Rosehill tips and results

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Alysha Collett

With 5 placings from 11 starts (55% place rate) but only 1 career victory, this Trapeze Artist mare excels at running competitive races without sealing the deal. Her recent Rosehill form is solid: 2nd beaten half a length on Heavy 9 and 5th on Soft 5, both at this track. The 1300m distance suits (1-1-0 record) and the light 53.5kg is a significant advantage. However, her soft track record shows the pattern clearly: 0-1-0 - she places but doesn't win. In a race with genuine class performers like Mafia and second-up specialist Cold Brew, her inability to win becomes critical.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Adam Hyeronimus

This Justify mare boasts a remarkable 75% first-up win rate (3 from 4 starts) and equally impressive soft-track statistics (3 wins from 4 starts on soft). She's also a proven 1300m performer with 2 wins from 3 attempts at the distance, including a BM72 victory at Canterbury on Soft 5. The form profile screams 'winning chance' - except for the wide barrier. In a race with no genuine speed and a predicted slow tempo, barrier 16 means she'll settle last and need the race to develop perfectly. The two recent trials (5th and 4th) suggest she's ready but not razor-sharp.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.50 · Alysha Collett

Saintly Sands is the standout selection based on current form and conditions suitability. Her soft track record is exceptional (50% win rate, 100% place rate) and she arrives in peak form with consecutive wins on soft surfaces. The slow tempo predicted suits her adaptable racing pattern, and while barrier 13 is wide, the lack of pressure should allow positioning.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.00 · Siena Grima

Red Rags To Bulls brings proven track and distance credentials with a previous win at Rosehill 1500m, but current form suggests she's a place chance rather than a winning proposition. While her consistency is admirable (three consecutive placings), the 11-month drought since her last victory is concerning. She's a reliable each-way proposition but faces horses in better form, particularly Saintly Sands.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.20 · Kerrin Mc Evoy

The filly has placed in her last two starts at Rosehill in BM72 company on wet tracks, showing she handles the conditions. Barrier 2 is ideal for the on-pace bias at Rosehill, and the removal of the nose roll is a positive gear change. However, she's yet to win beyond maiden level and is stepping up in class from her maiden victory. The booking of Kerrin McEvoy (25% strike with trainer) is a positive, but she needs to prove she can win at this level.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.00 · Alysha Collett

Jarrito is an improving I Am Invincible filly who won impressively last start at BM64 level on Soft 5. Her excellent first-up record (2 wins from 3 starts) suggests she's a horse who can perform fresh, and she's now second up after that fresh-up win. The soft track form is solid and she handles wet conditions. Barrier 6 is ideal for her racing pattern. However, this is her first time second up and she's stepping up from BM64 to BM72, which is a significant class rise. The Bjorn Baker stable is in good form and the Collett combination works well.

Our price $7.00 · SP $12.00 · Shannen Llewellyn

Cherish Me offers outstanding form correlation, having won last start in BM72 at 1400m on Soft 5 - an exact match to today's conditions. Main concerns are the Rosehill debut and jockey's limited track experience, but the Maher stable's form and the filly's improving trajectory suggest she can overcome the track unfamiliarity.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Won last start at this track in the same race that several rivals contested, and the 100m step up to 1400m suits her pedigree (I Am Invincible). Track specialization and placement pattern suggest she's primed for another Rosehill victory.

Our price $9.00 · SP $16.00 · William A Stanley

The best wet-tracker in the race with proven form on soft and heavy going. The 35-day break freshens her up nicely, and the distance is ideal with two wins from five at 1400m. Barrier 8 is a concern for getting into position early, but if she can settle midfield, her superior wet track ability and finishing power could prove decisive.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Braith Nock

Black Run offers strong each-way value dropping back from Listed company. The class drop to BM90 after competing in Listed races is significant, and barrier 1 ensures perfect positioning in a race with no speed. Strong 2400m credentials (2 wins from 3) and proven soft track ability make this a reliable place chance despite top weight.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Tyler Schiller

So Suave is a progressive stayer with ideal credentials for these conditions. The 4yo is lightly raced and improving, with the 52kg weight a major advantage. Barrier 11 is the main concern in a slow tempo, but class and condition suitability suggest he can overcome it. Represents solid each-way value from the Waller stable.

