Bendigo tips and results

Our price $6.00 · SP $12.00 · Harry Coffey

The value angle is that she is the only runner with proven raceday speed while three rivals are complete unknowns, and Bendigo heavily rewards on-pace runners in 1000m sprints. She led to the 400m on debut before capitulating, with stewards citing the going - so today's Heavy 10 drying toward Heavy 9 is the swing factor. Each-way is the sensible structure.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.60 · Billy Egan

The most complete form profile in a thin maiden. With one genuine rival for the lead and a slow tempo forecast, barrier 4 lets Egan dictate, which is exactly the pattern Bendigo miles reward. His lone Heavy run came with excuses, so the surface is unproven rather than failed.

Our price $7.00 · SP $13.00 · Luke Nolen

The overlay of the race.

Our price $2.60 · SP $1.70 · Jordan Childs

He now steps to 1400m, a trip his Frankel pedigree should welcome, carries the field's lightest weight at 57kg, and retains Jordan Childs for a stable he wins 20% for. The outside gate and unproven wet form are the risks.

Our price $9.00 · SP $21.00 · Thomas Stockdale

The overlay in the race. He now draws barrier 1, the most valuable position on a Heavy 10 at this circuit, steps to a far more suitable 1400m, and has the Maher stable's second-start improvement pattern behind him.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

Against him is a 186-day absence, a get-back racing pattern on a track where backmarkers win almost nothing, and two poor efforts in his last preparation. The upside is real but so is the risk, hence place cover.

Our price $5.50 · SP $13.00 · Jordan Childs

Bendigo on Heavy is a forward, current-form track and Shapenapit ticks the two biggest boxes: she won last start over this exact track and distance on a rain-affected surface, and she did it sitting third throughout rather than needing luck.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Blake Shinn

The most favourably drawn genuine chance in the race. Written Glow's only wet-track appearance produced a wire-to-wire win on Soft 5, and from gate four she should be able to take up the same position on a surface that severely punishes anything getting back. Her tailed-off Caulfield run carries a legitimate excuse in the lameness report, and she now drops from Open grade to Class 1.

Our price $9.00 · SP $9.50 · Caitlin Hollowood

The purest expression of the Bendigo Heavy winning profile: inside gate, forward map, proven on Heavy 9, and in current form at the exact class and distance. The 3kg claim brings him to 55.5kg, ideal for a tiring surface.

Our price $7.00 · SP $13.00 · Michael Dee

A lightly raced colt with the best barrier of any live chance on a track where the inside draw is a genuine, measurable edge.

Our price $4.20 · SP $5.00 · Jackson Radley

The most complete profile for Bendigo on Heavy. Dreamzel has raced twice on Heavy 9 over 1000m in her last three, winning one and running a close third in the other, and her Bendigo 1000m record is 2 starts for 1 win and 1 third. She invariably races top-three at the 400m, exactly the position that dominates here. The 58.5kg and class rise are real, but she carried 60.5kg and 59.5kg in those two wet 1000m runs.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · Zac Spain

Wet-track credentials and a first-up profile that reads well: 5 first-up starts for 2 wins, and her heavy record is 2 starts for 1 win. Barrier 3 is the pick of the draw on a track where inside gates matter on Heavy, and she won her only Bendigo 1000m start. The reservation is her settling pattern - she typically races midfield-to-back, and backmarkers win about 1-3% here. Needs to be handier than usual.

Our price $13.00 · SP $71.00 · Chelsea Jokic

A pure speed horse in a race where speed position is close to essential at Bendigo on Heavy. Cumboogle's heavy record is 2 starts for 1 win, its distance record is 30 starts for 8 wins, and it drops a full 6kg to 54.5kg. Genuine each-way overlay if it can find the fence early.

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.90 · Blake Shinn

The problem is her running pattern: she is a habitual backmarker and the Bendigo Heavy data is brutal on runners settling seventh or worse. Slow predicted tempo compounds that. She has the ability to place strongly if the race unfolds with any pressure, but is short enough for the risk.