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Northern Territory · Friday 28 August 2026

Alice Springs tips and results

Our top pick won 0 of 5 races at Alice Springs. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

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Top pick won0/50%
Any tip won4/580%
Top pick placed4/580%
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R1

Cummins X15 Euro VI Performance Hcp (64)

14:00 local1600mRestricted 64$25,000
Winner4. NashaSP $3.30
★ Top pick3rd
2Valley Prince

Our price $3.60 · SP $2.60 · Leanne Boyd

The last-start tailoff and unfamiliar rider are real concerns, hence place cover.

2nd pick2nd
3Cours Vite

Our price $5.50 · SP $2.50 · Jessie Philpot

Philpot is riding well and is 19% for the stable. From barrier 2 he maps to trail the pace ideally. Against him is a thin 8% career strike rate and no win at the mile, so he is a place proposition rather than a winning one.

999th pickScratched
1Highlands

Our price $2.10

He is the lone genuine leader in a five-horse field where a slow tempo is predicted, so from barrier 4 he should stride across and control proceedings with nothing to pressure him. The 59kg and single mile start are the queries, but tactically he holds every advantage.

Value pickWon
4Nasha

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.30 · Billy Cray

Barrier 1 in a five-horse field is the best draw on offer at a track where 1-4 wins 17% over the mile.

  1. 1st4NashaBilly Cray$3.30
  2. 2nd3Cours ViteJessie Philpot$2.50
  3. 3rd2Valley PrinceLeanne Boyd$2.60
  4. 4th5DenutoP Denton$17.00
Full result · 4 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Nasha1Billy CrayBarry Cooke55.5kg$3.30
2nd3Cours Vite2Jessie PhilpotRay Viney55kg$2.50
3rd2Valley Prince3Leanne BoydW A Savage53.5kg$2.60
4th5Denuto4P DentonLeah Walling-Denton55kg$17.00
Scr1Highlands4Ray Viney61kg
R2

Ladbrokes Red Centre Winter Series Final (Bm66)

14:35 local1200mBenchmark 66$45,000
Winner1. BratSP $4.40
★ Top pick3rd
6Stella Bystarlight

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.60 · Jessie Philpot

The most reliable runner in a race with no established leader. Barrier 2 and early-speed rank 3 let Philpot take a forward, controlling position in a slow tempo, exactly the setup that converts her placings into a win. Class rise is marginal and the weight relief covers it.

2nd pick4th
4Scissor Me Timbers

Our price $4.40 · SP $5.00 · P Denton

Returns to his best trip after two 1400m runs that flattered nobody. He beat Stella Bystarlight by a nose over this course and distance on 12 July carrying 58.5kg and is 2-1-0 from three C&D starts. The wide-ish draw and 1400m form blips are the reason he is not top pick rather than a case against him.

3rd pick2nd
2River Frost

Our price $4.60 · SP $3.70 · Ianish Luximon

Genuine winning chance on the back of a last-start Pioneer Park victory that was better than it looked given he was slowly away, interfered with and wide throughout.

Value pick7th
3Excuses Excuses

Our price $6.50 · SP $10.00 · J R Todd

The overlay in the race. He has been racing in Open company and gets a genuine class drop here, with blinkers returning after a flat run without them.

  1. 1st1BratBilly Cray$4.40
  2. 2nd2River FrostIanish Luximon$3.70
  3. 3rd6Stella BystarlightJessie Philpot$3.60
  4. 4th4Scissor Me TimbersP Denton$5.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Brat6Billy CrayC Hunter60.5kg$4.40
2nd2River Frost5Ianish LuximonGreg Connor60kg$3.70
3rd6Stella Bystarlight2Jessie PhilpotRay Viney56.5kg$3.60
4th4Scissor Me Timbers7P DentonGreg Connor58kg$5.00
5th5Tango Stepz1Jessica BoothRay Viney58kg$17.00
6th7Only The Best8Leanne BoydW A Savage54kg$14.00
7th3Excuses Excuses4J R ToddJ B Carroll59.5kg$10.00
8th8Splish Splash3S TsaikosC Hunter55.5kg$41.00
R3

Cummins X15 Hcp (58)

15:10 local1100mRestricted 58$25,000
Winner6. Lean On MeSP $8.00
★ Top pick3rd
3Bonny Impact

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.60 · Jessica Booth

The map is the case. Her Restricted 58 record at Pioneer Park over 1100m is consistently competitive — three seconds in this grade this year — and she gets 2kg weight relief on last start's 57.5kg.

2nd pick2nd
2Revolution Rising

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.50 · P Denton

Solid, but short.

3rd pick6th
4Boss Shelby

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Leanne Boyd

The claim makes him dangerous. Barrier 4 sits inside Pioneer Park's productive sprint band. Against him: he has never won at 1100m in 17 attempts, is 47 days between runs at age 8, and an untried riding partnership. Place value at the weights rather than a win proposition.

