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New South Wales · Thursday 16 July 2026

Kembla Grange tips and results

Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Good 4Rail TrueFineKembla Grange track guide ›
Top pick won3/838%
Any tip won7/888%
Top pick placed7/888%
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R1

Greenway Turf Solutions Mdn Plate

12:05 local1000mMaiden$42,000
Winner11. Hearts AffairSP $3.60
★ Top pick3rd
4Union

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.40 · Zac Lloyd

Union arrives from much stronger Open-class company, representing a genuine class drop into this maiden. First-up assignment and blinkers add slight risk, but the class edge is compelling.

2nd pick2nd
7Andarna

Our price $7.00 · SP $3.40 · Tommy Berry

Despite a moderate placing in her only start here, her trial form is sharp and she has proven course experience.

999th pickScratched
5Viva Macaco

Our price $2.30 · Chad Schofield

Elite connections in Widdup/Schofield and a forward barrier suit Kembla Grange's position-based bias. The clear form standout and warrants favouritism.

Value pickScratched
2Jammed

Our price $6.00 · Zac Wadick

Jammed is unraced but boasts a strong recent trial win by 2 lengths with the same rider engaged today, a positive intent signal.

  1. 1st11Hearts AffairRegan Bayliss$3.60
  2. 2nd7AndarnaTommy Berry$3.40
  3. 3rd4UnionZac Lloyd$4.40
  4. 4th13Who's CookingLouise Day$61.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st11Hearts Affair2Regan BaylissG Waterhouse & A Bott55kg$3.60
2nd7Andarna7Tommy BerryR & L Price55kg$3.40
3rd4Union6Zac LloydPeter Snowden57kg$4.40
4th13Who's Cooking9Louise DayPaul Murray55kg$61.00
5th12Monte Shell5Grant BuckleyR & L Price55kg$11.00
6th9Cyclone Jaz13Jeff PenzaM & D Kearney55kg$31.00
7th6Zensen1Rory HutchingsG Portelli57kg$8.50
8th10Hammertime4Keagan LathamMichael Freedman55kg$6.00
Scr1Alpha Sort10Siena GrimaRoss McConville55kg
Scr2Jammed12Zac WadickG M Brown57kg
Scr3Saturday Party13M, W & J Hawkes57kg
Scr5Viva Macaco3Chad SchofieldBrad Widdup57kg
Scr8Bascilica Babe8Sara Ryan55kg
Scr14Yankallila Bronc11Andrew AdkinsPeter Snowden55kg
R2

Collappor8 Accounting Mdn Hcp

12:40 local1300mMaiden$42,000
Winner4. GlissandoSP $1.95
★ Top pick5th
11Quadria

Our price $5.50 · SP $10.00 · Grant Buckley

Quadria presents the strongest form profile in a moderate maiden field, with three placings from five starts including a track-proven soft-ground run. First-up query is the main risk, but this looks the most likely winner on raw ability and suitability.

2nd pickWon
4Glissando

Our price $2.60 · SP $1.95 · Siena Grima

3rd pick7th
6Swift Delivery

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.00 · Zac Lloyd

Without visible trial form this carries real risk, but the intent signals are strong enough to warrant each-way consideration in an ordinary maiden field.

999th pickScratched
8Last Tour

Our price $7.00 · Chad Schofield

999th pickScratched
1Peace Bird

Our price $2.60 · Louise Day

Peace Bird has been the model of consistency in maiden company, placing four times from seven starts including twice at today's 1300m trip. The one query is converting placings into a win, but her profile fits the Kembla 400m-position bias well.

Value pick4th
5Heart Reset

Our price $14.00 · SP $26.00 · Brock Ryan

  1. 1st4GlissandoSiena Grima$1.95
  2. 2nd7Divine HeightsOlivia Chambers$31.00
  3. 3rd3Rapid RevenueTommy Berry$3.60
  4. 4th5Heart ResetBrock Ryan$26.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Glissando4Siena GrimaC J Waller55kg$1.95
2nd7Divine Heights3Olivia ChambersDavid Payne54.5kg$31.00
3rd3Rapid Revenue10Tommy BerryBjorn Baker58kg$3.60
4th5Heart Reset6Brock RyanR & L Price57kg$26.00
5th11Quadria5Grant BuckleyP & M Cave55kg$10.00
6th12Yana9Molly BourkeJ G Sargent55kg$10.00
7th6Swift Delivery7Zac LloydDavid Pfieffer57kg$8.00
8th10Powerful Majik11Ellen HennessyMs D Poidevin-Laine55kg$91.00
Scr1Peace Bird8Louise DayC Maher59.5kg
Scr2Creator Of World12Ross McConville58.5kg
Scr8Last Tour1Chad SchofieldBrad Widdup55kg
Scr9Nambi Ghima2Jess TaylorJ C Coyle55kg
R3

MMJ Wollongong Super Mdn Plate

13:15 local1600mMaiden$60,000
Winner5. Equinox LegendSP $3.20
★ Top pick2nd
2Clanwilliam

Our price $1.80 · SP $1.80 · Chad Schofield

Clanwilliam is the most credentialed runner in this maiden, with four straight competitive placings and a barrier that suits the strong on-pace bias at Kembla.