Our price $11.00 · SP $15.00 · Zac Wadick

The 50kg weight is a massive advantage in a staying race, potentially worth 4-5 lengths. Barrier 11 is problematic, but the light weight and improving trajectory make this a value overlay. Waterhouse/Bott stable adds confidence.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Kerrin Mc Evoy

Progressive 4YO gelding who won impressively last start at Warwick Farm on Soft 7 over 1600m. His soft track credentials are outstanding (50% win rate) and he's proven at 1800m with a Hawkesbury win. The step to BM78 is manageable given his upward trajectory and light racing (10 starts). Quality jockey booking in McEvoy indicates stable confidence. Main concern is no Rosehill experience, but class and conditions suit perfectly.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · Braith Nock

Honest staying type who ran a solid 3rd at this track last start over 2000m in the same grade. His Rosehill record shows consistent placing (3 from 5 starts) and he's proven at staying distances. The Archibald/Nock combination is reliable with 13% strike rate. Barrier 5 is ideal for settling on-pace in the predicted slow tempo. Main concern is his limited winning ability (10% strike rate) and preference for Good over Soft tracks. Reliable each-way proposition but may lack the class edge to win.

Our price $9.00 · SP $21.00 · Anna Roper

Proven winner at this exact track and distance on Heavy 8, showing he handles wet conditions. The application of blinkers first time is a strong positive signal from the Charlton stable. He ran a competitive 4th here last start in the same grade over 1500m. However, the jockey booking is a major concern with Anna Roper showing 0% strike rate with the trainer and poor recent form (5%). Speculative value play only.

Our price $3.00 · SP $4.20 · Andrew Gibbons

Zaphod presents as the most logical winner based on pure form analysis. His recent form is excellent with two close placings at this exact distance in Listed company, including a gutsy third here last start when beaten only half a length in Heavy 9 conditions. His wet track record is outstanding (4-2-3 from 12 wet starts) and he maps perfectly from the inside gate in what shapes as a tactical, slow-tempo affair. While yet to win at 2000m, both attempts resulted in close placings and he's clearly suited to the trip. Represents clear value as the top selection.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.50 · Regan Bayliss

His record at Rosehill over 2000m reads 1-0-0 from 2 starts, which is a significant positive in a race where several key rivals are unproven at the trip. His soft track form is strong with 4 wins from 10 starts, and he's dropping back from Group 3 to Open Listed grade which represents a class drop. The gear change to winkers is a slight concern, but his proven ability at these exact conditions outweighs that negative. Maps well from barrier 3 and should be able to position handy in the slow tempo.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Aaron Bullock

Know Thyself is the value selection despite a glaring distance query. His 53% career win rate is exceptional and demonstrates genuine winning ability that most of this field lacks. His wet track credentials are strong with 5 wins from 9 wet starts, and he's proven at Rosehill with a win on the track. The major concern is he's completely unproven at 2000m, having never raced at the distance. However, his class is undeniable and the pedigree (The Autumn Sun) suggests he should handle the step up. The glue-on shoes first time is a positive stable signal. Each-way value for punters willing to take the distance risk.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.00 · Alysha Collett

Stardeel presents as the standout value proposition with a perfect 2-from-2 record at this exact track and distance, including a last-start win on Heavy 9. The gelding has proven wet-track credentials and a strong second-up pattern. While barrier 17 is concerning on a Soft track with inside bias, his specific course expertise and proven ability to handle these conditions make him the most likely winner despite the wide draw.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.10 · Kerrin Mc Evoy

The 3YO gets in light at 56kg with elite rider McEvoy, who has a 33% strike rate on the horse. Barrier 2 is ideal for the inside bias on Soft tracks at Rosehill. The main concern is modest second-up statistics, but the class and recent form progression suggest he's ready to win at this level. Solid each-way proposition as the main danger.

Our price $7.50 · SP $8.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Couples Retreat brings a compelling second-up record of 75% (3 wins from 4 starts) and won last start on Heavy 9 at this track. The light weight of 53.5kg provides a significant advantage, and barrier 4 is ideal for the inside bias. However, concerns exist around the 1200m distance (0-from-2) and preference for extreme heavy over soft conditions. The class rise from BM72 is also a query. Strong place chance based on second-up pattern and weight advantage, but winning credentials are questioned by distance record.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.50 · Braith Nock

Seven's is the standout selection based on proven track/distance suitability and wet-track credentials. With a perfect 1-0-1 record at Rosehill 1500m and strong soft/heavy form (4 wins from 11 starts), this gelding is ideally suited to today's Soft 7 conditions. The 6kg weight advantage at 51.5kg is significant in a BM88, and the first-time tongue tie suggests connections expect improvement.

Our price $5.00 · SP $13.00 · Aaron Bullock

The Rosehill record is outstanding (83% place rate) and the horse clearly handles Soft conditions, evidenced by 4 places from 6 soft starts. However, the significant class rise from BM78 to BM88 is a major concern - this horse has never won beyond BM78 and has never won on soft despite multiple placings. The wide barrier 17 adds another challenge.