Thinkyahot is the standout formhorse in this maiden, with four placings from five runs including a narrow Heavy-track defeat and a photo-finish second at Ballarat. Ideal barrier for the forward-biased Cranbourne track, consistent jockey engagement, and proven wet-ground capability make this the most reliable winning proposition, even without a maiden-breaking run yet.
Victoria · Thursday 16 July 2026
Cranbourne tips and results
Our top pick won 0 of 8 races at Cranbourne. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Ladbrokes Popular SRM Mdn Plate
Favourable barrier and a capable rider add to the case, but with zero runs the assessment relies on stable/connections proxy rather than proven form, capping confidence appropriately.
Tagamate has raced honestly with consistent minor placings and genuine wet-track form, including a Heavy placing.
- 1st10ShamansaraJamie Mott$6.50
- 2nd6BellabamaJackson Radley$6.00
- 3rd3ThinkyahotZac Spain$2.25
- 4th4ZoudeadlyJye McNeil$6.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Shamansara | 6 | Jamie Mott | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Bellabama | 7 | Jackson Radley | Clayton Douglas | 54.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Thinkyahot | 3 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | $2.25 |
| 4th | 4 | Zoudeadly | 10 | Jye McNeil | Jason Warren | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Stelletta | 5 | Luke Cartwright | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Pride Of Mandy | 1 | Damien Thornton | C I Brown | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Tagamate | 8 | Luke Currie | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 1 | Hirarkee | 9 | Valentin Le Boeuf | R C Manning | 58kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Luminaza | 4 | Jabez Johnstone | C Maher | 54kg | $10.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Ardesha | 2 | Holly Durnan | Catherine Hutchinson | 53kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Kiss The King | 11 | Teodore Nugent | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg |
Summerset Retirement Village Cranbourne North Mdn Plate
Koko has been well-placed in deeper fields at Mornington and has genuine wet-track experience, including a Heavy start. Drawn in barrier 2, she projects to settle forward under the track's proven positional bias. Consistent, progressive form and suitable class level make her the most reliable form-based pick, though she needs to break through for a maiden win.
A leading form-based contender with genuine wet-ground credentials.
Drawn in barrier 1, ideally suited to the track's forward-bias profile on heavy ground.
Ideal barrier 3 suits the forward bias at Cranbourne, and the strong jockey/trainer combination adds confidence.
- 1st10Covert ActionZac Spain$6.50
- 2nd6KokoJackson Radley$5.50
- 3rd11Majestic SonDamien Thornton$1.90
- 4th12Bossy BabeLuke Cartwright$6.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Covert Action | 8 | Zac Spain | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Koko | 2 | Jackson Radley | M W Walker | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 11 | Majestic Son | 1 | Damien Thornton | Clayton Douglas | 57kg | $1.90 |
| 4th | 12 | Bossy Babe | 3 | Luke Cartwright | J F Moloney | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 7 | La Velocita | 9 | Luke Currie | M C Kent | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Bourdeto | 5 | Jye McNeil | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 1 | Calling Tom | 7 | Jade Da Rose | D C Harrison | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Delavega | 10 | Jamie Mott | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Vintell | 13 | Lachlan King | Ben Brisbourne | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Carlow Rose | 11 | Brittany Button | Ms E Haworth | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Reina Del Rio | 12 | Joe Bowditch | Shea Eden | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Brazen Bold | 6 | Jamie Mott | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Chadlington | 4 | Craig Newitt | T Busuttin & N Young | 55kg |
Settlers Run Mdn Plate
Diamond Mila is the clear form standout for Heavy 9 conditions with a strong recent second on Heavy 10 at Moe, showing clear improvement and wet aptitude unmatched in this maiden. Barrier 5 and likely on-pace role align perfectly with Cranbourne's forward bias even on wet tracks.
No form penalty applies under the rules.