2nd pick5th
11Wee Winn

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · Mitch Stapleford

A light weight and useful gate make this filly a strong threat to reverse the placing from three weeks ago, representing a genuine winning chance in a moderate-tempo race.

3rd pickWon
5Equinox Legend

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.20 · Andrew Adkins

Equinox Legend is second-up with a good barrier and strong local rider engaged, mapping to sit forward in a race that suits on-pace runners. Recent form is workable rather than outstanding, but the map advantage and positive second-up trend give this galloper a genuine top-three winning chance.

Value pick6th
4Courting Emily

Our price $6.50 · SP $13.00 · Zac Lloyd

Courting Emily drops in class from Class 1 grade into today's maiden after a spell, with a strong first-up record and the retained services of in-form rider Zac Lloyd who boasts a 25% strike rate at this track.

  1. 1st5Equinox LegendAndrew Adkins$3.20
  2. 2nd2ClanwilliamChad Schofield$1.80
  3. 3rd9GemtikiSiena Grima$51.00
  4. 4th3Copartner PegasusKeagan Latham$12.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Equinox Legend3Andrew AdkinsL J Bridge59kg$3.20
2nd2Clanwilliam1Chad SchofieldDavid Payne59kg$1.80
3rd9Gemtiki9Siena GrimaS Harvey55kg$51.00
4th3Copartner Pegasus5Keagan LathamStephen O'Halloran59kg$12.00
5th11Wee Winn7Mitch StaplefordPeter Snowden55.5kg$11.00
6th4Courting Emily8Zac LloydMatthew Smith59kg$13.00
7th7Leon Ruben11Ellen HennessyMs D Poidevin-Laine59kg$31.00
8th10Liyah's Girl4Jett NewmanMatthew Smith55kg$41.00
9th8Tupelo Twist2Jess TaylorMs T Bateup59kg$151.00
Scr1Blazing Statement6Grant BuckleyNikki Hodgson59kg
Scr6Heeza Steve10M & D Kearney59kg
R4

TBC Distribution Midway Mdn Hcp

13:55 local1200mMaiden$45,000
Winner5. StakeholderSP $13.00
★ Top pick2nd
8Written Doll

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.20 · Jay Ford

2nd pick3rd
7Creator Of World

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.10 · Zac Lloyd

Creator Of World has been knocking on the door, including a narrow 2nd at this same track last start over course conditions. Zac Lloyd's booking in career-best form adds confidence. Wide gate is a query but his track form and improving profile make him a leading threat to the top pick.

3rd pick6th
3Pariah Time

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Dylan Gibbons

Pariah Time is racing into form with sequential improvement and was narrowly beaten last start. The Gibbons/Beer-Carpenter combination is firing at a 42% strike rate together, and the second-up angle suits this gelding's record. A strong each-way threat with upside.

Value pickWon
5Stakeholder

Our price $8.00 · SP $13.00

Stakeholder's debut placing was promising, beaten just a length at Nowra.

  1. 1st5Stakeholder$13.00
  2. 2nd8Written DollJay Ford$3.20
  3. 3rd7Creator Of WorldZac Lloyd$3.10
  4. 4th12Celestial GraceSiena Grima$21.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Stakeholder12T J Bartley59kg$13.00
2nd8Written Doll7Jay FordDavid Pfieffer58.5kg$3.20
3rd7Creator Of World11Zac LloydRoss McConville58.5kg$3.10
4th12Celestial Grace9Siena GrimaG Portelli53kg$21.00
5th2Coral Cove2Jess TaylorMs T Bateup59kg$61.00
6th3Pariah Time6Dylan GibbonsMitchell Beer & George Carpenter59kg$6.00
7th9The Agent1Winona CostinMs A Turner58kg$41.00
8th4Santarno5Tommy BerryR & L Price59kg$6.50
9th1Bankrupt10Jeff PenzaLee & Cherie Curtis59kg$31.00
10th11Pacific Palisades8Regan BaylissDavid Pfieffer57kg$31.00
11th6Wildstone Nature3Molly BourkeMs T Bateup59kg$101.00
12th10Enchanted Rose4Brock RyanK J Parker57kg$41.00
Scr13Quadria2P & M Cave55kg
R5

Black Aly Window Tinting Hcp (C1)

14:35 local1300mClass 1$42,000
Winner3. CuestaSP $2.80
★ Top pick2nd
6Rose Of Fenway

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.80 · Dylan Gibbons

Rose Of Fenway maps as the likely leader in a slow Class 1 and gets the gun jockey/trainer combo of Dylan Gibbons and Mitchell Beer (42% together). She placed third at Kembla last start and won her maiden over 1300m on soft. The slow pace suits her controlling style; she should be hard to run down. The only query is Good record: 0-for-2, but she placed on it.

