Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Friday 10 April 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Geelong. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Well-bred Lonhro gelding with metropolitan form advantage. Two placings from limited starts including Moonee Valley third behind quality opposition. Freedman/Zahra combination (23% strike rate) and barrier 1 draw provide significant advantages. Gelding operation and class drop suggest breakthrough win likely despite first-up concerns.
Second up from spell typically improves horses.
Barrier 3 allows tactical advantage on pace-favoring track. Class drop and improving trend suggest breakthrough possible despite jockey concerns at venue.
Cliff's Edge gelding with extensive gear changes indicating stable belief in improvement. Despite poor recent form, significant class drop and Dabernig's first-up preparation skills create value opportunity.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Cabriole | 1 | Mark Zahra | A & S Freedman | 59kg | $1.45 |
| 2nd | 1 | Flying Capital | 2 | Linda Meech | Tom Dabernig | 59.5kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 5 | One Bound | 7 | John Allen | Tom Dabernig | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 2 | I Will Shine | 6 | Tom Madden | Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Silver Capital | 3 | Mitchell Aitken | V L Malady | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Koban | 4 | Jackson Radley | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Miss Deceiver | 5 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 57kg | $12.00 |
Her on-pace running style perfectly suits Geelong's front-running bias, and the strong jockey/trainer combination provides confidence. The 2kg weight advantage and proven track form make her the standout despite the wide draw.
Sound System brings significant class advantage dropping from Listed company to maiden level. The inside barrier is crucial at Geelong, though the jockey/trainer combination lacks success together.
Hydrothermal impressed winning a recent barrier trial and draws the coveted inside barrier. The Busuttin & Young partnership is elite level, and first-time gear changes often signal readiness. The class drop from trial conditions provides opportunity despite limited race experience.
Aragog offers value despite a disappointing debut. The Dundeel bloodline suggests improvement at this distance, and he has soft track experience.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Aragog | 7 | Lachlan Neindorf | P Stokes | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Sound System | 3 | Thomas Stockdale | Jason Warren | 58kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Hydrothermal | 1 | Beau Mertens | T Busuttin & N Young | 58kg | $2.45 |
| 4th | 7 | Fox Phire | 8 | Craig Newitt | Shane Jackson | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Gradivus | 2 | Will Gordon | Andrew Bobbin | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Normandy Peace | 5 | Tom Madden | Aaron Purcell | 58kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 6 | White Pointer | 4 | Jett Stanley | Michael Hickmott | 58kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Norakino | 6 | Liam Riordan | M W Walker | 56kg |
The combination with Linda Meech has proven effective, and the class drop from BM66 provides significant advantage. Soft track record is concerning but recent form suggests improvement.
Oceans Above offers strong each-way value as second pick. The combination of second-up placement, proven soft track ability, and significant class drop creates compelling case. Barrier 1 is ideal for Geelong's front-running bias, while the 33% second-up strike rate provides confidence despite poor last start.
Sara's Rocket represents the best of the lesser chances with potential upside. The lightly-raced profile and good barrier position provide hope, but the significant class rise and poor soft track record create substantial risk.
The veteran stayer's second at Kilmore demonstrates current competitiveness, while extensive experience provides tactical advantage.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | The Daily Planet | 3 | Linda Meech | Aaron Purcell | 61.5kg | $1.95 |
| 2nd | 4 | Sara's Rocket | 2 | Craig Newitt | Jamie Edwards | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 6 | High Torque | 4 | Jett Stanley | Dean Grass | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Oceans Above | 1 | Ryan Houston | Reece Goodwin | 61kg | $3.80 |
| 5th | 7 | Scorpion Bay | 6 | Neil Farley | D T Curran | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Hey Bella | 5 | Luke Oliver | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Avonview | 5 | D J Walkley | 58kg |
The Kersley/Smith partnership strikes at 22%, and while first up from a long spell, his fresh record shows ability.
His 33% place rate and favorable barrier position suit the track's on-pace bias. The recent trial suggests he's ready to fire fresh, though his maiden status remains a concern.