- 1st9Alien AngelJye McNeil$2.80
- 2nd4Marine GradeLuke Currie$6.00
- 3rd5Night GuardThomas Stockdale$5.50
- 4th13I'mfallinforyouZac Spain$81.00
Full result · 14 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Alien Angel | 1 | Jye McNeil | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 4 | Marine Grade | 3 | Luke Currie | M C Kent | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Night Guard | 7 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 13 | I'mfallinforyou | 14 | Zac Spain | Dennis Julius | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Whatittakes | 4 | Brad Rawiller | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Diamond Mila | 5 | Jason Maskiell | D J Walkley | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Rayyan | 2 | Jamie Mott | Gavin Bedggood | 59.5kg | $3.70 |
| 8th | 15 | Zwasp | 9 | Joe Bowditch | Shea Eden | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 16 | Zouzenna | 6 | Jackson Radley | Aleks Komarovs | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Galzain | 10 | Adam Mc Cabe | S C Bottomley | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Thinkimacelebrity | 8 | Ryan Houston | Simon Zahra | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| 12th | 12 | Graceful Mist | 11 | Teodore Nugent | Nicole Dickson | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| 13th | 17 | Lightning Joey | 12 | Logan McGill | 59.5kg | $151.00 | |
| 14th | 2 | Iamlevi | 13 | Jake Noonan | Kasey Besanko | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Iberian Lynx | 13 | M, W & J Hawkes | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Fierce Ruby | 15 | Damien Thornton | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Overflirt | 16 | Patrick Moloney | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 57.5kg |
Frankston Sand Soil & Mini Mix Mdn Plate
A well-bred colt stepping down sharply from Listed class into a winnable maiden. Placed behind subsequent types in stronger grade and has heavy-track form including a podium finish at Moe.
Wolves' Den has already shown ability at Cranbourne over this trip, finishing midfield on a testing surface.
Royal Storm has raced honestly in defeat with genuine heavy-track miles under its belt, including a competitive 4th at Sale last start.
- 1st3Deny EntryJoe Bowditch$9.00
- 2nd9Tempered EdgeFred W Kersley$21.00
- 3rd10Wolves' DenJake Noonan$3.20
- 4th6Royal StormLuke Cartwright$8.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Deny Entry | 6 | Joe Bowditch | Gavin Bedggood | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Tempered Edge | 5 | Fred W Kersley | R J Blacker | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Wolves' Den | 7 | Jake Noonan | Julius Sandhu | 59.5kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 6 | Royal Storm | 4 | Luke Cartwright | Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Mortal Peak | 8 | Adam Mc Cabe | S C Bottomley | 59.5kg | $91.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Smart Moves | 9 | Bailey Kinninmont | T Rogers | 56.5kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 14 | From Yesterday | 11 | Craig Newitt | T Busuttin & N Young | 57kg | $2.70 |
| 8th | 11 | Hayai Tsuru | 13 | Emily Pozman | Greg Hayes | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Flying Berouka | 14 | Dylan Dunn | Brett Scott | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Askmumaskdad | 10 | Ryan Houston | Craig Anderson | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Vino's Belle | 2 | Nadia Daniels | Pat Carey & Harris Walker | 54.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Deltakai | 12 | A W Noonan | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Shines Discreetly | 1 | Logan McNeil | Matthew Brown | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Roxolani | 3 | Jye McNeil | Ms C Alderson | 57.5kg |
Core Protective Group (Bm62)
Deadly Press presents the most complete profile - proven on Heavy, consistent current form, ideal forward-settling running style for the projected slow tempo and position-biased track. Carries topweight but has form doing so.
Wide barrier is a slight concern but the horse has shown it can overcome awkward gates. Represents a genuine each-way winning hope in this open handicap.
Kiwi Jenni comes off a strong win at Seymour and has drawn perfectly for the Cranbourne bias. Should be competitive but needs to confirm wet-track ability.
Course form is a genuine plus, but the wide barrier and lack of wet-track experience are real risks in these Heavy conditions. Each-way stake recommended to manage the risk/reward.
