Gatton tips and results

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.50 · Fiona Sandkuhl

She has five starts for a second and two thirds and keeps controlling maidens at a level the rest have not reached. Barrier 3 lets her cross on a Friday Gatton card that heavily favours leaders.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Brandon Lerena

He has already run placings in this class at 1800m and Lerena rides for a stable that wins often, including at Gatton. Visors come off after the staying flop and he can sit closer than the backmarkers if he jumps with them.

Our price $8.50 · SP $6.50 · Aidan Keeley

Stolen Stock has the run of the race from barrier 1 in a maiden that favours horses who settle in the first three. Her place record is the best in the field and the local rider-trainer stats are a plus. The spell is the catch: she has not won fresh, the trial was ordinary, and her only try at 1400m was poor.

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.00 · Mark Du Plessis

Bright Outlook is the overlay.

Our price $8.50 · SP $21.00 · Brandon Lerena

Bold Gem is the lone likely leader from barrier 2, which is the profile a Friday Gatton maiden run at a moderate tempo should favour. On debut here over 860m she led on soft ground, raced greenly and still held third, beaten a little over two lengths. A tongue tie goes on to help her concentrate. No rider is listed, which is a genuine gap, and she has not started on good.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · Georgina Cartwright

Spiked is the overlay. She was fifth, about four lengths off Tara's Reward, when resuming in this race and her second-up record is one win and a second from three. Blinkers go on, Rex Lipp wins often at Gatton, and barrier 5 with 57.5kg is workable if she holds a midfield spot in a fast-run sprint.

Our price $4.20 · SP $7.50 · Fiona Sandkuhl

She was second at Warwick over 1100m and second at Toowoomba over 1125m, both times on the speed and only just run down. Her record at the trip is three seconds from three, she is fit, and from barrier 7 she can sit just off Bear Oil.

Our price $18.00 · SP $81.00 · Amy Graham

From barrier 1 she should be right there with Bear Oil, which is the spot that wins Gatton sprints. Two starts back she led all the way at Beaudesert and was beaten a nose, and she was only fourth here last start after being headed. She has had 21 starts for no win and folds when the pressure comes, so this is a small each-way ticket, not a banker.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · Bailie Baker

Peach Galantes is the map horse. She is the predicted leader, has the inside draw, a feather weight and a long Gatton record, and she handles soft ground better than most of this field. The catch is the recent pattern: she gets to the front and then empties once headed, and a fast 1100m with Encrypted Feeling pressing will ask that question again.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.40 · Bobby El-Issa

He is first-up from a spell that ended with an injury, both trials were plain, and he has failed to place in two first-up runs. He also faded when pressed on the speed last preparation. He can run a placing if he finds cover, but he is not the horse to beat.

Our price $10.00 · SP $12.00 · Micheal Hellyer

A fast pace is the setup she wants, and she has a win and placings on soft if the showers arrive. The draw and her habit of settling last are the reasons she is not in the first three.

Our price $4.20 · SP $5.50 · William Galloway

Victory Command brings the best recent form, with two seconds in BM60 and a drop into this BM58. The Gold Coast run, where he came from midfield, was a level above what the others have produced. He can be handy enough to be in the finish if the pace is only moderate. Each-way covers a horse who places more often than he wins.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.50 · Perrie Carter

Barrier 1, 53kg and a 2kg claim give her every chance to hold a closer spot than her usual midfield pattern. She has already run well at this grade on soft at Ipswich. If the track stays good and she is caught six or seven back, Gatton is against her.

Our price $4.40 · SP $5.00 · Kyle Wilson-Taylor

From barrier 5 she can sit just off a moderate pace, the spot that keeps winning at Gatton, especially on a Friday night. Her Sunshine Coast fourth in a 58 was an honest effort and she drops into this restricted 55 with only 56.5kg. She does not flash home, so she needs to be in the first few turning for home.

Our price $6.80 · SP $3.80 · Frederick Larson

Barrier 4 lets him sit handy in a moderate tempo, and the stable has been winning at a strong rate. Blinkers go back on after he was held up when fourth at Ipswich. He has been racing past 1600m, so 1400m is a sharper test, and he is still without a placing in four starts on good. If the track moves toward soft he improves.

Our price $7.20 · SP $10.00 · Georgina Cartwright

Oakfield Montana brings the clearest recent winning form. She led and won an Ipswich mares 58 eight days ago, and the trainer said the light weight and being able to lead brought the improvement. She is on the minimum again with the same rider. Barrier 13 is the problem, with Il Cubo and Flying Celica likely to be forward of her, so she may not control this race the same way.

Our price $10.50 · SP $10.00 · Sophie Wilcock

Sophie Wilcock has already won twice on him and Jayden Sims has six winners from his last 20 starters. He gets back, which is the wrong pattern here, and he has never won on good in a long record.