Canterbury tips and results

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Nash Rawiller

The bubble cheeker on and lugging bit off is a purposeful change after he led and was run down at Kembla. The unknown is the Heavy 8, where he has no starts, and he remains a maiden. Each-way value.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Tommy Berry

The wet-track angle is the case here. She gets the bottom weight of 54.5kg, has already raced at Canterbury over this trip, and drops in grade.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Nash Rawiller

By class and wet-track evidence this is the best-credentialled runner in the race: a nose second in Open company at Randwick on Heavy 9 while racing handy, plus a Group 3 fifth. He has already been to Canterbury over 1250m for a third. The forward pattern and barrier 4 fit the on-pace bias perfectly.

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.50 · Tyler Schiller

Barrier 2 should let Schiller take up a much closer position than the smothered run first-up, which matters given Canterbury's leader bias holds strongly on wet ground.

Our price $3.00 · SP $4.20 · Zac Lloyd

The most reliable form line in a shallow BM72. He was placed at Canterbury over this exact 1900m trip a fortnight ago under a big 60kg, and drops 2.5kg tonight. His wet record reads two placings from two heavy-track starts, and his Rosehill second in BM78 off a midfield run stamps him as competitive above this grade. Consistent, race-fit, versatile tactically and suited by a slow tempo where he can sit on or near the pace.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.10 · Adam Hyeronimus

Clearly the best-credentialled runner on class, with black-type experience and a 27% career strike rate. He won a Kensington BM72 on Soft 5 two starts back and drops back to that grade now with blinkers reapplied after a flat run. The reservations are real - 60.5kg top weight, no heavy-track form at all and untried at 1900m - which is why he sits second rather than first despite arguably the strongest raw ability.

Our price $8.50 · SP $15.00 · Ashley Morgan

His wet record is the best in the field - four wins from six soft-track starts plus a third on Heavy 8 - and he was third over this course and distance three weeks back after leading to the 400m. Canterbury's on-pace bias plus a slow tempo hands him control.

Our price $8.50 · SP $26.00 · Anna Roper

She is the only horse in the field with a win on heavy going, and she won over this exact course and distance last start, coming from a handy fourth to score. Barrier 4 and the on-pace bias suit again.

Our price $9.50 · SP $15.00 · Alysha Collett

The blinkers-off, visors-on switch could see her positioned closer, which is the one thing she needs on a track that punishes backmarkers. Each-way is the sensible structure given the pace and map risk.

Our price $7.00 · SP $21.00 · Sam Clipperton

He is the field's best wet-track performer with a win, second and third from five Heavy starts, plus a track-and-distance win. A fast tempo off four leaders sets up his closing pattern, and Clipperton is riding at 30% recently.

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.00 · Chad Schofield

Wet-track credentials are the key on a Heavy 8 and Harry's Evidence has them, with a win and a second from two Heavy starts including a Heavy 9 win at Kembla. He won at Canterbury last start humping 60.5kg and gets 2kg relief here. He races handy without needing the lead, which is the ideal profile at this tight, short-straight circuit.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Tom Sherry

Rivendell won his only start on Heavy going and was still in front at the 400m over this course and distance a fortnight ago before tiring into fourth. He is only five starts into his career for Snowden with obvious improvement in front of him, and Tom Sherry knows him.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Winona Costin

The safest place proposition in the race. The on-pace, grinding style is tailor-made for a tight, wet Canterbury.

Our price $12.00 · SP $14.00 · Alysha Collett

His Heavy record - 4 starts for a win and two thirds - is the strongest wet profile in the field, and both Canterbury runs have yielded a win and a second.

Our price $4.80 · SP $10.00 · Dylan Gibbons

He is second up again today, drawn 4, carries the lightest weight at 55.5kg, gets a first-time visor and a Hawkes/Gibbons combination striking at 24%. The plain first-up run on a Good 4 is easily excused given he was slow away and held up.

Our price $11.00 · SP $21.00 · Alysha Collett

His track-and-distance record is 4 starts for a win, a second and a third.