Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Northern Territory · Friday 10 April 2026
Our top pick won 1 of 4 races at Darwin. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
I Loverain gets the crucial barrier 1 draw which is a massive advantage at Fannie Bay. Won last start at this track and distance, and has proven wet track ability with a solid record on soft going. The class rise is a concern but the barrier draw and track/distance form make this the most reliable option.
Hotim English brings the best recent form with a narrow second last start and strong track record. While winless at 1300m, the class and recent form suggest this is the main danger.
Itwasonlyakiss won impressively last start and is improving. The jockey/trainer combination is proven and Arnott is riding well. However, the significant class rise and wide barrier are major concerns at this track where inside draws dominate.
The class drop and inside barrier provide hope, though recent form is concerning.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Hotim English | 3 | Aaron Sweeney | Ella Clarke | 59.5kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | I Loverain | 1 | Paul Shiers | 58.5kg | $2.40 | |
| 3rd | 5 | Kessler | 2 | Wayne Davis | Philip Cole | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Itwasonlyakiss | 7 | Vanessa Arnott | Jason Manning | 59.5kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 2 | Galaxy General | 4 | Jessica Booth | G Clarke | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Hell And Back | 5 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Chris Pollard | 55.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Prince Ruban | 6 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 60.5kg | $11.00 |
Tigers Roar presents as the most likely winner based on superior form credentials. The wide barrier is concerning at Fannie Bay, but class and fitness advantages should overcome this obstacle in a moderate field.
Rising Water offers excellent value from the inside barrier. While lacking a winning record, the consistent recent placings and significant barrier advantage at Fannie Bay make this a strong each-way proposition. The light weight and proven track form add appeal.
Straya Pride brings proven track and distance credentials with consistent recent form. The barrier draw is workable and the slight class drop suggests connections are confident.
The inside barrier and light weight provide tactical advantages, while recent consistent thirds suggest improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Tigers Roar | 11 | Raymond Vigar | Ms T Halter | 61kg | $1.85 |
| 2nd | 12 | Rising Water | 2 | Aaron Sweeney | Paul Shiers | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Carat Time | 1 | Vanessa Arnott | Jason Manning | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Anecdotal | 7 | Jessica Booth | Philip Cole | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Viaconi | 3 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Chloe Baxter | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 2 | July | 9 | Chris Pollard | 60.5kg | $15.00 | |
| 7th | 5 | Straya Pride | 8 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| Scr | 4 | Buades | 6 | Wayne Davis | Philip Cole | 60kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Patyep | 12 | G Clarke | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | No I''m Not | 4 | Chris Pollard | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Danger Man | 5 | Chris Pollard | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Little Ditty | 10 | Philip Cole | 55.5kg |
Her perfect record of placing at Fannie Bay (2 thirds from 3 starts) combined with the crucial inside barrier draw makes her the logical choice despite the jockey uncertainty.
God's Eye brings the best recent form with consecutive placings and strong track familiarity. The Wayne Davis booking adds confidence, though the wider barrier and weight burden are concerns in a race where inside draws hold significant advantage.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Southampton Flare | 2 | Raymond Vigar | Chloe Baxter | 59kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 4 | Good Onya Darl | 4 | Jarrod Todd | Patrick Johnston | 57kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 5 | Lady Fireball | 3 | Chris Pollard | 56.5kg | $3.10 | |
| 4th | 1 | Graysville | 1 | Aaron Sweeney | Philip Cole | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 3 | God''s Eye | 5 | Wayne Davis | Philip Cole | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
Miami Vice presents as the most reliable winning chance with a recent victory at this track and distance. Despite carrying top weight and a slight class rise, his track specialisation and current form trajectory make him the standout selection.
The significant class drop and proven ability at 1000m make him a serious threat despite track inexperience.
Starspangledancer offers value with the crucial barrier 1 draw and proven track ability. Despite poor first up statistics, her recent winning form and significant weight advantage make her a live chance. The inside barrier is crucial at this track and could overcome fitness concerns.
Crazy Brave represents value despite poor recent form due to the significant class drop and proven track ability.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Polarising | 7 | Jessica Booth | Tommy Logan | 54.5kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 1 | Crazy Brave | 2 | Paul Shiers | 60.5kg | $5.50 | |
| 3rd | 3 | Runaway Tycoon | 6 | Jarrod Todd | Ella Clarke | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Miss Black Diamond | 3 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Tommy Logan | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Damo Dayz | 4 | Aaron Sweeney | Paul Shiers | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 2 | Miami Vice | 5 | Raymond Vigar | Philip Cole | 60.5kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Starspangledancer | 1 | Wayne Davis | G Clarke | 55kg | $5.50 |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.