- 1st17Tight GripNadia Daniels$21.00
- 2nd1Deadly PressLuke Currie$3.80
- 3rd3Cash ConverterJason Maskiell$8.50
- 4th12Up And UnderLogan McNeil$11.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 17 | Tight Grip | 15 | Nadia Daniels | N G Eades | 51.5kg | $21.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Deadly Press | 7 | Luke Currie | Nick Ryan | 62kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 3 | Cash Converter | 14 | Jason Maskiell | Carly Thomas | 60.5kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 12 | Up And Under | 12 | Logan McNeil | D M Noonan | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Fyreline | 2 | Thomas Stockdale | C Maher | 60kg | $3.70 |
| 6th | 11 | African Grey | 17 | Jake Noonan | Julius Sandhu | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Kiwi Jenni | 3 | Jabez Johnstone | C Maher | 56kg | $4.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Real Alliance | 10 | Damien Thornton | Luke Oliver | 60kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 15 | Helping Hands | 5 | Valentin Le Boeuf | R J Meunier | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Enchanted Jenni | 16 | Jett Stanley | Lloyd Kennewell | 61kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Victory Tune | 4 | Jye McNeil | R D Griffiths | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Reel Deadly | 9 | Jamie Mott | C Maher | 60kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Caleana | 13 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Overpriced | 8 | Sheridan Clarke | D Binaisse | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Compressing | 6 | Craig Newitt | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Marine Empress | 11 | Luke Cartwright | G M Begg | 58kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Master Polanski | 1 | Reece Goodwin | 55kg |
Summerset Retirement Village Cranbourne North (Bm62)
Miss Cotoletta's genuine Heavy-track pedigree (2 wins from 3 starts) is the standout form angle in a race where wet-form proof is a real plus.
Struggle Street arrives in the best form of her career with back-to-back wins and consistent placings, and a strong first-up record supports her chances fresh. The major query is her lack of exposure to genuine Heavy ground, but her class and recent trajectory make her a leading contender.
The lack of any recorded Heavy-track experience is a genuine unknown on a track that rewards wet-proven types, but her class and forward barrier make her hard to dismiss as a value-adding roughie in the placings.
- 1st3Mr TicklesHayley Spitse$7.50
- 2nd12Tesoro MioHolly Durnan$13.00
- 3rd9ImminanceTeodore Nugent$9.50
- 4th4Room For BingoNadia Daniels$10.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Mr Tickles | 4 | Hayley Spitse | Mitchell Leek | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 12 | Tesoro Mio | 2 | Holly Durnan | T Fitzsimmons | 54.5kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Imminance | 13 | Teodore Nugent | Aaron Laing | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Room For Bingo | 3 | Nadia Daniels | Ms R Waymouth | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Nasraawy | 6 | Bailey Kinninmont | Gavin Bedggood | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Struggle Street | 10 | Jake Noonan | Reece Goodwin | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Manhattan Thunder | 15 | Jett Stanley | J D Sadler | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Magic Field | 8 | Luke Currie | A J Clarken | 58.5kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Alpine Fox | 7 | Joe Bowditch | Ms C Alderson | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Miss Cotoletta | 5 | Chelsea Thompson | Jason Warren | 56kg | $3.20 |
| 11th | 15 | Stirrup | 11 | Valentin Le Boeuf | Mark Stephenson | 54kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Edges Diamond | 14 | Jamie Mott | Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell | 61kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Rosangela | 16 | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Dismantle | 9 | Jackson Radley | M W Walker | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Lake Gillear | 12 | Pat Carey & Harris Walker | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Bold Suitor | 1 | A W Noonan | 59.5kg |
Computer Talk - Business I.T. Experts (Bm62)
The slow-tempo, leaderless race shape should suit forward-thinking types.
Godtfred Kirk has been knocking on the door with consistent placings, including a narrow 2nd at Pakenham last start. Lack of a win in recent starts is the main query, but the horse looks the clear second-best form case.
Stellar Mofeed is the model of consistency in this race, with 7 placings from her past 10 starts and sound course/distance credentials at Cranbourne. While win form has been elusive recently, her wet-track experience and forward barrier make her a genuine each-way threat in a tactically nondescript race shape.
