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New South Wales · Thursday 16 July 2026

Grafton tips and results

Our top pick won 5 of 8 races at Grafton. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

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Top pick won5/863%
Any tip won8/8100%
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R1

Sky Racing Mother''s Gift Hcp

12:20 local1400mOpen$50,000
Winner2. Lady LuciferSP $3.30
★ Top pickWon
2Lady Lucifer

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.30 · Ashley Butler

Lady Lucifer is the most reliable form horse in the race, coming off a sharp win at Doomben. The class rise to Open is a query but she already placed in BM78 company.

2nd pick9th
8Pressalong

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.50 · Jean Van Overmeire

Pressalong is a Grafton track specialist with consistent recent form, including a second at Gold Coast last start. She maps to race on-pace from barrier 6 and carries only 55kg. The class rise is big, but she has shown ability in BM82 company before.

3rd pick4th
5Ocean Alps

Our price $12.00 · SP $9.00 · Danny Peisley

Ocean Alps has a strong record over 1400m and ran a credible 3rd in an Open race at Gold Coast two starts back. The removal of blinkers could help. Worth an each-way ticket.

Value pick6th
12Picasso's Dream

Our price $20.00 · SP $26.00 · Yvette Lewis

Picasso's Dream is a consistent mare who has been racing well at provincial level, finishing 4th in a Class 3 at Grafton last start. From barrier 1, she can lead or sit on speed, matching the track bias. Each-way value.

  1. 1st2Lady LuciferAshley Butler$3.30
  2. 2nd1Laurel HillAlysha Collett$11.00
  3. 3rd7HellcibellMikayla Weir$5.50
  4. 4th5Ocean AlpsDanny Peisley$9.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Lady Lucifer9Ashley ButlerDavid Vandyke59.5kg$3.30
2nd1Laurel Hill3Alysha CollettRob Potter60kg$11.00
3rd7Hellcibell4Mikayla WeirBrett & Georgie Cavanough55.5kg$5.50
4th5Ocean Alps8Danny PeisleyP L Shailer57kg$9.00
5th9Savvyrocker2Robbie DolanR N Godbolt55kg$21.00
6th12Picasso's Dream1Yvette LewisG N Nielsen55kg$26.00
7th3Hulu11Aaron BullockCameron Crockett59kg$7.00
8th13Spirits Burn Deep7Grady SpokesN J Osborne53kg$31.00
9th8Pressalong6Jean Van OvermeireStephen & Jordan Lee55kg$7.50
10th14Hotzino10Jason Reilly55kg$151.00
11th10Chica Del Mar5Ben LookerPaul Snowden55kg$8.00
Scr4Just In Time13Nash RawillerJ C Deamer59kg
Scr6Waku Waku12Adam FarragherAnnabel & Rob Archibald56kg
Scr11Ivy Diva10Tim McIntosh55kg
R2

The Provedores Country Boosted Showcase Hcp (C1)

12:55 local1400mClass 1$40,000
Winner7. Satin And CashSP $3.70
★ Top pickWon
7Satin And Cash

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.70 · Jake Bayliss

Satin And Cash has drawn ideally in barrier 2 and showed enough when fourth in a BM66 at Grafton last time. She won a maiden over 1400m two starts back and is still open to improvement.

2nd pick5th
5Almost Maybe

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Mikayla Weir

Almost Maybe ran a career-best third over 1215m at Grafton last start, finishing strongly. The wide barrier isn't ideal but he can position midfield and rely on his acceleration.

3rd pick2nd
2Comic Culture

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.00 · Alysha Collett

Comic Culture profiles well on paper with the inside draw and recent synthetic form, but his turf performances have been moderate and the jockey/trainer combination is winless. He is likely to lead but may be vulnerable under pressure.

Value pick6th
11Our Sparky

Our price $8.00 · SP $21.00 · Kirk Matheson

Our Sparky is a track specialist who consistently runs well at Grafton over 1400m, with three seconds and a win from six attempts.

