Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Tasmania · Friday 10 April 2026
Our top pick won 1 of 8 races at Launceston. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Lawrenny Boys presents the strongest winning chance based on consistent form and suitability. Recent form includes close placings, suggesting breakthrough imminent. The significant class drop from previous races enhances winning prospects despite wide barrier.
The Real Man benefits from the crucial inside barrier at this leader-biased track and strong connections. The return to blinkers and significant class drop from Victorian metropolitan racing are positive factors. However, poor soft track form and inconsistent performances raise concerns about reliability in these conditions.
Awesome Orphan represents the best of the outsiders with significant weight relief and improving form trend. The recent third placing suggests capability, and the light weight could be decisive in a weak maiden field. However, lack of wins and jockey's poor track record are concerning factors.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | The Real Man | 1 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 58kg | $1.55 |
| 2nd | 2 | Lawrenny Boys | 6 | Polly Brewster | J L Keys | 56kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 4 | Una Paloma Blanca | 5 | Erica Byrne Burke | J K Blacker | 56.5kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Awesome Orphan | 3 | Christopher Pang | Rowan Hamer | 54kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Whats New Pussycat | 2 | Lizzie Annells | R T Carr | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Laramana | 4 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 58.5kg | $16.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Can't Catch Chilli | 1 | S Gandy | 56kg |
The addition of blinkers and tongue tie suggests trainer confidence, while Codi Jordan's strong recent form (25% strike rate) adds appeal.
While still a maiden, the progression is evident and barrier 4 allows tactical flexibility in what should be a moderate tempo.
Mr Tod offers the best barrier draw in the race and has shown improvement with a recent third placing. The inside barrier is crucial at Launceston and should provide the tactical advantage needed.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Waltzing Matilda | 2 | Codi Jordan | P Kearney | 55kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Mcveigh | 4 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 57kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 5 | Light Work | 3 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Mr Tod | 1 | David Pires | Jessie Bazan | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Stratovision | 5 | Hayley Mc Carthy | Bradley Franklin | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Bassein | 6 | Christopher Pang | G J McCulloch | 53kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Primrose Boy | 1 | Jessie Bazan | 57kg |
Adam Trinder's filly has proven soft track ability and the class edge over this maiden field. Despite the wide draw, her tactical speed should secure a forward position.
Lightly raced filly showing clear improvement with inside barrier advantage.
The class drop and proven second-up record provide hope, though consistency remains a concern.
Debut runner with the crucial inside barrier draw.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Knights Reign | 6 | Kirra-Lee Lane | G J Stevenson | 55.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Khaleesi's Dream | 8 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 56kg | $1.60 |
| 3rd | 9 | Symphony Queen | 2 | Codi Jordan | S Gandy | 56kg | $3.80 |
| 4th | 7 | Starcracker | 3 | David Pires | Ian & Nick Hay | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Big Olive | 7 | Lauryn Bingley | Barry Baker | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Pure Blondie | 1 | Lauren Burke | Andrew Wilson | 54.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Grim Trigger | 4 | Cathy Oliver | 58.5kg | $101.00 | |
| Scr | 2 | Kion's Kingdom | 9 | J L Keys | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Arianna's Gold | 5 | Troy Baker | Sigrid Carr | 56.5kg |
This 3yo filly is the standout selection based on her exceptional record at this track and distance. Two wins from four attempts at Launceston 1400m, including a dominant victory last start, demonstrates clear suitability.
The light weight and good barrier position suit Launceston's leader-friendly bias, though his lack of soft track experience and track unfamiliarity present risks.
Lontano offers value as a proven Launceston performer dropping in class with the ideal barrier draw. His track record and class drop are compelling, but the long spell and recent form decline create uncertainty about his current ability.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Ilovethistown | 7 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 57kg | $2.45 |
| 2nd | 3 | Who's In Dev | 5 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 57kg | $2.15 |
| 3rd | 7 | Royal Detective | 4 | Polly Brewster | K P Hamilton | 53.5kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Geegee Strawberry | 6 | Troy Baker | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Mateus | 3 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Skelmorlie | 2 | Christopher Pang | Adam Trinder | 54kg | $19.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Lontano | 1 | Kelvin Sanderson | J K Blacker | 58kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Team Heist | 8 | Hayley Mc Carthy | Dylan Clark | 56kg | |
| Scr | 9 | The Tazwegian | 9 | Chloe Wells | M A Ganderton | 54kg |
Respite presents as the most likely winner despite the wide draw. Adam Trinder's stable excels with first-up runners, and this mare has shown excellent form on soft tracks with two placings from two starts. The wide barrier is a concern but her class should overcome it.
Dubai Affair won her maiden at this track three weeks ago and represents the strong Trinder stable. However, the wide barrier is a major concern at Launceston, and her soft track record is poor. The class rise adds another layer of difficulty.
He's second up from a spell which historically suits him, and he's dropping in class.
