Murray Bridge GH tips and results

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Brooke King

Natural second-up improvement is the case for him and the track-and-distance line is the best in the race on a length-per-length basis. The barrier is the problem - gate 9 is the worst band here on Soft - and the jockey is out of form, so he is taken each-way rather than to win.

Our price $3.10 · SP $4.60 · Noel Callow

With genuine early speed from barrier 7 in a field lacking a natural leader, he should be top-three at the 400m - the dominant winning shape at this circuit.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.80 · Jason Holder

The most exposed of the leading chances and the most reliable for a placing. His wet-track record is the best in the race. The reservations are real though: no win from seven attempts, he finished behind the top pick last week, and barrier 10 sits in the worst gate band on Soft at Murray Bridge.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Rochelle Milnes

The value angle rests on the map. She is the only runner projected to lead in a field the speed map credits with no genuine leader, and a slow tempo hands the race to whoever can control it from the front.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.40 · Tala Hutchinson

The most reliable form line in a weak maiden. Position at the 400m is the key winning prior at this track, and he should have it.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Campbell Rawiller

His Hamilton third over 1600m on a Heavy 10 under 59.5kg is arguably the single best wet-track staying line in the race and reads far better than the raw form string suggests.

Our price $8.50 · SP $8.00 · Margaret Collett

The most lightly raced runner in the race and the one with the clearest upside.

Our price $3.60 · SP $5.50 · Todd Pannell

The most credible winner on raw ability at the trip and venue. The Morphettville Parks 12th was over 1250m at a metro venue in Bench. Pannell books, barrier 6 maps her within the first six.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.00 · Campbell Rawiller

The reason he is second rather than first is the weight: 60.0kg is 2.5kg above his winning impost, his distance record reads 2 starts for 0 wins, and Tully Hart has already won here over this exact trip in stronger grade. Barrier 3 and proven soft form keep him a genuine danger.

Our price $6.50 · SP $10.00 · Alysha Warren

Barrier 5 and a midfield settle fit the track's top-three-at-the-400m winning shape. Consistent enough to hold a place at worst in a slow-tempo, tactical Class 1.

Our price $6.00 · SP $16.00 · Kayla Crowther

Each-way value.

Our price $4.20 · SP $6.50 · Rochelle Milnes

The most reliable form line in the race. Whoops A Daisy won over this exact course and distance three weeks ago on Soft going, holding Reoffer safely, and her record at track and distance is 2 starts for 1 win. She draws barrier 5, maps to be prominent and projects top-three at the 400m, which is the dominant winning shape at Murray Bridge on Soft.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.00 · Connor Murtagh

64 on Soft 7, drops sharply in grade, and has already won at 1400m on a Soft 5 in Bench. 58 grade. Barrier 4 lets her sit in the first six and project top-three at the 400m, the winning shape at this venue. The 60kg is the only genuine query.

Our price $4.80 · SP $8.00 · Jason Holder

Every recent effort has been at 1200m; her 1400m record is 3 starts without a win and she was beaten nearly eight lengths over this course and distance in May. Add barrier 9 in the band that collapses on Soft here and 2.5kg more than her winning weight.

Our price $5.50 · SP $16.00 · Campbell Rawiller

58 grade at Balaklava on Soft 7, and a win over 2200m on the same going in June under this same 60kg. The concerns are real: topweight on a Soft 7, a backmarker's map in a projected slow tempo, and cold jockey stats. Class and current form still hold him second.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.00 · Dylan Caboche

His soft record of 9 starts for a win and two seconds is solid and barrier 6 is in the favoured band. The gear change — blinkers off, visors on first time — reads as a genuine attempt to find improvement. Against him: only two career wins, an unproven distance record, and a jockey out of form.

Our price $10.00 · SP $19.00 · Anna Jordsjo

His heavy record of 8 starts for 7 seconds is remarkable, and a 36% career place rate is the field's best. The obvious flaw is a single win from 33 starts — he rarely finishes it off.