Triumvirate brings elite connections and recent improvement with a close third at Albury. His soft track experience and inside barrier position align perfectly with Geelong's bias favoring front-runners. The Hayes stable and Zahra booking suggest confidence despite maiden status.
Houston's recent 15% strike rate adds confidence to this value play.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Col Klink | 7 | Fred W Kersley | L Smith | 58kg | $1.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Prestige Maddy | 6 | Ryan Houston | Matt Jenkins | 54.5kg | $41.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Triumvirate | 2 | Mark Zahra | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 6 | Tsavo | 4 | Ryan Hurdle | Michael Jones | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 4 | Onlooker | 3 | Cian Macredmond | Ms M Cunningham | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Classy Sassy | 8 | Melissa Julius | D J Cannon | 56kg | $91.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Mortal Peak | 1 | Liana Wood | S C Bottomley | 54kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Fear The Impact | 5 | Thomas Stockdale | Gavin Bedggood | 58kg |
Debut runner from elite Busuttin & Young stable with in-form Linda Meech aboard. The trainer/jockey combination shows strong 19% strike rate, and Meech's recent 25% form is excellent. Barrier 4 suits Geelong's on-pace bias perfectly, and the tongue tie addition suggests the stable has the horse ready to fire first-up.
Previous first-up placing suggests ability fresh, and barrier 5 suits Geelong's on-pace bias.
Consistent maiden performer showing improvement with recent Pakenham second. While winless, the consistent placing record and improving trend make this a solid each-way chance in an open maiden.
Barrier 1 is ideal for Geelong's leader-friendly track, and the Corstens stable provides quality training.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Cool Savanna | 2 | Rhys Mc Leod | Peter Gelagotis | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Handsome Missile | 6 | Beau Mertens | Reece Goodwin | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Vieux Riche | 5 | John Allen | Shane Jackson | 57.5kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 4 | Deepseek | 4 | Linda Meech | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 11 | Zane Zena | 1 | Liam Riordan | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Miss Xtravaganza | 11 | Ryan Houston | Rene Pompe | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Back Of The Boat | 9 | Neil Farley | Jessica Pateman | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Osaka Castle | 7 | Mark Zahra | Lloyd Kennewell | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Paluca | 3 | Liana Wood | S C Bottomley | 55.5kg | $201.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Share The Ride | 8 | Luke Williams | Ms J Smith | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Black Baccara | 10 | Jackson Radley | J P Salanitri | 55.5kg | $91.00 |
The addition of blinkers first time should sharpen his focus, while his recent Terang win demonstrates current form. The class rise is a concern but his raw ability suggests he can handle it.
Symphonite's soft track credentials are strong with her maiden win coming on similar conditions. The combination of Linda Meech and Tom Dabernig is proven, while the addition of blinkers first time should improve her focus. Barrier 5 allows her to settle handy and take advantage of the track's on-pace bias.
Pentonville Road brings solid soft track credentials and recent form to this contest. Her second placing at Kyneton last start confirms she's racing well, and her soft track record suggests the conditions will suit. The wide barrier is a concern but her racing pattern should allow her to find a forward position.
Vegas Jack offers value as a proven performer returning from a spell. His last start win at Mornington was impressive and he has shown he can perform first up.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Brazenga | 1 | Eoin Walsh | C Maher | 61kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Burleigh | 7 | Thomas Stockdale | C Maher | 61kg | $3.40 |
| 3rd | 13 | Symphonite | 5 | Linda Meech | Tom Dabernig | 58kg | $3.90 |
| 4th | 11 | Pentonville Road | 11 | Luke Williams | Ms J Smith | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Naval Force | 13 | Will Gordon | Archie Alexander | 62.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Rivazza | 3 | John Allen | Ms M Cunningham | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Swift Power | 10 | Jett Stanley | Dean Grass | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Manchego | 4 | Cian Macredmond | Matthew Cumani | 59.5kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Vegas Jack | 9 | Neil Farley | C A Conron | 63kg | $17.00 |
| 10th | 14 | Smashing Ruby | 14 | Liana Wood | J F Rattle | 51kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 7 | More Torque | 2 | Rhys Mc Leod | Thomas Sadler | 60.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Finchaven | 6 | Ryan Hurdle | L Smith | 61kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Beautifully | 12 | Caitlin Hollowood | T Busuttin & N Young | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Tipsy Gypsy | 8 | Brad Rawiller | E W Ewert | 60kg |
Il Cielo stands out with a perfect record at this exact track and distance, winning here in March. His recent 2nd at Ararat shows he's in good form, and his soft track record (1 win from 4 starts) gives confidence on today's Soft 5.