  1. 1st7Satin And CashJake Bayliss$3.70
  2. 2nd2Comic CultureAlysha Collett$3.00
  3. 3rd16EvonyNathan Thomas$101.00
  4. 4th15The Big TicketLeanne Boyd$61.00
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Satin And Cash2Jake BaylissSamantha McGuren55.5kg$3.70
2nd2Comic Culture1Alysha CollettRob Potter59.5kg$3.00
3rd16Evony6Nathan ThomasP J Cunningham55kg$101.00
4th15The Big Ticket9Leanne BoydTom Higgins53kg$61.00
5th5Almost Maybe11Mikayla WeirMelanie O'Gorman56.5kg$5.00
6th11Our Sparky5Kirk MathesonOwen Glue55kg$21.00
7th4Herald Angel16Aaron BullockM J Dunn57kg$6.00
8th9Uno Fred8Archie Mc ColmK T Dixon53.5kg$15.00
9th13Releasethewolves17D L Matts55kg$61.00
10th1Righteous14Ben LookerEthan Ensby61kg$31.00
11th12Mariko13Madeline OwenA P Ball55kg$101.00
12th14Vega Nova10Jean Van OvermeireN F Creighton55kg$31.00
13th10Lolita7Raymond SpokesD L Matts55kg$26.00
Scr3Brass Monkeys13Scott Collings58kg
Scr6Mahuika Maroi3Ethan Ensby55.5kg
Scr8Sawmill15Warren Ganderton55.5kg
Scr17Righteous Brother4S J Bennett55kg
Scr18Reel Torque12Daniel Wheeler55kg
R3

Village Green Hotel Showcase (Bm66)

13:35 local1000mBenchmark 66$40,000
Winner15. ManpowerSP $2.70
★ Top pick3rd
8Hey Daisy

Our price $4.50 · SP $2.70 · Danny Peisley

Hey Daisy has been a model of consistency, with a win at this track and distance earlier in her career. Her last two starts in Queensland were both competitive, including a narrow second in Class 3 at Doomben. She has the speed to hold a forward position from barrier 10 and the strong finishing ability to capitalise. One of the best each-way plays in the race.

2nd pickWon
15Manpower

Our price $5.50 · SP $2.70 · Karl Zechner

Manpower faces easier company after competing in Class 4, and his last start third in that grade was encouraging. He is second-up today, a scenario in which he has won previously. The drop in class is substantial, and from barrier 7 he should get a cosy run. He is a key threat.

999th pickScratched
5Dance Gavin Dance

Our price $3.50 · Nash Rawiller

Dance Gavin Dance brings a dominant last-start win and progressive form into a winnable BM66. The booking of Nash Rawiller signals intent, and barrier 5 is ideal for a horse with early speed. The very fast tempo should not hurt him as he can sit just off the lead. The main query is weight, but his form at the distance is strong. He is the most likely winner.

Value pick12th
4Grey Effects

Our price $10.00 · SP $26.00 · Ben Looker

That indicates he is ready to peak second-up. He has placed at this track and distance and gets a slight class drop. The wide barrier is a concern, but if he can overcome it, he is significantly overpriced.

  1. 1st15ManpowerKarl Zechner$2.70
  2. 2nd13Jewels StatementJean Van Overmeire$26.00
  3. 3rd8Hey DaisyDanny Peisley$2.70
  4. 4th10Humphree BearBoris Thornton$12.00
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st15Manpower7Karl ZechnerAdam Campton58.5kg$2.70
2nd13Jewels Statement9Jean Van OvermeireSamantha McGuren57kg$26.00
3rd8Hey Daisy10Danny PeisleyP L Shailer59.5kg$2.70
4th10Humphree Bear13Boris ThorntonShane Everson59kg$12.00
5th9Dizzy Dee16Archie Mc ColmShane Everson57kg$101.00
6th3Telegraph1Madeline OwenA P Ball61.5kg$41.00
7th11Kate's Tiara17Nathan ThomasP J Cunningham58.5kg$61.00
8th2Cool Fizz6Grady SpokesB J Dodson59.5kg$26.00
9th1Debussy8Aaron BullockA P Ball62kg$21.00
10th7Soobooco15Izzy NealeT G Payne58.5kg$9.00
11th12Where's The Fire11Bailie BakerA P Ball56.5kg$21.00
12th4Grey Effects12Ben LookerColt Prosser61kg$26.00
13th6Bjorn Ironside4Olivia DaltonColt Prosser58kg$31.00
Scr5Dance Gavin Dance5Nash RawillerOwen Glue60.5kg
Scr14The Rookie14G N Nielsen57kg
Scr16Jimmyinthejungle3Nick HeywoodAdam Campton58kg
Scr17Miss Mercy2P J Cunningham55.5kg
R4

NBN News Springboard To Fame 2yo Showcase Plate

14:10 local1175mOpen$45,000
Winner8. Royal ExileSP $1.50
★ Top pick2nd
2Airborne Affair

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.30 · Ashley Butler

2nd pickWon
8Royal Exile

Our price $2.50 · SP $1.50 · Aaron Bullock

The long gap between runs is a concern but he won first-up previously. Barrier 2 should allow him to control proceedings.