- 1st4Best TimeHolly Durnan$41.00
- 2nd11IlluminanceCaitlin Hollowood$8.50
- 3rd7Godtfred KirkJye McNeil$5.50
- 4th18Setheus$81.00
Full result · 13 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Best Time | 5 | Holly Durnan | Smiley Chan | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Illuminance | 9 | Caitlin Hollowood | Julius Sandhu | 56.5kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Godtfred Kirk | 4 | Jye McNeil | Reece Goodwin | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 18 | Setheus | 8 | Logan McGill | 58kg | $81.00 | |
| 5th | 14 | Stellar Mofeed | 7 | Jake Noonan | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 19 | Intimeofneed | 3 | Lachlan King | Dennis Julius | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Schroder's Mistake | 2 | Ryan Houston | R J Blacker | 61kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Semelle Rouge | 6 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 60kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 15 | Lope De Lardo | 15 | Joe Bowditch | Gavin Bedggood | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Too Tough | 10 | Jamie Mott | Ms C Alderson | 60kg | $2.50 |
| 11th | 2 | Strike Gold | 1 | Teodore Nugent | T Fitzsimmons | 61.5kg | $11.00 |
| 12th | 17 | Punic War | 12 | Dean Williams | 58kg | $51.00 | |
| 13th | 16 | Dazzling Secret | 11 | Jade Smith | Mick Nolan | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Milbrae | 16 | Jackson Radley | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 60kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Star Trip | 18 | Thomas Stockdale | C Maher | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Deepseek | 17 | Craig Newitt | T Busuttin & N Young | 60kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Artistic Genius | 18 | Fred W Kersley | P Koumis | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Magnardo | 13 | Reece Goodwin | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Russian Benefits | 14 | Zac Spain | M J Mehegan | 57.5kg |
Become A Southside Racing Member (Bm62)
Blue Bandit presents the strongest form case in this Heavy 9 affair - genuine proven wet-track ability (5:1-1-1 on heavy), fresh off a competitive last-start effort on the same rain-affected Sale circuit, at the same class level. Quick back-up (8 days) suggests trainer confidence. Top weight is a slight concern but manageable given his wet-track profile fits the conditions perfectly.
Jewel Bay is a genuine course specialist who won last start at Cranbourne and holds a strong overall track record. Solid each-way claims regardless.
Decanted is the model of consistency in this grade, with back-to-back podium finishes on wet tracks including a very recent heavy-track run.
- 1st15TouxloveLuke Currie$4.60
- 2nd5Finance ShogunOlivia East$6.50
- 3rd11Russian DuchessJabez Johnstone$12.00
- 4th2Jewel BayJackson Radley$9.50
Full result · 13 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 15 | Touxlove | 2 | Luke Currie | Clayton Douglas | 57kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 5 | Finance Shogun | 11 | Olivia East | Shea Eden | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 11 | Russian Duchess | 6 | Jabez Johnstone | C Maher | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Jewel Bay | 5 | Jackson Radley | Andrea Leek | 61.5kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Reina Isabella | 12 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Decanted | 3 | Jake Noonan | T Busuttin & N Young | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Blue Bandit | 8 | Jamie Mott | J Leek Jnr | 62kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 8 | Tactfull | 7 | Melea Castle | Rory Hunter | 59kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 3 | British Columbia | 9 | Bailey Kinninmont | Gavin Bedggood | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Prestige Snitzel | 10 | Caitlin Hollowood | Julius Sandhu | 58kg | $19.00 |
| 11th | 14 | Tipping Rain | 4 | Emily Pozman | J F Rattle | 53.5kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 16 | Rhodesian Red | 1 | Joe Bowditch | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 13th | 12 | Areaan | 14 | Damien Thornton | C I Brown | 55.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 1 | The Narrator | 15 | Holly Durnan | Shane Jackson | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Jenni Multabella | 16 | Jett Stanley | Lloyd Kennewell | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Charlecote Mill | 13 | Zac Spain | P Koumis | 55kg |
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