October 2026
Our top pick won 0 of 8 races at Cairns. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Chica Poderosa is the best form-and-map combination in a weak maiden. She has run second three times around Cairns 950m, ran to a high standard against better company, and drew barrier 1 with a handy position likely. Her stable is going well and the trial win last start suggests she is fit.
She sits just off the speed, carries only 52.5kg, and handles Good ground. The draw is a slight negative and she has yet to win in seven starts, but she is capable of stepping up to break through.
His best runs show real ability, including a near-miss at Cairns over this trip, and the drop to maiden class is large. However, he returns from a spell and likely sits at the back, which is a handicap here.
Any News is a consistent placegetter with solid runs at Cairns, including a close second over this trip. Winning is hard for a mare with 11 starts and no win, and she often settles too far back, but a fast pace should bring her into the race. She is a clear overlay for the place.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Do A Little Dance | 10 | Sean Cormack | Ricky Ludwig | 58kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 2 | Vincentvangee | 2 | Ivo Fry | Gavin Kinlyside | 60kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Chica Poderosa | 1 | Masayuki Abe | Trevor and Peter Rowe | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Dee Three | 3 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Foxy Cheval | 8 | Samantha Pointon | Trevor and Peter Rowe | 52.5kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Sixty Nine Grange | 11 | Ben Kennedy | Tom Button | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Dapper Vee | 7 | Adam Sewell | Sharlee Hoffman | 58.5kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Stretch The Monkey | 5 | Ryan Wiggins | Rodney Miller | 60kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 5 | Any News | 6 | Rachel Shred | Rachel Shred | 58kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Whispers Of Ziaan | 9 | Lauren Guernier | Neil Wieland | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 4 | Leuboom | 4 | Isabella Teh | Gavin Kinlyside | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
She has led or sat just off the pace and finished strongly. Barrier 2 and a light weight suit the Cairns map, and Sean Cormack knows the track. She is the most reliable of the main contenders for the win.
Formal Affair is a solid, consistent filly who has won at Cairns and placed at Bowen. She gets a handy run just behind the leaders, and her jockey and trainer are a strong combination. Barrier 8 is wider than ideal, and the class step is a risk. She has enough form to get into the finish.
The big issue is the weight. He carries 60kg, 6kg more than that win, and he steps into Open company for the first time. On the front, he may be pressured by Booming Belief.
He has been placing on Good tracks and is racing fitter and better. Carrying only 54kg, he can improve at this level. The Open class is a step up, but the 3yo field looks fairly ordinary beyond the top few runners.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Worthy Gem | 6 | Ryan Wiggins | Fred Wieland | 60kg | $1.14 |
| 2nd | 6 | Bank Interest | 7 | Ivo Fry | Ricky Ludwig | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Formal Affair | 8 | Ben Kennedy | Tom Button | 54.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Booming Belief | 2 | Sean Cormack | Fred Wieland | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Red Light Power | 4 | Nathan Thomas | Trevor and Peter Rowe | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Rocky Prince | 1 | Masayuki Abe | Trevor and Peter Rowe | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Ostuni | 3 | Samantha Pointon | Alex Malliff | 52.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Hugo's Hangover | 5 | Rachel Shred | Krystin Allender | 55.5kg |
Turn Bird is the most reliable form horse in a small, tactical field. He is drawn inside, should settle in the first three or four on a slow-run race, and the jockey has a strong Cairns record.
Spirit Meister is the one genuine pace runner in a race with no leader. He can dictate a slow tempo, he won last start, and his Cairns record over this trip is the best in the field. The firmness is a query given his better results on soft, and top weight adds to that.
He is likely to be midfield or further back in a slow-run race with no leader, which is not ideal.
Impardoo is a former Cairns winner with a strong record at the track and distance and a recent close second. He is a backmarker in a slow-run race, which is the main worry, and he has 59kg.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Hot Digity Boom | 1 | Ben Kennedy | Steven Royes | 55kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 3 | Turn Bird | 2 | Ryan Wiggins | Steven Royes | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Arctic Bear | 7 | Ivo Fry | Gavin Kinlyside | 55kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Spirit Meister | 6 | Masayuki Abe | Rodney Miller | 60kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Impardoo | 5 | Adam Sewell | Bodine Bailey | 59kg | $7.50 |
| Scr | 5 | Seventies Hit | 3 | Bodine Bailey | 54.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Miss Shu | 4 | Trevor and Peter Rowe | 54kg |
She is the only runner with a win at Cairns over 950m, and she maps on-pace from barrier 2 in a moderately run race, which suits her. Her recent runs were solid against stiffer opposition.