The barrier position allows for tactical options and he's dropping slightly in class.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Dubai Affair | 14 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Dina Tycoon | 4 | David Pires | Jessie Bazan | 58kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 11 | Zulu Fields | 6 | Christopher Pang | Patrick Dargan | 52.5kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Red Fox | 1 | Codi Jordan | M W Evans | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Trotsky | 3 | Hayley Mc Carthy | Dylan Clark | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Fruit Of De Vine | 2 | Polly Brewster | Bronte Kent | 52kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Respite | 12 | Kelvin Sanderson | Adam Trinder | 58.5kg | $3.20 |
| 8th | 2 | Colleen's Crown | 11 | Troy Baker | Sarah Cotton | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Alpine Joy | 10 | Chloe Wells | Trent Wells | 54kg | $7.50 |
| 10th | 15 | Rapids Ahead | 13 | G J McCulloch | 58.5kg | $26.00 | |
| Scr | 6 | Super Snippy | 7 | M A Ganderton | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Bunker Jako | 9 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 56kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Tizsa Nice Drop | 15 | J K Blacker | 54.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Wild Nights | 5 | Kirra-Lee Lane | J K Blacker | 51.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Moonglow Miss | 8 | G J Stevenson | 54kg |
Designer Dreamer presents as the standout selection with a last-start win at this exact track and distance. The gelding's excellent course record (3 wins from 9 starts) combined with the ideal barrier 2 draw perfectly suits Launceston's pronounced inside bias. The drop in class from BM68 to BM60 provides additional confidence despite carrying top weight.
The addition of blinkers for the first time suggests connections expect further improvement. The barrier 5 draw provides tactical flexibility, though the slight class rise and jockey's recent form present minor concerns.
The gelding's improving trajectory and strong jockey/trainer combination provide confidence, though the lack of track/distance experience and wide barrier present challenges.
The barrier 6 draw suits Launceston's inside bias, and recent form shows she can compete at this level despite inconsistent finishing positions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Quafftide | 5 | Erica Byrne Burke | Matthew Brown | 55kg | $2.25 |
| 2nd | 5 | Simply Deep | 9 | Daniel Ganderton | Barry Campbell | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Designer Dreamer | 2 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 60.5kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 6 | Coastal Strike | 8 | Kirra-Lee Lane | P A Hill | 53.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Thin Red Line | 1 | Christopher Pang | J K Blacker | 53kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Montezulu | 11 | Kelvin Sanderson | J K Blacker | 58.5kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Last Tremble | 6 | Troy Baker | J K Blacker | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Alpine Blast | 7 | Polly Brewster | J K Blacker | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 7 | High Tail Eagle | 4 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Launnie Nights | 10 | Chloe Wells | J K Blacker | 54.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Who Can It Be Now | 9 | Rowan Hamer | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Steele My Sunshine | 3 | Lizzie Annells | J F Luttrell | 54kg |
The gelding's recent narrow second at this track/distance shows he's race-fit and suited to conditions. The inside barrier draw aligns with track bias favouring positions 1-6. While carrying top weight and facing a class rise, his form superiority justifies favouritism.
Hurricane Ketut brings strong credentials as last start winner at this exact track and distance. His outstanding Launceston record of 4 wins from 6 starts demonstrates clear track affinity. The gelding handles soft conditions well and has proven ability at 1400m. However, barrier 7 works against the pronounced inside bias, and he faces a class rise. The combination of track specialization and winning momentum makes him a genuine threat despite the wide draw.
Sandual offers solid each-way value with his exceptional distance record and recent winning form. His 4 wins from 16 starts at 1400m is the best distance strike rate in the field. Soft track credentials are proven, though barrier 1 contradicts the inside bias data. The class rise and jockey's recent form drought are concerns, but the distance specialization and light weight create appeal.
Tribal Council represents value as a progressive type stepping up sharply in class. The 4-year-old gelding has shown improvement through recent wins and benefits from the strong Bingley/Cotton partnership. His barrier 4 draw aligns with track bias, and soft track form is solid.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Sandual | 1 | Erica Byrne Burke | J K Blacker | 54.5kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Rich Clan | 5 | Polly Brewster | J L Keys | 52kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Hurricane Ketut | 7 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 57kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 7 | Carnelian Rock | 6 | Christopher Pang | J K Blacker | 52kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Tribal Council | 4 | Lauryn Bingley | Sarah Cotton | 55.5kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Hartman | 3 | Chloe Wells | Barry Campbell | 59kg | $1.80 |
| 7th | 3 | King Of Clubs | 2 | Lauren Burke | Amy Crossland | 54.5kg | $71.00 |
The class drop to BM66 suits perfectly.
Lady Galadriel has an outstanding record at this track and distance with gear changes potentially unlocking improvement. The Trinder stable excels with tactical changes and the soft track suits. However, the wide draw and top weight are concerns.
Adachi brings solid first-up credentials and recent winning form to this assignment. The good barrier and light weight are major advantages, though the long spell and limited success at this track are concerns. Value chance if ready to go.
Sky Land offers value with the lightest weight and good barrier position. Her soft track credentials are strong and the class drop is significant.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Lady Galadriel | 7 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 58.5kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 3 | Golden Meadow | 6 | Christopher Pang | S Gandy | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 7 | Sky Land | 2 | Polly Brewster | J L Keys | 54.5kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 2 | Adachi | 3 | Kirra-Lee Lane | M A Ganderton | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Gee Gee Enuf Speed | 1 | Chloe Wells | L A Wells | 61.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Street Diva | 4 | David Pires | Jessie Bazan | 58kg | $6.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Obviously Good | 5 | Troy Baker | Sigrid Carr | 58.5kg |
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