Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Thursday 16 July 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Ipswich. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Lady Milan is the standout form horse in this maiden, with a striking consistency record (3 placings from last 4) and strong recent efforts against similar or stronger opposition. She maps to sit forward-handy, ideal for this track's on-pace bias.
Cause To Be Xcited presents a classic proxy case - minimal public form but a stellar jockey booking in Bailey Wheeler (25% recent strike rate) signals genuine stable confidence. The inside barrier suits the track's forward bias, and the single trial placing suggests underlying ability not yet reflected in official form. A calculated risk pick for minor placings.
The strong Marshall/Bruce combination adds confidence to this contrarian value play.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Lady Milan | 6 | Leah Martyn | T J Gollan | 54.5kg | $1.12 |
| 2nd | 5 | Kvas | 5 | Frederick Larson | Nathan Evans | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Prestige Austria | 4 | Dylan Turner | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 54.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Cause To Be Xcited | 2 | Bailey Wheeler | J W Zielke | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 2 | The Foundling | 1 | Montana Philpot | R G Howard | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Stanner's Empire | 3 | Dan Mc Gillivray | Phil Bobic | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Almond Gold | 8 | Aidan Keeley | Bradley Smith | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Luck Of Grace | 9 | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Luminous Girl | 7 | Taylor Marshall | Jack Bruce | 56kg |
A slight class rise in distance is untested but the profile fits the forward-racing bias here.
First-time blinkers could sharpen tactical positioning, addressing the track's on-pace bias.
True Intent was narrowly beaten at this same track and trip last start, showing professional placing form fitting the winner profile of 'placed last start, fresh'.
As a lightly-raced type stepping up for a second run, the profile fits the track's preference for progressive, fresh runners.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | New Mexico | 5 | Jace McMurray | K M Schweida | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Nozomu | 8 | Nozi Tomizawa | D Chujo | 58kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 12 | Master In Motion | 6 | Dylan Turner | Matthew Hoysted | 58kg | $3.30 |
| 4th | 11 | Pretty Smashing | 10 | Taylor Marshall | Jan Pritchard | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Catfish | 11 | Tiffani Brooker | Ryan Tyrell | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 5 | My House | 2 | Anthony Allen | Allan Chau | 58kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Gunna Wannabe | 1 | Leslie Tilley | A & T Sweeney | 58kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Nifty's Treasure | 4 | Benjamin Osmond | Michael Nolan | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Grieve Road | 7 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | K M Schweida | 58kg | $2.80 |
| 10th | 4 | My Chevalier | 12 | S B Laming | 58kg | $31.00 | |
| 11th | 9 | Jasmintina | 3 | Olivia Kendal | B & M Costello | 54.5kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 8 | True Intent | 9 | Leah Martyn | S B Laming | 56.5kg |
Her narrow defeat last start signals she is ready to break through, and while barrier 11 is a mild concern at Ipswich, her class edge over this field is clear. Justifies favouritism on raw form alone.
Kalamia King has genuine course and distance form at Ipswich, including a narrow 2nd only two starts back, and draws well in gate 2 to exploit the track's strong on-pace bias. Continuity of raceriding with an in-form jockey adds confidence. He looks the most reliable each-way type outside the top two picks.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Divil A Bit | 5 | Anthony Allen | Ruby Chatterton | 58.5kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 8 | Canya Berich | 11 | Michael Rodd | Jarred Coetzee | 56.5kg | $2.10 |
| 3rd | 2 | Kalamia King | 2 | Bailey Wheeler | J W Zielke | 58.5kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 6 | Trust In The Rock | 8 | Micheal Hellyer | Dirk Dobbin | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Moana Nui | 3 | Paul Hamblin | Cath Hamblin | 58.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Speegle | 9 | Adin Thompson | B W Brown | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Exodini | 4 | Tiffani Brooker | T J Hurley | 58kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Continent | 10 | Montana Philpot | John Holcombe | 54.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Pure Audacity | 1 | Olivia Kendal | Michael Morrison | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 10th | 14 | So You Reckon | 14 | Vic Heading | 58kg | $101.00 | |
| 11th | 13 | Our Sassy Princess | 7 | S Essery | 56kg | $151.00 | |
| 12th | 11 | Tuscanado | 6 | Chris Meehan | Vishan Venkaya | 56.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Wild Bean | 12 | Leslie Tilley | P J Wallace | 58kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Tassorati | 13 | Leah Martyn | T J Gollan | 54.5kg |
Esprit Du Jour presents the most reliable form profile in the race - a model of consistency with 8 placings from her last 10 starts. Her inside barrier suits the expected slow, on-pace-biased tempo at Ipswich, and connections (Gollan/Martyn) are in career-best form. While she needs to convert placings into a win, all signs point to a peak performance today.
Land Bank has genuine claims with a strong Good-track record and previous Ipswich success, but first-up form is a slight question mark after a 160-day break. A leading contender but with slightly more risk than the top selection.
Immediate is a model of consistency with placings in 8 of her last 10 starts, but the wide barrier draw is a genuine concern at this track which heavily favours forward, handy runners.
Meldubious presents the strongest formline in the race - consistently placing, proven at today's track and distance, and dropping in grade. Second-up record is excellent and the barrier draw supports the forward tactical approach that dominates at Ipswich. Fair top elect on form.