Short Reply is on an upward trajectory with a close second at Kyneton last start. The John Allen booking and inside barrier are significant positives for this on-speed track. While her soft track record is limited, the improving form and tactical advantages make her a strong threat.
Regal Ascend brings winning form from her maiden victory at Terang on a soft track. The class rise is concerning, but her perfect soft track record and Linda Meech's current form provide confidence. The barrier draw allows her to settle in the crucial front three at the 400m.
Squander offers value dropping back in class with strong staying credentials.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Short Reply | 1 | John Allen | Niki O'Shea | 57.5kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 11 | Lucky Compass | 7 | Dean Yendall | K T Bourke | 54kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | You Never Can Tell | 9 | Ryan Houston | G Eurell | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Il Cielo | 8 | Zac Moore | C Maher | 60.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Hotinherre | 10 | Theodore Ladd | Charlotte Littlefield | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 2 | Somebody Told Me | 5 | Jackson Radley | J P Salanitri | 60.5kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 4 | The Smash Factor | 2 | Will Gordon | Tom Dabernig | 61kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Squander | 11 | Tom Madden | Aaron Purcell | 60kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Take Me To Church | 4 | Caitlin Hollowood | K T Bourke | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Regal Ascend | 6 | Linda Meech | John McArdle | 60kg | $9.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Blow On The Dice | 3 | Eoin Walsh | Henry Dwyer | 61kg | $41.00 |
Caffettiera gets the perfect setup with barrier 4 on a track that strongly favours inside runners. The significant class drop from Group 3 company to BM62 is a major positive, and her recent form shows consistent placing efforts. The Freedman stable is reliable and the filly has shown she can handle different conditions.
World Action brings the best form reference having won last start at this track and distance. The mare is well-placed second up and Linda Meech's current form is strong. However, the inside barrier is a significant negative at Geelong where wider draws perform better.
The class drop and gear change are positives, but the lack of soft track experience and wide barrier are concerns in a race where position matters significantly.
I'mateez offers value as a proven soft track performer who won his last start in similar conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | I'mateez | 7 | Alexander Rae | 60kg | $4.80 | |
| 2nd | 11 | Barari | 10 | John Allen | C Maher | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Invincible Woman | 13 | Rhys Mc Leod | Lucy Yeomans | 60.5kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 6 | Caffettiera | 4 | Thomas Stockdale | A & S Freedman | 58.5kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 14 | Tori's Dee | 1 | Chelsea Thompson | Jamie Edwards | 52kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 10 | World Action | 2 | Linda Meech | Aaron Purcell | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 3 | Winning Toast | 11 | Neil Farley | C A Conron | 60kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Tipping Rain | 6 | Liana Wood | J F Rattle | 53kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Lantana | 12 | Dean Yendall | M J Williams | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Stahnado | 8 | Nadia Daniels | John McArdle | 56kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Lamassu | 15 | Eoin Walsh | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Excenia | 3 | Jett Stanley | T & C McEvoy | 58kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Thunderanlightning | 9 | Luke Williams | K M Elford | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Unobscured | 5 | Lachlan King | Steven King | 57kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Mafee | 14 | Ryan Houston | Reece Goodwin | 58kg |
Before the races, not after
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