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Victoria · Thursday 16 July 2026

Cranbourne tips and results

Our top pick won 0 of 8 races at Cranbourne. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Heavy 9Rail Out 4m Entire CircuitChance of rainCranbourne track guide ›
Top pick won0/80%
Any tip won2/825%
Top pick placed3/838%
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R1

Ladbrokes Popular SRM Mdn Plate

13:00 local1400mMaiden$42,500
Winner10. ShamansaraSP $6.50
★ Top pick3rd
3Thinkyahot

Our price $2.10 · SP $2.25 · Zac Spain

Thinkyahot is the standout formhorse in this maiden, with four placings from five runs including a narrow Heavy-track defeat and a photo-finish second at Ballarat. Ideal barrier for the forward-biased Cranbourne track, consistent jockey engagement, and proven wet-ground capability make this the most reliable winning proposition, even without a maiden-breaking run yet.

2nd pick2nd
6Bellabama

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Jackson Radley

3rd pickWon
10Shamansara

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Jamie Mott

Favourable barrier and a capable rider add to the case, but with zero runs the assessment relies on stable/connections proxy rather than proven form, capping confidence appropriately.

Value pick7th
2Tagamate

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.50 · Luke Currie

Tagamate has raced honestly with consistent minor placings and genuine wet-track form, including a Heavy placing.

  1. 1st10ShamansaraJamie Mott$6.50
  2. 2nd6BellabamaJackson Radley$6.00
  3. 3rd3ThinkyahotZac Spain$2.25
  4. 4th4ZoudeadlyJye McNeil$6.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Shamansara6Jamie MottBen, Will & Jd Hayes56kg$6.50
2nd6Bellabama7Jackson RadleyClayton Douglas54.5kg$6.00
3rd3Thinkyahot3Zac SpainP G Moody & Katherine Coleman58kg$2.25
4th4Zoudeadly10Jye McNeilJason Warren58kg$6.00
5th11Stelletta5Luke CartwrightShane Nichols & Hayden Black56kg$41.00
6th9Pride Of Mandy1Damien ThorntonC I Brown56kg$31.00
7th2Tagamate8Luke CurrieMark & Levi Kavanagh58kg$9.50
8th1Hirarkee9Valentin Le BoeufR C Manning58kg$151.00
9th8Luminaza4Jabez JohnstoneC Maher54kg$10.00
10th5Ardesha2Holly DurnanCatherine Hutchinson53kg$151.00
Scr7Kiss The King11Teodore NugentBen, Will & Jd Hayes56kg
R2

Summerset Retirement Village Cranbourne North Mdn Plate

13:30 local1000mMaiden$42,500
Winner10. Covert ActionSP $6.50
★ Top pick2nd
6Koko

Our price $2.80 · SP $5.50 · Jackson Radley

Koko has been well-placed in deeper fields at Mornington and has genuine wet-track experience, including a Heavy start. Drawn in barrier 2, she projects to settle forward under the track's proven positional bias. Consistent, progressive form and suitable class level make her the most reliable form-based pick, though she needs to break through for a maiden win.

2nd pick6th
4Bourdeto

Our price $3.60 · SP $7.50 · Jye McNeil

A leading form-based contender with genuine wet-ground credentials.

3rd pick3rd
11Majestic Son

Our price $3.30 · SP $1.90 · Damien Thornton

Drawn in barrier 1, ideally suited to the track's forward-bias profile on heavy ground.

Value pick4th
12Bossy Babe

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Luke Cartwright

Ideal barrier 3 suits the forward bias at Cranbourne, and the strong jockey/trainer combination adds confidence.