Divine Justice arrives fresh off a long spell with useful Victorian form and drew the ideal inside gate for this track's forward bias.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Immediate | 11 | Chelsea Baker | T J Gollan | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Esprit Du Jour | 2 | Leah Martyn | T J Gollan | 55.5kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Land Bank | 6 | Jace McMurray | T J Gollan | 58.5kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 6 | Divine Justice | 1 | Taylor Marshall | Jack Bruce | 56kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 10 | Star Venture | 8 | McKenzie Apel | Renita Beaton | 53.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Pacific Pirate | 5 | Amy Graham | Jason Hancock | 51kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Meldubious | 4 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 60kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Extreme Diamond | 9 | Jasper Franklin | C Maher | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Linwar | 3 | Dale Smith | Nicholas Beck | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Gagnante Enchere | 10 | Corey Sutherland | S A Dwyer | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Kilonova | 7 | Michael Rodd | Kristie Clark-Peoples | 56kg |
His consistency and forward settling pattern make him a strong each-way and place threat, with genuine winning claims against the field.
Immortality steps up fresh with a solid first-up record and ideal barrier draw for this track's on-pace bias.
Her class rise is a query but the raw ability and improving profile make her a genuine threat to the top pick, particularly with a red-hot rider aboard.
Hidden Nugget's unblemished Ipswich record (2 wins from 2) combined with his most recent win at Toowoomba make him a leading contender. The step to Class 4 looks well within reach given his consistent placings, and fresh gear may add further sharpness.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Everybody Rise | 11 | Taylor Marshall | Jack Bruce | 59kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 11 | Bee Exact | 3 | Anthony Allen | J J Hubbard | 54kg | $19.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Vorkuta | 5 | Jace McMurray | Tony & Maddysen Sears | 58kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Miss De Medici | 4 | Kelsey Lenton | R G Lipp | 53.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 2 | North Of Eli | 2 | Corey Sutherland | Phillip Burns | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Kickatinalong | 6 | Amy Graham | Jason Hancock | 51kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Immortality | 1 | Dylan Turner | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 8 | Bad Forest | 10 | Olivia Kendal | Jesse Townsend | 55kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Hidden Nugget | 9 | Chloe Lowe | Darren P Bell | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Hey Daisy | 8 | Bailey Wheeler | P L Shailer | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Missile One | 7 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Jack Bruce | 57kg |
Hidden Future presents the most reliable form profile in this Restricted 58 grade, with proven ability at today's track and distance, a strong recent jockey booking, and suitable class placement. Clear top selection.
Stromboli Delight is the model of consistency, placing in 8 of her last 10 starts with a narrow last-start defeat. The good inside barrier suits the track's on-pace bias, and connections are in strong form locally. Question remains whether she can convert placings into a win at this level, but the reliability makes her a安全 top-three watch.
Second-up assignment suits, and recent runs at Ipswich show she handles the circuit. The wide barrier is a slight concern on this tight track, but overall profile suggests she can go close in a competitive race.
Vostokova offers value as an improving 3-year-old who won last start, but faces a genuine step up in class from maiden ranks.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | Lukey Blue | 2 | Chloe Lowe | Jason Edwards | 54kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 10 | Hidden Future | 7 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Jimmy Downes | 58.5kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 6 | Vostokova | 6 | Dylan Turner | Marcus Wilson | 59.5kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 14 | Mishani Undercover | 5 | Donna Stanbridge | 56kg | $5.50 | |
| 5th | 8 | Flying Celica | 4 | Leah Martyn | P J Wallace | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Mystical Gem | 12 | McKenzie Apel | Allan Chau | 57.5kg | $20.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Tango Queen | 1 | Corey Sutherland | Stephen Sutherland | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Stromboli Delight | 3 | Leslie Tilley | Pat W Webster | 60kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Lennystar | 8 | Nozi Tomizawa | Allan Chau | 58kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 1 | In Society | 13 | Jace McMurray | B J Dais | 60kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Kickatinalong | 9 | Shakira Bailey | Jason Hancock | 57kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Brutal Lass | 11 | Chris & Corey Munce | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Monte Carlo Miss | 13 | Jonny Field | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Shedrivesabentley | 10 | Benjamin Osmond | K J Jones | 58kg |
Leah Martyn's exceptional recent Ipswich strike rate (20%) and combination with this trainer (27%) adds weight. Fresh in three weeks and won last start - ticks the track's key in-form/recency box.
Atlantic Coast draws well in barrier 2 and has proven he can lead/be forward at this track, winning at Ipswich last preparation. The class rise is a slight concern, but the combination of gate, home track form and improving profile make him a genuine each-way through to win threat.
Solid each-way hope rather than banker.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Rosa Kiss | 4 | Frederick Larson | L J Mayfield-Smith | 57kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 7 | Somethin In Orange | 5 | Corey Sutherland | T J Dougall | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Atlantic Coast | 2 | Adin Thompson | G Heinrich & B Rodgers | 59.5kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 6 | La Profecia | 1 | Leah Martyn | T J Gollan | 58kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 1 | Clubhouse | 7 | Bailey Wheeler | Marcus Wilson | 60kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Zouslayer | 3 | Chris Meehan | Vishan Venkaya | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 9 | King Cobama | 12 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Renita Beaton | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 4 | Explosive Power | 6 | McKenzie Apel | Allan Chau | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Spirit Of Saintly | 14 | P J Minter | 54kg | $101.00 | |
| 10th | 13 | Besiege | 13 | Benjamin Osmond | Michael Nolan | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 11th | 2 | Express Star | 11 | Olivia Kendal | Donna Stanbridge | 58.5kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Homeric | 8 | Ryan Wiggins | Chris & Corey Munce | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Risk For Reward | 10 | Dylan Turner | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | State A Fact | 9 | Taylor Marshall | T J Hurley | 57kg |
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