Cranbourne tips and results

Our price $9.50 · SP $18.00 · Jye McNeil

Locard has run a couple of respectable races against much better rivals, including an open handicap over this trip, so a maiden is a big drop in class. It is fit after a jump-out placing 10 days ago and the stable runs well here.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Craig Newitt

A debutant who has trialled well, winning a jump-out last week and finishing second over 1000m earlier. However, barrier 14 is the widest in the race, the trainer is out of form and the jockey is struggling.

Our price $18.00 · SP $71.00 · Caitlin Hollowood

She is racing fresh after a jump-out and has the speed to race handy from barrier 6.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.20 · Jordan Childs

He is the most natural front-runner in a race where leaders and handy runners dominate at Cranbourne, and his barrier trial win shows he is ready. He is the most likely winner, though not at overs.

Our price $12.00 · SP $101.00 · Luke Cartwright

Not a standout on form, but the map and barrier are as good as it gets here.

Our price $5.50 · SP $14.00 · Craig Newitt

Tagabella ran poorly last start but gets a much better draw and map today. Her best form is on pace, and with a light weight and barrier 2 she can bounce back.

Our price $6.50 · SP $15.00 · Damien Thornton

The best of the forward-racing chances. He is consistent at this level, was only a fraction away from winning on heavy ground at Moe when leading, and should get a good run just behind the speed from barrier seven.

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

A debutant from a stable that is winning at a high rate, and his winning jump-out at Mornington shows he has some ability.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Stephanie Hateley

Drops sharply in grade after an honest return run at Mornington. She has shown a standard well above Bench. 62 before and should improve second up. She will get a handy midfield run behind the pace.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.50 · Zac Spain

She's A Con beat this grade over 2500m at Cranbourne on 25 September, getting home just in time after a slow start and with a good run. She is dropping back to the same class on the same track and distance range, and ran on well in other recent runs. Backmarker status is a worry, but a moderate tempo with three leaders should help.

Our price $3.80 · SP $2.05 · Ben Allen

On form he is the best horse in the race. He has run to a winning standard in each of his last three starts, including a close second over this distance on Good ground. The map is a slight concern, but he has been racing handily lately and the moderate tempo should let him get closer.

Our price $12.00 · SP $10.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

He beat this grade at this track on Good ground just three weeks ago, and last start's poor run came with an excuse. If he crosses and gets an easy lead in a moderate tempo, he is hard to run down.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

Two wins in a row at the trip, both finished off with a strong late burst. With three leaders in the field and a likely scorching pace, her style of racing suits. The step up in class is the main query, but her last win at a similar level was a blanket finish and she was not stretched. She looks overpriced for a runner with that profile.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Stephanie Hateley

A genuine chance if the pace collapses as expected. He was slow out last start but ran on well, and the blinkers appear to help. The track generally rewards those on or near the speed, so he needs a strongly run race, but he looks the best of the closers on pure ability.

Our price $11.00 · SP $31.00 · Luke Cartwright

A tough, reliable type who keeps running into the placings without winning often. He needs luck from a midfield position, but he is a sound each-way chance rather than a winning one.