A genuine on-pace type who ran to a winning standard in his last two runs. Barrier 1 and his first-up record are positives. He should be right in the finish if the pace is genuine.
She has the pace to lead unchallenged and is a threat if she can hold on at the shorter trip. Her runs have been over much further though, her last run faded badly, and she is returning from a long break with a quiet stable. She rates a place-type chance who could go on with it if the race falls her way.
A lightly raced mare who won her debut over a short sprint and is back in just 15 days. She carries a light weight, and her stable is in form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Colonel Parker | 1 | Ryan Wiggins | Bodine Bailey | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Devine Force | 2 | Sean Cormack | Fred Wieland | 58kg | $1.70 |
| 3rd | 7 | Cincincity | 8 | Lauren Guernier | Fred Wieland | 56kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Nosey Neo | 3 | Aidan Holt | Trevor and Peter Rowe | 60kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Lady Potato Head | 4 | Ben Kennedy | Maria Potiris | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Frilly Filly | 6 | Masayuki Abe | Trevor and Peter Rowe | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Sugarfire | 7 | Adam Sewell | Bodine Bailey | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| Scr | 2 | Smart Mission | 5 | Bodine Bailey | 60kg |
He is the quickest away from the inside gate and has run to a winning standard in recent starts. He is the horse to beat if he can control a fast tempo from barrier 1.
She settles midfield, which suits a fast tempo, and the stable is in good form. Her last Cairns run was disappointing after she led, but the map is much better here. She is a solid place chance, and a win chance if the leaders tire.
His Cairns track and distance win on a Good track shows he can do it here. He is now second up and sits handy. Top weight and a fast tempo with other speed runners are the concerns, as he has faded after leading lately.
He is a backmarker, which is a real disadvantage at Cairns, and he has no win at this distance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Haphazard | 7 | Isabella Teh | Louise Terzi | 60kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Speedy Target | 1 | Ben Kennedy | Alex Malliff | 59kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 9 | Power Puff | 2 | Chris Whiteley | Alwyn Bailey | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Willingale | 6 | Wanderson D'Avila | Alwyn Bailey | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Laser Beam | 5 | Samantha Pointon | Alex Malliff | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 7 | Stateswoman | 9 | Ivo Fry | Kayla Russell | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Magic Sunny Day | 8 | Masayuki Abe | Trevor and Peter Rowe | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Kitema | 3 | Sean Cormack | Alwyn Bailey | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 8 | Middle Child | 4 | Nathan Thomas | Steven Royes | 55kg | $21.00 |
He has run to a winning standard at Cairns on a similar track and is drawn to get a perfect run just off the lone leader in a slow tempo. Top weight and last start's flat Atherton run are the concerns, but he has proven he can carry big weights and is better than the other runners on ability.
He is not selected as the top pick because Indefinite has better form and will be only a few lengths off him.
A solid but unspectacular type who runs on late. The slow tempo hurts her since she is likely to settle deep and have to find a gap.
Innovates has been consistent, with four top-three finishes from his last five starts and a win in a recent trial.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Bancory Bay | 2 | Ryan Wiggins | Stephen Massingham | 57.5kg | $1.95 |
| 2nd | 6 | Manhattan's | 4 | Sean Cormack | Fred Wieland | 55kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 4 | Innovates | 6 | Masayuki Abe | Rodney Miller | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Indefinite | 1 | Adam Sewell | Bodine Bailey | 59.5kg | $3.50 |
| 5th | 9 | Bombinate | 8 | Rachel Shred | Louise Terzi | 54kg | $71.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Aoom's Choice | 9 | Ben Kennedy | Kayla Russell | 54.5kg | $91.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Egzakly | 5 | Samantha Pointon | Kayla Russell | 52.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Arctic Bear | 10 | Gavin Kinlyside | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Whirlwind | 7 | Matthew McGuire | 54.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Naughty Nurse | 3 | Troy Clive | 55kg |
The most likely winner on form. Novela has been racing well in stronger company, running second at Ewan last start in a performance that stacked up with the best in this field. Dropping in class and carrying top weight is a concern, but he has the speed to lead and control a moderate tempo on Good ground.