  1. 1st10Covert ActionZac Spain$6.50
  2. 2nd6KokoJackson Radley$5.50
  3. 3rd11Majestic SonDamien Thornton$1.90
  4. 4th12Bossy BabeLuke Cartwright$6.00
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Covert Action8Zac SpainShane Nichols & Hayden Black57kg$6.50
2nd6Koko2Jackson RadleyM W Walker56kg$5.50
3rd11Majestic Son1Damien ThorntonClayton Douglas57kg$1.90
4th12Bossy Babe3Luke CartwrightJ F Moloney55kg$6.00
5th7La Velocita9Luke CurrieM C Kent57.5kg$31.00
6th4Bourdeto5Jye McNeilBen, Will & Jd Hayes57.5kg$7.50
7th1Calling Tom7Jade Da RoseD C Harrison59.5kg$151.00
Scr2Delavega10Jamie MottM Price & M Kent Jnr59.5kg
Scr3Vintell13Lachlan KingBen Brisbourne59.5kg
Scr5Carlow Rose11Brittany ButtonMs E Haworth54.5kg
Scr8Reina Del Rio12Joe BowditchShea Eden57.5kg
Scr9Brazen Bold6Jamie MottM Price & M Kent Jnr57kg
Scr13Chadlington4Craig NewittT Busuttin & N Young55kg
R3

Settlers Run Mdn Plate

14:00 local1300mMaiden$42,500
Winner9. Alien AngelSP $2.80
★ Top pick6th
1Diamond Mila

Our price $6.50 · SP $21.00 · Jason Maskiell

Diamond Mila is the clear form standout for Heavy 9 conditions with a strong recent second on Heavy 10 at Moe, showing clear improvement and wet aptitude unmatched in this maiden. Barrier 5 and likely on-pace role align perfectly with Cranbourne's forward bias even on wet tracks.

2nd pick7th
6Rayyan

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.70 · Jamie Mott

No form penalty applies under the rules.

3rd pickWon
9Alien Angel

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.80 · Jye McNeil

Value pick5th
8Whatittakes

Our price $11.00 · SP $14.00 · Brad Rawiller

  1. 1st9Alien AngelJye McNeil$2.80
  2. 2nd4Marine GradeLuke Currie$6.00
  3. 3rd5Night GuardThomas Stockdale$5.50
  4. 4th13I'mfallinforyouZac Spain$81.00
Full result · 14 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st9Alien Angel1Jye McNeilBen, Will & Jd Hayes57.5kg$2.80
2nd4Marine Grade3Luke CurrieM C Kent59.5kg$6.00
3rd5Night Guard7Thomas StockdaleM Price & M Kent Jnr59.5kg$5.50
4th13I'mfallinforyou14Zac SpainDennis Julius57.5kg$81.00
5th8Whatittakes4Brad RawillerMark & Levi Kavanagh59.5kg$14.00
6th1Diamond Mila5Jason MaskiellD J Walkley59.5kg$21.00
7th6Rayyan2Jamie MottGavin Bedggood59.5kg$3.70
8th15Zwasp9Joe BowditchShea Eden59.5kg$41.00
9th16Zouzenna6Jackson RadleyAleks Komarovs56kg$51.00
10th11Galzain10Adam Mc CabeS C Bottomley57.5kg$151.00
11th7Thinkimacelebrity8Ryan HoustonSimon Zahra59.5kg$31.00
12th12Graceful Mist11Teodore NugentNicole Dickson57.5kg$151.00
13th17Lightning Joey12Logan McGill59.5kg$151.00
14th2Iamlevi13Jake NoonanKasey Besanko59.5kg$101.00
Scr3Iberian Lynx13M, W & J Hawkes59.5kg
Scr10Fierce Ruby15Damien ThorntonBen, Will & Jd Hayes57.5kg
Scr14Overflirt16Patrick MoloneyShane Nichols & Hayden Black57.5kg
R4

Frankston Sand Soil & Mini Mix Mdn Plate

14:30 local1500mMaiden$42,500
Winner3. Deny EntrySP $9.00
★ Top pick7th
14From Yesterday

Our price $1.90 · SP $2.70 · Craig Newitt

A well-bred colt stepping down sharply from Listed class into a winnable maiden. Placed behind subsequent types in stronger grade and has heavy-track form including a podium finish at Moe.

2nd pick3rd
10Wolves' Den

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.20 · Jake Noonan

Wolves' Den has already shown ability at Cranbourne over this trip, finishing midfield on a testing surface.

3rd pick4th
6Royal Storm

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Luke Cartwright

Royal Storm has raced honestly in defeat with genuine heavy-track miles under its belt, including a competitive 4th at Sale last start.

