Sha Tin tips and results

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Zac Purton

He is the only runner in the field with multiple dirt wins, and his sixth at Sha Tin two starts back was a performance good enough to win a race like this. Forgive the Happy Valley run from a wide draw over an unsuitable 1000m. He is the quickest beginner here, the trial win leading all the way was a good sign, and Purton with the in-form Man stable is a potent pairing. The wide gate is the main concern but his speed should get him forward.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.20 · Jerry Chau

So My Folks produced the strongest single performance of any runner here when second from barrier 2 on 6 September, racing fourth and finishing powerfully. Last start he drew nine, carried top weight and was never in the race. Today he returns to the inside gate, sheds weight and has an in-form jockey.

Our price $8.00 · SP $16.00 · Luke Ferraris

Daily Trophy is a consistent old campaigner who put in a solid third behind Wave Garden and Gimme Five a fortnight ago, moving up to third at the 400m under 60kg. He has genuine dirt ability with a win and a placing from four All Weather starts, and few horses here know the track and trip better. The draw means he will need to work early or settle midfield, but the forecast fast tempo should give him something to run at.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.70 · Nichola Yuen

Gimme Five was second in that same race after leading, carries 51.5kg again with a jockey in rare form, and if he can slide across from gate 10 he will be hard to pass on this on-speed circuit. His record as a non-winner tempers confidence, so each-way is the play.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Derek Leung

Spicy Spangle is the form and map horse. He led all the way to win over 1000m in this grade last start and maps to lead again in a race with no other genuine front-runner, on a track that heavily rewards on-pace runners. His connections are flying and the jockey has won on him before.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Nichola Yuen

His last start from the widest gate was a much better effort than the finishing position implies, he has won second up before, and he drops to a feather weight under the hottest apprentice in Hong Kong. He maps to sit just behind the speed from barrier six. He is a legitimate top-three chance who can run a place at the very least.

Our price $11.00 · SP $27.00 · Luke Ferraris

He is a proven Class 5 winner at Sha Tin and his last two failures came after he burned too much petrol early over longer distances. Dropping back to 1000m from an inside draw, with a jockey who has won on him twice and a stable in strong form, he can bounce back sharply in a race with little genuine speed.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.40 · Derek Leung

Little Monster is the form horse. His last two runs at Sha Tin over this trip were both run to a winning standard, including a close second a fortnight ago from a handy position. He races on the pace, which is exactly the pattern that wins Sha Tin sprints, and the gear change plus a top in-form jockey add intent. The main query is a low win rate.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Andrea Atzeni

Crossborderdude is the most reliable horse in the race, placed in seven of nine starts and proven over this course and distance. He ran to a winning standard in April but has not matched it since and comes here off two quiet trials after four months away. The 61kg top weight is a real concern against a field where he concedes up to eight and a half kilos.

Our price $15.00 · SP $12.00 · Alexis Badel

Super Dragon is a non-winner with an awkward draw, but the ingredients are there for a sharp improvement. He ran close to a winning standard here in June and finished strongly last start, with the caveat that he was getting home over beaten horses in a slowly-run race. Today's two leaders should generate a genuine speed, which is what he needs, and he drops to a light weight under Badel.

Our price $11.00 · SP $13.00 · Harry Bentley

Together We Value is a low-strike-rate horse but his profile fits this race shape well. From the inside gate he can slot in behind three leaders who will go hard, then get first run on the tiring speed in the straight. He has repeatedly run to a level just below winning standard in this grade, and 55.5kg helps.

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.70 · Zac Purton

He put this grade away over this trip at Sha Tin in June, closing from well back, and has since won two trials under Purton. The dirt is the risk, as is the big weight and a stable in a slump, but the gate lets Purton ride him closer and he has more scope than any rival.

Our price $10.00 · SP $6.10 · Jerry Chau

A consistent type whose pattern fits the track better than most. He drops weight and has a trial win in the background. The lack of any dirt form and a Hong Kong win keeps confidence modest, but he should be in the race turning for home and is a place chance.

Our price $11.00 · SP $26.00 · Britney Wong

His March win here on this surface would beat most of these on their best efforts. Small each-way.

Our price $8.00 · SP $16.00 · Harry Bentley

Enjoy Golf is the exposed but dependable type. The concern is the pace: with Let's Have Fun and Stanley Express also wanting the front he may be forced to work too hard early, which is what undid him last start. He is a place chance rather than a strong win chance.

Our price $9.00 · SP $36.00 · Dylan Mo

Parrot Blessing is the overlay. His seventh here last start reads poorly but the clock says he ran close to a winning standard from midfield, and he followed it with an all-the-way trial win. He gets in light, draws mid-field and should be running on when the leaders tire in a race with three horses wanting the front.

Our price $3.50 · SP $5.60 · Derek Leung

His Sha Tin 1400m win three weeks ago was by a margin of quality no rival here has matched, and he did it from well back. Today he draws barrier 2 and gets a race likely to be run at a frantic early tempo, so the leaders should come back to him.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.30 · Zac Purton

A lightly raced four-year-old who ran far better than seventh suggests on debut, finishing hard from last after being drawn wide. He has since won a trial and picks up Zac Purton, which is the best signal available for a horse with so little exposed form. The extra 200m and better gate should see him closer in the run.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.90 · Jerry Chau

The most reliable horse in the race and the one who best fits the position-driven profile of Sha Tin. He will be in the first three turning for home and has already run a strong race against this grade this preparation. The concern is the expected hot pace with three leaders around him, plus the barrier 10 draw that forces him to use petrol early.

Our price $10.00 · SP $27.00 · Andrea Atzeni

A lightly raced John Size gelding whose two starts read better than they look. His debut third was sound and his last-start twelfth came after being hampered at the start and shuffled wide. Blinkers go on for the first time, he steps up to 1400m and draws barrier 4, all of which point to a different horse today. Andrea Atzeni rides for a stable that gets its horses right at this stage.

Our price $9.50 · SP $32.00 · Jerry Chau

Ace is a horse whose results flatter to deceive in the wrong direction. He has won this grade over this trip here and was far from disgraced over 1400m last start when fourth throughout. He races in the first half of the field, which is the winning zone on this track, and should get a soft spot behind the three speed horses.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.10 · Andrea Atzeni

Embrace Aberdeen produced the most relevant recent run in the field, a close second in this grade over this course and distance from a wide gate. From barrier 6 with 54kg he should land handy, which is where Sha Tin winners come from.

Our price $13.00 · SP $12.00 · Matthew Poon

Shanghai Warrior is the overlay. Last Sunday he jumped from the outside gate, sat second and held on for sixth in this grade, a run that measured close to a winning standard despite the poor finishing position. He backs up in seven days with a lighter weight and maps to land on the pace.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.00 · Andrea Atzeni

Fit For Beauty has been racing at a level close to winning standard for several starts without the result to show for it. His last-start fourth over 1200m was one of the best efforts in this field, and with two kilos off his back and a middle draw he should settle in the first four, exactly where Sha Tin winners come from. His 1400m record here is sound.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.00 · Jerry Chau

His last-start third at this track and distance was a strong run, and he has won two of six starts as an improving four-year-old with a fit-looking trial since. Drawn well with enough early speed to be handy.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.30 · Derek Leung

He settles fourth or fifth rather than leading, which is ideal with six genuine leaders set to burn each other up, and his record at Sha Tin over 1200m is outstanding.

Our price $10.00 · SP $14.00 · Nichola Yuen

He now sheds weight and picks up a jockey in red-hot form. His running style, settling just off a hot pace, is exactly what this race shape should reward.