He ran a gallant second last start leading throughout, but today is mapped to settle well back in a race with a moderate tempo, where backmarkers are at a disadvantage at Cairns. He rates a strong place chance and is a genuine threat if the race is run honestly.
Diamond Lucy has won two of her last five and carries just 54.5kg, which is a big advantage in a Bench. 62. She has run good times at the trip and has a superb record with her jockey.
Fancy Garter is a genuine winner last time out and has won over this trip at Cairns. She gets a handy midfield run in a moderate-tempo race and the lift in class is a manageable step.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Diamond Lucy | 8 | Chris Whiteley | Troy Clive | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Singular | 2 | Ryan Wiggins | Stephen Massingham | 59kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Fancy Garter | 7 | Wanderson D'Avila | Alwyn Bailey | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Russian Summer | 1 | Ben Kennedy | Steven Royes | 58.5kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Miss Shu | 3 | Nathan Thomas | Trevor and Peter Rowe | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Red Boomshakalaka | 9 | Rachel Shred | Allan Holmes | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Irresistible Force | 5 | Aidan Holt | Alwyn Bailey | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Darts Daly | 4 | Sean Cormack | Michael Geaney | 58kg | $2.90 |
| 9th | 1 | Novela | 10 | Lauren Guernier | Fred Wieland | 62kg | $6.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Nippa's Nightcap | 6 | Ivo Fry | Sharlee Hoffman | 61.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Sugarfire | 11 | Bodine Bailey | 58kg |
Sharing favouritism with Youmeanddupre, she gets the nod on form. She drops sharply in class after a plain run in a Gold Coast Plate, but earlier this campaign she ran to a better standard at Beaudesert. She's proven at the trip and at ease on a good track, and she should settle midfield behind a moderate pace. The stable's poor Cairns record is a worry, but the class drop outweighs it. Youmeanddupre is passed over because barrier 12 will likely mean a wide trip.
Vouchers has the right profile, being an on-pace type with a good record at the trip. He's proven he can win at Cairns, and the jockey and trainer combine well. His recent runs have been disappointing, mostly after slow starts or wide runs, and barrier 11 is a concern. At today's weight and the class level he looks capable of bouncing back, and he's a safer place chance than win chance.
Secret Cypher is the only horse likely to lead and will have Time Power to contend with. He ran well in defeat at Atherton last start while carrying 62.5kg, and he has won at Cairns. A moderate pace suits an on-speed horse from barrier 4. He weakened late when over-racing last time here, so he needs to settle.
Sweet Candy won her last start at Atherton and has been placed in two of her last three, with good consistent form. She carries only 56kg, and jockey Adam Sewell has been strong lately. The step up in trip is untested and barrier 10 is a negative.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Vouchers | 11 | Ryan Wiggins | Steven Royes | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 1 | Empire Of Art | 1 | Ivo Fry | Janel Ryan | 60.5kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Secret Cypher | 4 | Nathan Thomas | Allan Holmes | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Sweet Candy | 10 | Adam Sewell | Bodine Bailey | 56kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Nordic Invader | 3 | Masayuki Abe | Stephen Massingham | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Princess Shanghai | 7 | Wanderson D'Avila | Scott Cooper | 54kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Youmeanddupre | 12 | Ben Kennedy | Alex Malliff | 58kg | $3.60 |
| 8th | 5 | Time Power | 6 | Aidan Holt | Trevor and Peter Rowe | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Golden Glaze | 9 | Sean Cormack | Fred Wieland | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 10th | 12 | Miss Boho Fashion | 8 | Rachel Shred | Allan Holmes | 54kg | $151.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Tipped Off | 2 | Shohei Kaya | Alwyn Bailey | 59kg | $20.00 |
| 12th | 4 | Naughty Nurse | 5 | Chris Whiteley | Troy Clive | 58kg | $5.00 |
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