Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Friday 10 April 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Wellington. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Territory Style emerges as the form pick despite being first up from a long spell. The multiple gear changes including blinkers off and cross-over nose band first time indicate stable confidence in a fresh approach.
Her recent consistency with three placings from five starts, combined with proven Wellington form and a significant class drop, makes her a strong each-way proposition despite first-up concerns.
Kneel Down offers value as a consistent place chance with his strong soft track record and recent form. His inside barrier draw suits Wellington's layout, and four placings from six recent starts demonstrates reliability.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Hard Choice | 9 | Jacob Stiff | Brett Thompson | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Territory Style | 8 | Kody Nestor | Kody Nestor | 59kg | $2.40 |
| 3rd | 10 | Finest Art | 3 | Zac Wadick | Darren Hyde | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Harry | 11 | Zoe Hunt | Brett Thompson | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Yasena | 7 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | John W Ramsey | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 8 | Blazing Courage | 4 | Izzy Neale | Brett Robb | 54kg | $4.40 |
| 7th | 11 | Kneel Down | 1 | Pierre Boudvillain | Dennis Bush | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 9 | By Linda | 5 | Clayton Gallagher | Kelly Barber | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Snow Dog | 6 | Jordan Quince | Connie Greig | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Ally Alley Ali | 10 | Jessica Brookes | Connie Greig | 53.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Raygun Rocks | 2 | Liam Blanch | C Lundholm | 56kg |
Dark Thinker presents the strongest winning chance based on recent form and class drop. She has proven ability at 1700m with her only win coming at this distance. The significant drop from BM58 to Class 1 is a major positive, and her soft track record (1:1-1-2) suits today's Soft 5 conditions perfectly.
The 3-year-old has a perfect record at this distance range (2 placings from 2 starts) and Mathew Cahill's Wellington experience is valuable. While stepping up significantly in class, his improving form trajectory suggests he's ready for the challenge.
The Bentley finally broke through for his maiden win last start and drops significantly in class from Open company. His recent form shows consistency with 3 placings in 4 starts before the win. The barrier 5 draw is ideal for Wellington's tight layout, and while his soft track record is concerning, the significant class drop and breakthrough win suggest he's found his form at the right time.
While his recent form is patchy, his soft track statistics (1:1-5-2) are impressive and he's dropping from BM65 to Class 1. The 5-year-old has proven staying ability and his wide barrier suits his backmarker racing pattern.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Casterly Rock | 10 | Liam Blanch | C Lundholm | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Dark Thinker | 3 | Jacob Stiff | Ms A Smith | 55kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 6 | Majestic Roca | 9 | Kody Nestor | Merv Rumble | 56.5kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 3 | The Bentley | 5 | Izzy Neale | Connie Greig | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 8 | Forwarding | 8 | Ken Dunbar | Robert Lane | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Himeros | 1 | Jessica Brookes | Kylie Kennedy | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Frosty The Showman | 2 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ian Holland | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Burning Ambition | 7 | Mathew Cahill | James Ponsonby | 55kg | $3.80 |
| Scr | 9 | Show Us Ya Texts | 6 | Lyle Chandler | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Sixteen Straight | 4 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | James Ponsonby | 55kg |
His recent third at Gosford shows he's in good form, and his soft track record of 2-1-3 from 17 starts is solid for today's Soft 5 conditions. The 2400m distance suits perfectly with 2 wins from 7 attempts at the trip. While the wide draw is concerning at Wellington's tight circuit, his class and current form make him the most reliable winning chance.
Blazing Guru brings a perfect soft track record of 2 wins from 4 starts, making her ideally suited to today's Soft 5 conditions. Her barrier 3 draw is perfect for Wellington's tight circuit, and her recent 5th at Beaumont shows she's maintaining form. While stepping up in distance and class, her soft track dominance and tactical position make her a strong winning threat.