3rd pick3rd
9Slippin' Away

Our price $10.00 · SP $16.00 · Karl Zechner

Slippin' Away broke his maiden in stylish fashion at this track last start. He should improve second-up and gets weight relief.

Value pick4th
13Zee Fire

Our price $8.00 · SP $31.00 · Jake Bayliss

Zee Fire debuted with a solid second at Grafton and can improve with that experience under her belt. The light weight and ability to get back onto a good track are positives.

  1. 1st8Royal ExileAaron Bullock$1.50
  2. 2nd2Airborne AffairAshley Butler$3.30
  3. 3rd9Slippin' AwayKarl Zechner$16.00
  4. 4th13Zee FireJake Bayliss$31.00
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st8Royal Exile2Aaron BullockMs J Graham57kg$1.50
2nd2Airborne Affair3Ashley ButlerBen Hull57kg$3.30
3rd9Slippin' Away7Karl ZechnerAdam Campton57kg$16.00
4th13Zee Fire10Jake BaylissG J Howells55kg$31.00
5th10Triple Seven6Alysha CollettT P Croft57kg$10.00
6th12Magic All Around5Mollie FitzgeraldSally Taylor55kg$101.00
7th1Acqua Romane8Ben LookerT G Payne57kg$61.00
Scr3Fearless Win11Allan Chau57kg
Scr4Forest Lad4Desleigh Forster57kg
Scr5Legenderry1Jean Van OvermeireM J Dunn57kg
Scr6Machecoul4Nick HeywoodM J Dunn57kg
Scr7Prestige Headwater9Stephen & Jordan Lee57kg
Scr11Flying Scarlett12Mark Du PlessisAdam Campton55kg
R5

Corbett Civil The Big Super Showcase Mdn Plate

14:50 local1175mMaiden$50,000
Winner16. ZaliqueSP $1.50
★ Top pickWon
16Zalique

Our price $4.00 · SP $1.50 · Nash Rawiller

A key contender.

2nd pick4th
9Jennibelle

Our price $8.00 · SP $14.00 · Jean Van Overmeire

Jennibelle has been ultra-consistent at Grafton with three third placings and should again be in the finish. From the inside barrier she can take up a forward position, which is crucial on this track.

999th pickScratched
2Mongolian Spring

Our price $8.00 · Nick Heywood

He improves second-up and gets the in-form Nick Heywood. Not excessive value but a solid contender.

999th pickScratched
4Stakeholder

Our price $3.00 · Aaron Bullock

Stakeholder debuted with a strong second at Nowra and returns from a long spell under top jockey Aaron Bullock. Barrier 7 gives options and he should be competitive in this moderate maiden.

Value pickScratched
14Nozomu

Our price $10.00 · Nozi Tomizawa

The addition of blinkers could spark improvement, and this is a weaker race than his recent assignments.

  1. 1st16ZaliqueNash Rawiller$1.50
  2. 2nd12Parker's ParadiseArchie Mc Colm$61.00
  3. 3rd7Fiery LassKyle Wilson-Taylor$8.50
  4. 4th9JennibelleJean Van Overmeire$14.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st16Zalique8Nash RawillerM J Dunn59kg$1.50
2nd12Parker's Paradise17Archie Mc ColmN J Osborne55kg$61.00
3rd7Fiery Lass13Kyle Wilson-TaylorRenita Beaton57kg$8.50
4th9Jennibelle1Jean Van OvermeireJ D Shelton57kg$14.00
5th5By The Way6Ben LookerStirling Osland57kg$5.00
6th13She's A Dame3Mollie FitzgeraldS J Bennett57kg$16.00
7th11La Regina2Anna RoperAiden St Vincent57kg$61.00
8th6Desert Angel4Danny PeisleyP L Shailer57kg$31.00
9th15My Lioness9Nathan ThomasP J Cunningham57kg$151.00
10th8Hawaiian Bloom12Jake BaylissRenita Beaton57kg$81.00
11th10La Bella Rosa16Mark Du PlessisR Simonetta57kg$101.00
Scr1Kobi Express5Samantha McGuren59kg
Scr2Mongolian Spring11Nick HeywoodAdam Campton59kg
Scr3Prestige Prince14Warren Ganderton59kg
Scr4Stakeholder7Aaron BullockT J Bartley59kg
Scr14Nozomu10Nozi TomizawaD Chujo56.5kg
Scr17Magic All Around15Sally Taylor55kg
R6

Fidelity Capital Country Boosted Belflyer Showcase Plate (C6)

15:25 local1175mClass 6$50,000
Winner11. Tough GuySP $3.70
★ Top pickWon
11Tough Guy

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.70 · Izzy Neale

Tough Guy is the most reliable form runner with consistent recent performances, a perfect inside draw, and a running style that suits Grafton's on-pace bias. The winkers first time may add focus. Class rise is minimal and he represents the strongest win chance in the field.