Value pickWon
6Lean On Me

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.00 · S Tsaikos

Pure track-and-distance value. Lean On Me is the only runner in the field who has actually won over 1100m at Pioneer Park — 10 starts there for 2 wins, 2 seconds and a third — and she won a Restricted 58 at this venue in March off 56.5kg. The last two starts at Fannie Bay over 1200m and 1300m were wrong-trip runs, and the July effort here came with 59kg. The cold jockey and barrier 7 are why she stays a value pick, not a top-three one.

  1. 1st6Lean On MeS Tsaikos$8.00
  2. 2nd2Revolution RisingP Denton$3.50
  3. 3rd3Bonny ImpactJessica Booth$2.60
  4. 4th7JacksetJ R Todd$91.00
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Lean On Me7S TsaikosMs K Petrick55.5kg$8.00
2nd2Revolution Rising3P DentonGreg Connor58.5kg$3.50
3rd3Bonny Impact1Jessica BoothGreg Connor55.5kg$2.60
4th7Jackset2J R ToddJ B Carroll55kg$91.00
5th5Snick5Jessie PhilpotRay Viney56kg$13.00
6th4Boss Shelby4Leanne BoydW A Savage53.5kg$7.00
7th1High Ambitions6Billy CrayGreg Connor60kg$5.00
R4

Welcome Racing NT Board (Bm54)

15:41 local1400mBenchmark 54$25,000
Winner4. KiefferSP $2.25
★ Top pick5th
2The Big Freeze

Our price $2.80 · SP $4.60 · Billy Cray

The most proven runner in the race at the exact track and distance, with a 12-start 1400m Pioneer Park record of 4 wins, 2 seconds and 3 thirds.

2nd pick6th
1Highstrung

Our price $3.60 · SP $6.00 · Jessica Booth

Carrying 59.5kg and mapped to settle back into a race with one genuine leader and a slow tempo, he needs the race to be run to suit.

3rd pickWon
4Kieffer

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.25 · J R Todd

The trip back to 1400m is the key change after five unproductive runs at a mile, and his course-and-distance record of 5:1-1-0 is genuine. Against him, his last nine starts have produced just two top-three finishes, he carries 57.5kg with no claim, and he is drawn to settle back in a race that looks likely to be run at a slow tempo.

Value pick3rd
3Brazen Sailor

Our price $4.30 · SP $3.90 · Leanne Boyd

The only genuine leader in a six-horse field expected to go slow, drawn barrier 3 and carrying the lightest weight of the serious chances at 55.5kg after the claim. The knock is that he wins rarely, converting only two of 19 starts, but an uncontested lead is exactly the scenario that turns those placings into a win.

  1. 1st4KiefferJ R Todd$2.25
  2. 2nd6Love To LieJessie Philpot$20.00
  3. 3rd3Brazen SailorLeanne Boyd$3.90
  4. 4th5Mapleton HillS Tsaikos$14.00
Full result · 6 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Kieffer2J R ToddK J Lamprecht57.5kg$2.25
2nd6Love To Lie1Jessie PhilpotRay Viney55kg$20.00
3rd3Brazen Sailor3Leanne BoydW A Savage55.5kg$3.90
4th5Mapleton Hill5S TsaikosMs K Petrick55.5kg$14.00
5th2The Big Freeze6Billy CrayC Hunter60kg$4.60
6th1Highstrung4Jessica BoothRay Viney59.5kg$6.00
R5

Cummins Cup (Bm66)

16:20 local1400mBenchmark 66$30,000
Winner1. Bahama BaySP $2.70
★ Top pick3rd
4Grinzinger Lass

Our price $2.75 · SP $3.30 · Jessie Philpot

The most likely winner on form.

2nd pick2nd
3Flying Start

Our price $3.30 · SP $2.90 · P Denton

Solid but short.

3rd pickWon
1Bahama Bay

Our price $4.50 · SP $2.70 · S Tsaikos

The drop from Open grade is meaningful. Against him is the trip: his record over 1400m reads two starts for no win and every career win has come between 1000m and 1200m, so lugging 62.5kg an extra furlong with a jockey out of form is a genuine test.

Value pick5th
2Delago Lad

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Billy Cray

The each-way value angle. The obvious risk is the trip, which he has never tackled, plus 60.5kg and an out-of-form rider.

  1. 1st1Bahama BayS Tsaikos$2.70
  2. 2nd3Flying StartP Denton$2.90
  3. 3rd4Grinzinger LassJessie Philpot$3.30
  4. 4th5Iz ShaftJessica Booth$61.00
Full result · 5 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Bahama Bay2S TsaikosMs K Petrick62.5kg$2.70
2nd3Flying Start1P DentonGreg Connor57.5kg$2.90
3rd4Grinzinger Lass4Jessie PhilpotRay Viney54.5kg$3.30
4th5Iz Shaft3Jessica BoothLeah Walling-Denton54kg$61.00
5th2Delago Lad5Billy CrayGreg Connor60.5kg$7.00

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