Value pick6th
8Smart Moves

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.00 · Bailey Kinninmont

  1. 1st3Deny EntryJoe Bowditch$9.00
  2. 2nd9Tempered EdgeFred W Kersley$21.00
  3. 3rd10Wolves' DenJake Noonan$3.20
  4. 4th6Royal StormLuke Cartwright$8.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Deny Entry6Joe BowditchGavin Bedggood59.5kg$9.00
2nd9Tempered Edge5Fred W KersleyR J Blacker59.5kg$21.00
3rd10Wolves' Den7Jake NoonanJulius Sandhu59.5kg$3.20
4th6Royal Storm4Luke CartwrightMs L Tolson & Ms L Proctor59.5kg$8.00
5th5Mortal Peak8Adam Mc CabeS C Bottomley59.5kg$91.00
6th8Smart Moves9Bailey KinninmontT Rogers56.5kg$8.00
7th14From Yesterday11Craig NewittT Busuttin & N Young57kg$2.70
8th11Hayai Tsuru13Emily PozmanGreg Hayes56kg$41.00
9th4Flying Berouka14Dylan DunnBrett Scott59.5kg$101.00
10th1Askmumaskdad10Ryan HoustonCraig Anderson59.5kg$12.00
11th13Vino's Belle2Nadia DanielsPat Carey & Harris Walker54.5kg$101.00
Scr2Deltakai12A W Noonan59.5kg
Scr7Shines Discreetly1Logan McNeilMatthew Brown59.5kg
Scr12Roxolani3Jye McNeilMs C Alderson57.5kg
R5

Core Protective Group (Bm62)

15:00 local1600mBenchmark 62$35,000
Winner17. Tight GripSP $21.00
★ Top pick2nd
1Deadly Press

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.80 · Luke Currie

Deadly Press presents the most complete profile - proven on Heavy, consistent current form, ideal forward-settling running style for the projected slow tempo and position-biased track. Carries topweight but has form doing so.

2nd pick3rd
3Cash Converter

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Jason Maskiell

Wide barrier is a slight concern but the horse has shown it can overcome awkward gates. Represents a genuine each-way winning hope in this open handicap.

3rd pick7th
13Kiwi Jenni

Our price $3.60 · SP $4.00 · Jabez Johnstone

Kiwi Jenni comes off a strong win at Seymour and has drawn perfectly for the Cranbourne bias. Should be competitive but needs to confirm wet-track ability.

Value pick6th
11African Grey

Our price $7.50 · SP $11.00 · Jake Noonan

Course form is a genuine plus, but the wide barrier and lack of wet-track experience are real risks in these Heavy conditions. Each-way stake recommended to manage the risk/reward.

  1. 1st17Tight GripNadia Daniels$21.00
  2. 2nd1Deadly PressLuke Currie$3.80
  3. 3rd3Cash ConverterJason Maskiell$8.50
  4. 4th12Up And UnderLogan McNeil$11.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st17Tight Grip15Nadia DanielsN G Eades51.5kg$21.00
2nd1Deadly Press7Luke CurrieNick Ryan62kg$3.80
3rd3Cash Converter14Jason MaskiellCarly Thomas60.5kg$8.50
4th12Up And Under12Logan McNeilD M Noonan58.5kg$11.00
5th5Fyreline2Thomas StockdaleC Maher60kg$3.70
6th11African Grey17Jake NoonanJulius Sandhu58.5kg$11.00
7th13Kiwi Jenni3Jabez JohnstoneC Maher56kg$4.00
8th6Real Alliance10Damien ThorntonLuke Oliver60kg$12.00
9th15Helping Hands5Valentin Le BoeufR J Meunier57.5kg$61.00
Scr2Enchanted Jenni16Jett StanleyLloyd Kennewell61kg
Scr4Victory Tune4Jye McNeilR D Griffiths60.5kg
Scr7Reel Deadly9Jamie MottC Maher60kg
Scr8Caleana13Thomas StockdaleM Price & M Kent Jnr59.5kg
Scr9Overpriced8Sheridan ClarkeD Binaisse59.5kg
Scr10Compressing6Craig NewittT Busuttin & N Young59kg
Scr14Marine Empress11Luke CartwrightG M Begg58kg
Scr16Master Polanski1Reece Goodwin55kg
R6

Summerset Retirement Village Cranbourne North (Bm62)

15:30 local1000mBenchmark 62$35,000
Winner3. Mr TicklesSP $7.50
★ Top pick10th
8Miss Cotoletta

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.20 · Chelsea Thompson

Miss Cotoletta's genuine Heavy-track pedigree (2 wins from 3 starts) is the standout form angle in a race where wet-form proof is a real plus.