2nd pick12th
8House Of Cards

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · Ben Looker

House Of Cards returns from a 67-day spell with a strong first-up record and a good draw. He won on heavy last time but has solid Good-track form. The class drop from BM82 to Class6 is a plus. He should settle on-pace from barrier 4 and can fight out the finish.

3rd pick2nd
5Ravalli

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.80 · Nash Rawiller

Ravalli drops sharply in class and has excellent statistics at this distance and on Good ground. Though his last three runs were on synthetic, he was competitive and the form may translate. Barrier 5 is favourable and Nash Rawiller takes the ride. He represents each-way value if he can replicate his earlier turf performances.

Value pick13th
4Night Fighter

Our price $10.00 · SP $18.00 · Aaron Bullock

His first-up record shows placings but no wins, though the long spell may have freshened him. Aaron Bullock's hot form gives confidence.

  1. 1st11Tough GuyIzzy Neale$3.70
  2. 2nd5RavalliNash Rawiller$4.80
  3. 3rd13PleasurizeJean Van Overmeire$8.50
  4. 4th16TartagliaKerrin Mc Evoy$5.50
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st11Tough Guy2Izzy NealeMelissa Dennett56kg$3.70
2nd5Ravalli4Nash RawillerRob Potter59kg$4.80
3rd13Pleasurize16Jean Van OvermeireLuke Pepper57kg$8.50
4th16Tartaglia5Kerrin Mc EvoyPaul Snowden56kg$5.50
5th19Patrioticintention14Samantha McGuren57.5kg$61.00
6th10Show 'em Howl15Anna RoperR J Agnew57.5kg$14.00
7th7Eagle Hawk Star7Harrison ShawStephen & Jordan Lee57.5kg$71.00
8th14First Landing11Alysha CollettJ A Sprague56kg$26.00
9th12Next Pay Run6Jake BaylissA Parramore57kg$14.00
10th21Flying Shelly10Sally Taylor55.5kg$101.00
11th22Single Touch12Daniel Wheeler60.5kg$151.00
12th8House Of Cards3Ben LookerB J Dodson57.5kg$6.50
13th4Night Fighter9Aaron BullockMs S Grills59kg$18.00
Scr1Iron Man3Stirling Osland60.5kg
Scr2Mogo Magic21Scott Collings60.5kg
Scr3Sumo Fish18B M Lazzarini60.5kg
Scr6Lady Wardell17Stephen & Jordan Lee58.5kg
Scr9Pony Soprano8Danny PeisleyR J Agnew57.5kg
Scr15Life Coach13B M Lazzarini56kg
Scr17Navy Steel16Brett & Georgie Cavanough57.5kg
Scr18Immortality13Stephen & Jordan Lee56kg
Scr20Ronny Rock Art1Archie Mc ColmN J Osborne58.5kg
R7

Westlawn Finance Grafton Cup

16:05 local2350mListedOpen$200,000
Winner11. King PedroSP $2.30
★ Top pickWon
11King Pedro

Our price $2.50 · SP $2.30 · Kerrin Mc Evoy

King Pedro comes off a dominant BM90 win at Rosehill, suggesting he is ready for Listed level. Light weight, classy jockey, and improving profile make him the horse to beat despite the Grafton debut.

2nd pick8th
2Pounding

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Luke Nolen

Pounding has been a model of consistency with five straight placings in stakes company, including a narrow second in the Group 3 Eagle Farm Cup. The win is overdue.

3rd pick4th
5So You Are

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · Ben Looker

So You Are has been knocking on the door with consecutive stakes placings, including a narrow second at Sunshine Coast. He is an on-pace type that suits the Grafton layout and receives a light weight. Expect him to be in the finish again.

Value pick2nd
3Etna Rosso

Our price $8.00 · SP $18.00 · Kyle Wilson-Taylor

He finished third in the Group 3 Eagle Farm Cup and is trained by Chris Waller with a booming jockey in K Wilson-Taylor. He maps well and should be competitive.