Tavijewel won his last start at Orange in BM58 company on Heavy 10, showing he can handle testing conditions. His soft track record of 1-1-0 from 15 starts is respectable, and the barrier 2 draw is perfect for Wellington's layout. The light 53kg weight and proven staying ability over similar distances make him a genuine chance despite the class rise.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Blazing Guru | 3 | Zac Wadick | R Lomax | 55.5kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 2 | Will To Excel | 9 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | James Ponsonby | 56.5kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 6 | Tavijewel | 2 | Jordan Quince | Barry Wall | 53kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Charlotting | 6 | Jacob Stiff | Robert Lane | 53kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Shylock | 4 | Mathew Cahill | Kathryn Cahill | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 9 | Felis | 7 | Izzy Neale | W T Martyn | 53.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Threw | 5 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ms W Haynes | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Gran Caballo | 1 | Kody Nestor | Patrick Cleave | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Externus | 8 | Clayton Gallagher | Nikki Hodgson | 55kg | $4.80 |
She Thinks Ahead offers solid each-way value with proven connections and place ability. The Gallagher/Robb combination has a strong 16% strike rate, and her close second at Wodonga shows she can perform fresh.
The Merchant Navy breeding is ideal for sprint racing, and second-up runners often improve significantly. The good barrier draw and Nestor's current form add appeal, making this an interesting roughie chance.
Second up from spell suits, and her soft track record (1:0-1-0) is encouraging for today's Soft 5 conditions.
The gear changes (blinkers off) could provide improvement, and the soft track record provides confidence for today's conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | She Thinks Ahead | 6 | Clayton Gallagher | Brett Robb | 58kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 8 | Dirty Dani | 7 | Kody Nestor | Allan Kehoe | 57.5kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 10 | Smokin' Genie | 5 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ms M Harrison | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 1 | All Saints | 4 | Jacob Stiff | Ms S Jeffries | 56kg | $2.90 |
| 5th | 5 | Polens | 1 | Jordan Quince | Barry Wall | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Yakamoz | 10 | Ken Dunbar | A M Molloy | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Cherry Dream | 3 | Liam Blanch | Allan Kehoe | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Champagne Tingle | 2 | Nick Palmer | Robert Lane | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Star Gauntlet | 9 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Toby Pracey | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Bling Empire | 11 | Mathew Cahill | R W Howe | 58kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Redzero | 8 | Jake Hull | 57.5kg |
Penciller stands out as the most reliable option dropping significantly from Open company to Maiden level. The class drop is substantial and his fresh record suggests he can perform first up despite the long spell.
Vadelle represents the best of the lightly raced runners with improving form and strong connections. The lack of wins is concerning but the upward trajectory suggests he's close to breaking through.
Erion brings proven form at this track and distance with a recent 2nd placing showing he's in good order.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Penciller | 10 | Izzy Neale | Brett Robb | 57kg | $1.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Erion | 8 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ms M Harrison | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Mr Gunna Do | 11 | Zac Wadick | Troy Mc Carney | 59kg | $61.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Scatpak | 1 | Jacob Stiff | M R Mulholland | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 5th | 6 | Aizuchi | 3 | Clayton Gallagher | Ms A Smith | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Jimmy's Choice | 4 | Liam Blanch | Troy Mc Carney | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 10 | On Me | 5 | Nick Palmer | Kelly Barber | 56.5kg | $71.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Vadelle | 9 | Zoe Hunt | C Lundholm | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Master Psychic | 12 | Mathew Cahill | M C Lynch | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Dijon Autre | 7 | Jake Hull | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Habib Albi | 2 | Kody Nestor | T & P Vigouroux | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Moon Dart | 6 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 58.5kg |
El Beatle presents as the most reliable winning chance based on recent form and class drop. His last start BM50 win at Port Macquarie shows he's well-suited to this level, and his strong 1000m record (14% win rate, 38% place rate) gives confidence. The barrier draw allows for a forward position which suits Wellington's leader-friendly bias.
Press Gaze offers strong each-way value with his recent BM50 win and excellent distance record. The wide barrier is concerning at Wellington, but his proven ability at this level and strong partnership with Pracey-Holmes makes him a genuine threat. His soft track win shows versatility in conditions.
Rubicon River represents excellent value dropping from Open company to BM50 level. His strong 1000m record and good barrier draw suit Wellington's characteristics. The significant class drop could see him competitive despite the weight and track concerns.