2nd pick6th
5Struggle Street

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.00 · Jake Noonan

Struggle Street arrives in the best form of her career with back-to-back wins and consistent placings, and a strong first-up record supports her chances fresh. The major query is her lack of exposure to genuine Heavy ground, but her class and recent trajectory make her a leading contender.

3rd pick4th
4Room For Bingo

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Nadia Daniels

The lack of any recorded Heavy-track experience is a genuine unknown on a track that rewards wet-proven types, but her class and forward barrier make her hard to dismiss as a value-adding roughie in the placings.

Value pick7th
7Manhattan Thunder

Our price $7.50 · SP $12.00 · Jett Stanley

  1. 1st3Mr TicklesHayley Spitse$7.50
  2. 2nd12Tesoro MioHolly Durnan$13.00
  3. 3rd9ImminanceTeodore Nugent$9.50
  4. 4th4Room For BingoNadia Daniels$10.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Mr Tickles4Hayley SpitseMitchell Leek56.5kg$7.50
2nd12Tesoro Mio2Holly DurnanT Fitzsimmons54.5kg$13.00
3rd9Imminance13Teodore NugentAaron Laing58.5kg$9.50
4th4Room For Bingo3Nadia DanielsMs R Waymouth57.5kg$10.00
5th1Nasraawy6Bailey KinninmontGavin Bedggood58.5kg$5.00
6th5Struggle Street10Jake NoonanReece Goodwin59.5kg$9.00
7th7Manhattan Thunder15Jett StanleyJ D Sadler59kg$12.00
8th10Magic Field8Luke CurrieA J Clarken58.5kg$19.00
9th6Alpine Fox7Joe BowditchMs C Alderson59kg$21.00
10th8Miss Cotoletta5Chelsea ThompsonJason Warren56kg$3.20
11th15Stirrup11Valentin Le BoeufMark Stephenson54kg$201.00
Scr2Edges Diamond14Jamie MottMaddie Raymond & Patrick Bell61kg
Scr11Rosangela16M Price & M Kent Jnr57.5kg
Scr13Dismantle9Jackson RadleyM W Walker55.5kg
Scr14Lake Gillear12Pat Carey & Harris Walker58kg
Scr16Bold Suitor1A W Noonan59.5kg
R7

Computer Talk - Business I.T. Experts (Bm62)

16:00 local1200mBenchmark 62$35,000
Winner4. Best TimeSP $41.00
★ Top pick10th
9Too Tough

Our price $2.60 · SP $2.50 · Jamie Mott

The slow-tempo, leaderless race shape should suit forward-thinking types.

2nd pick3rd
7Godtfred Kirk

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Jye McNeil

Godtfred Kirk has been knocking on the door with consistent placings, including a narrow 2nd at Pakenham last start. Lack of a win in recent starts is the main query, but the horse looks the clear second-best form case.

3rd pick5th
14Stellar Mofeed

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.00 · Jake Noonan

Stellar Mofeed is the model of consistency in this race, with 7 placings from her past 10 starts and sound course/distance credentials at Cranbourne. While win form has been elusive recently, her wet-track experience and forward barrier make her a genuine each-way threat in a tactically nondescript race shape.