  1. 1st11King PedroKerrin Mc Evoy$2.30
  2. 2nd3Etna RossoKyle Wilson-Taylor$18.00
  3. 3rd4KaluakoiTahlia Fenlon$11.00
  4. 4th5So You AreBen Looker$5.50
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st11King Pedro11Kerrin Mc EvoyTom Charlton54.5kg$2.30
2nd3Etna Rosso3Kyle Wilson-TaylorC J Waller56kg$18.00
3rd4Kaluakoi4Tahlia FenlonChris & Corey Munce55kg$11.00
4th5So You Are5Ben LookerStirling Osland55kg$5.50
5th6Caboche6Alysha CollettC J Waller54.5kg$17.00
6th9Prince Levi9Mark Du PlessisWilliam Kropp54.5kg$26.00
7th8Les Vampires8Anna RoperMs L Longmire54.5kg$21.00
8th2Pounding2Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman58kg$5.00
9th1Encoder1Boris ThorntonMichael Freedman58kg$14.00
10th10Zibulon10Robbie DolanP A Preusker54.5kg$81.00
11th14Valentine John13Jean Van OvermeireAnthony Warren54.5kg$201.00
Scr7Black Run7Adam FarragherAnnabel & Rob Archibald54.5kg
Scr12Firm Agreement12Annabel & Rob Archibald54.5kg
Scr13Sounds Unusual13Jake BaylissC J Waller54.5kg
R8

Sir James Kirby Qlty

16:40 local1000mOpen$75,000
Winner7. DurovaSP $3.70
★ Top pick2nd
9Tectonic Plate

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.00 · Kirk Matheson

Tectonic Plate is the most reliable form horse in the race. She ran a gutsy 2nd last start at Grafton from a wide gate and now draws perfectly in barrier 3. She is consistent at this level, loves the track, and is race fit. With the strong leader bias at Grafton, she can settle on the pace and prove hard to run down.

2nd pick3rd
3Emperor

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Jake Bayliss

Emperor is a consistent gelding who finds a winnable Open class race after competing in Listed grade. He won at Grafton over 1175m last year and has been racing well in Queensland. The drop in class, barrier 4, and light weight make him a serious threat. He should sit just behind the speed and produce his trademark finish.

3rd pickWon
7Durova

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.70 · Alysha Collett

If she can cross from barrier 9 and lead, she is dangerous on a track that heavily favours leaders. Her first-up record is solid and she has won Open company before. The last-start failure can be forgiven as she may have needed the run.

999th pickScratched
4Maximum Output

Our price $6.50 · Ron Stewart

He is a proven 1000m performer with 5 wins from 25 attempts. Barrier 8 requires some luck but he has enough early speed to hold a forward spot.

Value pickScratched
11Action King

Our price $7.00

Action King is a value runner who maps perfectly for the Grafton leader bias. From the inside gate, he can control the race and prove hard to catch. He has won at Open class before and his first-up record is respectable.

  1. 1st7DurovaAlysha Collett$3.70
  2. 2nd9Tectonic PlateKirk Matheson$5.00
  3. 3rd3EmperorJake Bayliss$4.40
  4. 4th6Mister BiancoRobbie Dolan$3.50
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Durova9Alysha CollettCameron Crockett54kg$3.70
2nd9Tectonic Plate3Kirk MathesonDaniel Bowen54kg$5.00
3rd3Emperor4Jake BaylissM J Dunn54kg$4.40
4th6Mister Bianco7Robbie DolanP L Shailer54kg$3.50
5th8Krakarib2Karl ZechnerAdam Campton54kg$20.00
6th12Chandon Star5Mollie FitzgeraldMs J Clement54kg$18.00
7th10Zoutastic6Jean Van OvermeireT P Croft54kg$13.00
8th13Outweighed12Archie Mc ColmMs P Barron54kg$51.00
9th16Dune And Dusted13P J Cunningham54kg$101.00
10th14The Wolf14Anna RoperD L Matts54kg$51.00
Scr1Stoltz11Stephen & Jordan Lee62kg
Scr2Kitty Flash10Tahlia FenlonChris & Corey Munce54.5kg
Scr4Maximum Output8Ron StewartS W Kendrick54kg
Scr5Colourful Emperor14G Ryan & S Alexiou54kg
Scr11Action King1Rob Potter54kg
Scr15Navy Steel13Brett & Georgie Cavanough54kg

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