2nd pickWon
3Cuesta

Our price $4.50 · SP $2.80 · Zac Lloyd

Cuesta is the model of consistency with 8 placings from 13 starts and a 62% place rate. However, she has never won on Good ground (0-4-0) and prefers to run on, which may be difficult in a slow-run race.

3rd pick3rd
5Call Me Sassy

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.80 · Tommy Berry

She handles Good ground and drops slightly from BM64. However, barrier 8 makes her position tricky in a slow-run race, and the Pfieffer/Berry combination hasn't produced a winner yet. She is a place chance but the win may require a faster tempo.

Value pick8th
4Tsarevich

Our price $15.00 · SP $31.00 · Molly Bourke

He has only raced 4 times but showed ability. The long break is a concern, but the stable has placed him well.

  1. 1st3CuestaZac Lloyd$2.80
  2. 2nd6Rose Of FenwayDylan Gibbons$3.80
  3. 3rd5Call Me SassyTommy Berry$4.80
  4. 4th1OnmaloneAndrew Adkins$5.50
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Cuesta4Zac LloydBjorn Baker57.5kg$2.80
2nd6Rose Of Fenway5Dylan GibbonsMitchell Beer & George Carpenter57kg$3.80
3rd5Call Me Sassy7Tommy BerryDavid Pfieffer57kg$4.80
4th1Onmalone3Andrew AdkinsG Ryan & S Alexiou59kg$5.50
5th2Skirmish9Jay FordK J Parker58kg$12.00
6th10Excuseme Mrofficer1Robyn FreemanRoss McConville55.5kg$71.00
7th7Sir Tua2Chad SchofieldRichard & Will Freedman57kg$16.00
8th4Tsarevich6Molly BourkeJ G Sargent57.5kg$31.00
Scr8De Joker7Angus Stewart56.5kg
Scr9Royaltown8Luke Pepper56.5kg
R6

Site Drop Hcp (C1)

15:10 local1600mClass 1$42,000
Winner1. AethelwulfSP $1.55
★ Top pickWon
1Aethelwulf

Our price $2.60 · SP $1.55 · Zac Lloyd

Aethelwulf presents the strongest formline in this race - lightly raced with a maiden win and a competitive placing at a higher level last start, fitting Kembla's profile of lightly-raced, in-form winners. Jockey Zac Lloyd is in career-best form at this track. Barrier 8 is a mild concern but not disqualifying given the weak barrier bias here.

2nd pick4th
4Call Me Mojo

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.00 · Tommy Berry

Call Me Mojo has been racing consistently at Class 1 level with a strong placing last-but-one start. Good barrier draw for the expected tempo and Tommy Berry's booking is a positive signal.

3rd pick6th
9Where's My Halo

Our price $8.00 · SP $15.00 · Mitchell Bell

Where's My Halo arrives in career-best form having just won her maiden, and the second-up profile (placed once from one previous attempt) supports another forward showing.

Value pickScratched
2Cheval De Bois

Our price $3.20 · Braith Nock

The horse has proven he can win at 1600m on Good ground, and the barrier draw suits forward tactics in what looks a one-leader tempo.

  1. 1st1AethelwulfZac Lloyd$1.55
  2. 2nd8Arizona LonerChad Schofield$7.50
  3. 3rd7FiercenessGrant Buckley$26.00
  4. 4th4Call Me MojoTommy Berry$9.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Aethelwulf8Zac LloydMatthew Smith60kg$1.55
2nd8Arizona Loner10Chad SchofieldJohn Thompson56.5kg$7.50
3rd7Fierceness6Grant BuckleyMatthew Smith57.5kg$26.00
4th4Call Me Mojo4Tommy BerryDavid Pfieffer58.5kg$9.00
5th3Yachiyo2Andrew AdkinsM Price & M Kent Jnr59kg$7.50
6th9Where's My Halo7Mitchell BellR J Quinton56.5kg$15.00
7th12Aranese12Olivia ChambersMs A Turner53kg$31.00
8th10Simply Nutbush1Reece JonesJ M Austin56kg$31.00
9th11Rita's Pearl3Molly BourkeP & M Cave55kg$81.00
Scr2Cheval De Bois5Braith NockAnnabel & Rob Archibald59.5kg
Scr5Dynast King8Matthew Vella58kg
Scr6Feazabeel9Dylan GibbonsAnnabel & Rob Archibald57.5kg
Scr13Tod11Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter55kg
R7

Cactus Imaging (Bm64)

15:50 local1000mBenchmark 64$42,000
Winner1. Century SongSP $2.50
★ Top pickWon
1Century Song

Our price $2.60 · SP $2.50 · Tommy Berry

Century Song presents the strongest form case - dropping significantly in class after competitive runs against much stronger Bench 78 company, with a proven record at this exact track/distance/condition combination including a subsequent win. Soft track record is exceptional (3 wins/7). The class relief is the key angle underappreciated by casual read of recent runs.