Value pick8th
8Semelle Rouge

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Thomas Stockdale

  1. 1st4Best TimeHolly Durnan$41.00
  2. 2nd11IlluminanceCaitlin Hollowood$8.50
  3. 3rd7Godtfred KirkJye McNeil$5.50
  4. 4th18Setheus$81.00
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Best Time5Holly DurnanSmiley Chan57.5kg$41.00
2nd11Illuminance9Caitlin HollowoodJulius Sandhu56.5kg$8.50
3rd7Godtfred Kirk4Jye McNeilReece Goodwin60kg$5.50
4th18Setheus8Logan McGill58kg$81.00
5th14Stellar Mofeed7Jake NoonanL & T Corstens & W Larkin57.5kg$8.00
6th19Intimeofneed3Lachlan KingDennis Julius56kg$9.00
7th3Schroder's Mistake2Ryan HoustonR J Blacker61kg$41.00
8th8Semelle Rouge6Thomas StockdaleM Price & M Kent Jnr60kg$26.00
9th15Lope De Lardo15Joe BowditchGavin Bedggood58.5kg$26.00
10th9Too Tough10Jamie MottMs C Alderson60kg$2.50
11th2Strike Gold1Teodore NugentT Fitzsimmons61.5kg$11.00
12th17Punic War12Dean Williams58kg$51.00
13th16Dazzling Secret11Jade SmithMick Nolan55.5kg$17.00
Scr1Milbrae16Jackson RadleyBen, Will & Jd Hayes60kg
Scr5Star Trip18Thomas StockdaleC Maher60.5kg
Scr6Deepseek17Craig NewittT Busuttin & N Young60kg
Scr10Artistic Genius18Fred W KersleyP Koumis59.5kg
Scr12Magnardo13Reece Goodwin59.5kg
Scr13Russian Benefits14Zac SpainM J Mehegan57.5kg
R8

Become A Southside Racing Member (Bm62)

16:30 local1400mBenchmark 62$35,000
Winner15. TouxloveSP $4.60
★ Top pick7th
4Blue Bandit

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.50 · Jamie Mott

Blue Bandit presents the strongest form case in this Heavy 9 affair - genuine proven wet-track ability (5:1-1-1 on heavy), fresh off a competitive last-start effort on the same rain-affected Sale circuit, at the same class level. Quick back-up (8 days) suggests trainer confidence. Top weight is a slight concern but manageable given his wet-track profile fits the conditions perfectly.

2nd pick4th
2Jewel Bay

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.50 · Jackson Radley

Jewel Bay is a genuine course specialist who won last start at Cranbourne and holds a strong overall track record. Solid each-way claims regardless.

3rd pick6th
9Decanted

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.00 · Jake Noonan

Decanted is the model of consistency in this grade, with back-to-back podium finishes on wet tracks including a very recent heavy-track run.

Value pick5th
7Reina Isabella

Our price $7.50 · SP $11.00 · Thomas Stockdale

  1. 1st15TouxloveLuke Currie$4.60
  2. 2nd5Finance ShogunOlivia East$6.50
  3. 3rd11Russian DuchessJabez Johnstone$12.00
  4. 4th2Jewel BayJackson Radley$9.50
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st15Touxlove2Luke CurrieClayton Douglas57kg$4.60
2nd5Finance Shogun11Olivia EastShea Eden58kg$6.50
3rd11Russian Duchess6Jabez JohnstoneC Maher56kg$12.00
4th2Jewel Bay5Jackson RadleyAndrea Leek61.5kg$9.50
5th7Reina Isabella12Thomas StockdaleM Price & M Kent Jnr59kg$11.00
6th9Decanted3Jake NoonanT Busuttin & N Young58.5kg$8.00
7th4Blue Bandit8Jamie MottJ Leek Jnr62kg$6.50
8th8Tactfull7Melea CastleRory Hunter59kg$91.00
9th3British Columbia9Bailey KinninmontGavin Bedggood59.5kg$8.00
10th6Prestige Snitzel10Caitlin HollowoodJulius Sandhu58kg$19.00
11th14Tipping Rain4Emily PozmanJ F Rattle53.5kg$26.00
12th16Rhodesian Red1Joe BowditchMark & Levi Kavanagh57kg$51.00
13th12Areaan14Damien ThorntonC I Brown55.5kg$51.00
Scr1The Narrator15Holly DurnanShane Jackson60.5kg
Scr10Jenni Multabella16Jett StanleyLloyd Kennewell58.5kg
Scr13Charlecote Mill13Zac SpainP Koumis55kg

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