His recent Gunnedah fourth shows he's competitive at this level, and Zoe Hunt's strong Wellington record adds appeal.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Seeni | 7 | Zoe Hunt | J A Sylvester | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Yael's Delight | 1 | Jordan Quince | Barry Wall | 53kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Brogans Creek | 4 | Jacob Stiff | Toby Pracey | 61kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 5 | Provencal | 3 | Izzy Neale | J R Gask | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 6 | The Mooch | 2 | Mathew Cahill | M C Lynch | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 2 | El Beatle | 6 | Gabrielle Johnston | J A Sylvester | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Rubicon River | 5 | Pierre Boudvillain | Bill Hayes | 60.5kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Press Gaze | 10 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 60.5kg | $6.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Martindale Dancer | 9 | Ken Dunbar | Kelly Barber | 58kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Xaphan | 8 | B W Draper | 58.5kg |
Denman Bandit stands out with a perfect record at this track and distance, winning his only Wellington 900m start on Soft 6. The inside barrier is crucial at this tight turning track, and his proven soft track ability gives him a significant edge over most rivals who lack wet track experience.
Swedish Glitter brings excellent course form with a Wellington 900m win in December and strong recent placing. The Zoe Hunt/trainer Lundholm combination has a 20% strike rate, and barrier 7 provides tactical options on this tight track.
His 900m win at Muswellbrook shows distance suitability, though the wide barrier and lack of soft track experience are concerns.
Brummagen offers value with solid soft track credentials and recent close placing on similar conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Denman Bandit | 3 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 57.5kg | $1.95 |
| 2nd | 8 | Torendosetta | 10 | Jordan Quince | R W Howe | 53kg | $51.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Brummagen | 4 | Izzy Neale | Brett Thompson | 56kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 13 | Zaibatsu | 1 | Brett Thompson | 55kg | $6.50 | |
| 5th | 14 | Pontoon Prince | 5 | C Lundholm | 55kg | $31.00 | |
| 6th | 2 | Invincible Salex | 9 | Jacob Stiff | Kylie Kennedy | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 9 | The Git Up | 2 | Nick Palmer | Brett Thompson | 53kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 6 | There She Goes | 11 | Mathew Cahill | Andrew Ryan | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Swedish Glitter | 7 | Zoe Hunt | C Lundholm | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 10th | 11 | Chess Master | 14 | Zac Wadick | Toby Pracey | 55kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Bounding Bon | 8 | Ken Dunbar | M C Lynch | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Russian Ember | 13 | Ms S Jeffries | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | French Harp | 6 | Paul Theobald | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Houdini Spirit | 12 | Ms C Monaghan | 55kg |
Shaddap presents the strongest winning chance with a significant class drop from BM85 to BM58.
Billabong Rose offers excellent value with her perfect Wellington record and strong distance form. The inside barrier is crucial at this tight track, and her recent form shows consistent improvement. The class rise is minimal and her track/distance credentials are compelling.
His recent consistency and distance suitability are positives, but his limited winning record and poor soft track form are concerns in these conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Call Me Terry | 4 | Zoe Hunt | C Lundholm | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Billabong Rose | 1 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Shaddap | 7 | Pierre Boudvillain | D R Mirfin | 60.5kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 13 | Big Shot Legend | 3 | Jordan Quince | Kieren Hazelton | 53kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Fantasy Crowned | 11 | Jessica Brookes | Ms J Galea | 54kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Ardonaugh | 2 | Nick Palmer | R P Hartley | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Dusty Vermeer | 14 | Troy Mc Carney | 57kg | $81.00 | |
| 8th | 2 | Swift Gun | 6 | Jacob Stiff | Ms S Jeffries | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 11 | Xaphan | 12 | Ashleigh McCabe | B W Draper | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 6 | Check Your Six | 10 | Zac Wadick | D R Mirfin | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Cooma Hut | 8 | Kody Nestor | Kieren Hazelton | 57kg | |
| Scr | 10 | My Crown | 13 | Brett Thompson | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Gettin' Tipsy | 5 | Izzy Neale | David J Smith | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Croatian Madame | 9 | J R Gask | 55kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.