2nd pick8th
12Written Redemption

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.50 · Zac Lloyd

The barrier draw suits the track bias toward forward positioning.

3rd pick4th
9Vingt Neuf Noir

Our price $4.80 · SP $4.40 · Chad Schofield

Rising in class but the improving profile (consistent minor placings trending to a placing last start) suggests she is going the right way. A three-year-old filly with upside against older, more exposed rivals.

999th pickScratched
6Honey Perfume

Our price $5.50 · Siena Grima

A highly consistent mare with an excellent place strike rate and recent grade-appropriate win. While barrier 12 is a slight concern, Kembla's barrier bias is weak, and her sound recent form and fitness make her a genuine each-way threat in this open race.

Value pick2nd
2Shalaa Gold

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.60 · Olivia Chambers

Dropping significantly in class after competitive runs at Bench 78, with a solid placing record first-up historically.

  1. 1st1Century SongTommy Berry$2.50
  2. 2nd2Shalaa GoldOlivia Chambers$3.60
  3. 3rd7Still AliceJeff Penza$17.00
  4. 4th9Vingt Neuf NoirChad Schofield$4.40
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Century Song5Tommy BerryR & L Price62kg$2.50
2nd2Shalaa Gold9Olivia ChambersMarc & Mitchell Conners60kg$3.60
3rd7Still Alice3Jeff PenzaLee & Cherie Curtis59.5kg$17.00
4th9Vingt Neuf Noir2Chad SchofieldJohn Thompson58.5kg$4.40
5th8Bode Akuna1Jess TaylorJ C Coyle58.5kg$31.00
6th10Cani Cancan10Grant BuckleyPaul Murray55kg$51.00
7th11Kool Kade7Dylan GibbonsMitchell Beer & George Carpenter55kg$15.00
8th12Written Redemption4Zac LloydBryce Heys55kg$8.50
Scr3Fangela8Jessica BrookesK Dryden & L Snowden58.5kg
Scr4Gambler6Rory HutchingsPeter Snowden61kg
Scr5Heuristic8Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter61kg
Scr6Honey Perfume11Siena GrimaMatthew Smith58.5kg
R8

Hotel TOTTO Provincial (Bm68)

16:25 local1200mBenchmark 68$45,000
Winner4. Let's Go AgainSP $3.40
★ Top pickWon
4Let's Go Again

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.40 · Olivia Chambers

First-up record is strong and the drop in grade should see her map nicely just off the speed. Warrants top selection on form alone.

2nd pick3rd
2Zaragoza

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.50 · Tommy Berry

Dropping in class from Bench 72 removes a query, and while second-up form is unremarkable, the overall profile screams the value runner within the top selections.

3rd pick4th
1Cryptonic

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · Mitch Stapleford

Cryptonic has previously won at this precise track/class/distance combination and boasts a strong first-up record, making the extended spell less concerning than it appears.

Value pick5th
6Donwon

Our price $12.00 · SP $19.00 · Brock Ryan

Recent form has been consistent with regular top-4 finishes, and the addition of blinkers may add sharpness.

  1. 1st4Let's Go AgainOlivia Chambers$3.40
  2. 2nd3HeuristicSiena Grima$4.40
  3. 3rd2ZaragozaTommy Berry$3.50
  4. 4th1CryptonicMitch Stapleford$8.50
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Let's Go Again9Olivia ChambersK J Parker56kg$3.40
2nd3Heuristic1Siena GrimaMitchell Beer & George Carpenter57kg$4.40
3rd2Zaragoza7Tommy BerryR & L Price60kg$3.50
4th1Cryptonic5Mitch StaplefordJason Attard59.5kg$8.50
5th6Donwon6Brock RyanRoss McConville57kg$19.00
6th7Benamera2Chad SchofieldStephen O'Halloran55kg$13.00
7th9Listins Lass3Reece JonesJ D Cooper55kg$31.00
8th10Vis I Do4Louise DayAnthony Mountney55kg$41.00
9th5Equilibrist10Andrew AdkinsK J Parker57.5kg$13.00
10th11Li'l Grug11Grant BuckleyMs D Poidevin-Laine55kg$81.00
Scr8River Pat8Jay FordMs K Waugh55kg

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