The last-start tailoff and unfamiliar rider are real concerns, hence place cover.
Northern Territory · Friday 28 August 2026
Alice Springs tips and results
Our top pick won 0 of 5 races at Alice Springs. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Cummins X15 Euro VI Performance Hcp (64)
Philpot is riding well and is 19% for the stable. From barrier 2 he maps to trail the pace ideally. Against him is a thin 8% career strike rate and no win at the mile, so he is a place proposition rather than a winning one.
He is the lone genuine leader in a five-horse field where a slow tempo is predicted, so from barrier 4 he should stride across and control proceedings with nothing to pressure him. The 59kg and single mile start are the queries, but tactically he holds every advantage.
Barrier 1 in a five-horse field is the best draw on offer at a track where 1-4 wins 17% over the mile.
- 1st4NashaBilly Cray$3.30
- 2nd3Cours ViteJessie Philpot$2.50
- 3rd2Valley PrinceLeanne Boyd$2.60
- 4th5DenutoP Denton$17.00
Full result · 4 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Nasha | 1 | Billy Cray | Barry Cooke | 55.5kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 3 | Cours Vite | 2 | Jessie Philpot | Ray Viney | 55kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Valley Prince | 3 | Leanne Boyd | W A Savage | 53.5kg | $2.60 |
| 4th | 5 | Denuto | 4 | P Denton | Leah Walling-Denton | 55kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Highlands | 4 | Ray Viney | 61kg |
Ladbrokes Red Centre Winter Series Final (Bm66)
The most reliable runner in a race with no established leader. Barrier 2 and early-speed rank 3 let Philpot take a forward, controlling position in a slow tempo, exactly the setup that converts her placings into a win. Class rise is marginal and the weight relief covers it.
Returns to his best trip after two 1400m runs that flattered nobody. He beat Stella Bystarlight by a nose over this course and distance on 12 July carrying 58.5kg and is 2-1-0 from three C&D starts. The wide-ish draw and 1400m form blips are the reason he is not top pick rather than a case against him.
Genuine winning chance on the back of a last-start Pioneer Park victory that was better than it looked given he was slowly away, interfered with and wide throughout.
The overlay in the race. He has been racing in Open company and gets a genuine class drop here, with blinkers returning after a flat run without them.
- 1st1BratBilly Cray$4.40
- 2nd2River FrostIanish Luximon$3.70
- 3rd6Stella BystarlightJessie Philpot$3.60
- 4th4Scissor Me TimbersP Denton$5.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Brat | 6 | Billy Cray | C Hunter | 60.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 2 | River Frost | 5 | Ianish Luximon | Greg Connor | 60kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 6 | Stella Bystarlight | 2 | Jessie Philpot | Ray Viney | 56.5kg | $3.60 |
| 4th | 4 | Scissor Me Timbers | 7 | P Denton | Greg Connor | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Tango Stepz | 1 | Jessica Booth | Ray Viney | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Only The Best | 8 | Leanne Boyd | W A Savage | 54kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Excuses Excuses | 4 | J R Todd | J B Carroll | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Splish Splash | 3 | S Tsaikos | C Hunter | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
Cummins X15 Hcp (58)
The map is the case. Her Restricted 58 record at Pioneer Park over 1100m is consistently competitive — three seconds in this grade this year — and she gets 2kg weight relief on last start's 57.5kg.
Solid, but short.
The claim makes him dangerous. Barrier 4 sits inside Pioneer Park's productive sprint band. Against him: he has never won at 1100m in 17 attempts, is 47 days between runs at age 8, and an untried riding partnership. Place value at the weights rather than a win proposition.
Pure track-and-distance value. Lean On Me is the only runner in the field who has actually won over 1100m at Pioneer Park — 10 starts there for 2 wins, 2 seconds and a third — and she won a Restricted 58 at this venue in March off 56.5kg. The last two starts at Fannie Bay over 1200m and 1300m were wrong-trip runs, and the July effort here came with 59kg. The cold jockey and barrier 7 are why she stays a value pick, not a top-three one.
- 1st6Lean On MeS Tsaikos$8.00
- 2nd2Revolution RisingP Denton$3.50
- 3rd3Bonny ImpactJessica Booth$2.60
- 4th7JacksetJ R Todd$91.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Lean On Me | 7 | S Tsaikos | Ms K Petrick | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Revolution Rising | 3 | P Denton | Greg Connor | 58.5kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Bonny Impact | 1 | Jessica Booth | Greg Connor | 55.5kg | $2.60 |
| 4th | 7 | Jackset | 2 | J R Todd | J B Carroll | 55kg | $91.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Snick | 5 | Jessie Philpot | Ray Viney | 56kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Boss Shelby | 4 | Leanne Boyd | W A Savage | 53.5kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 1 | High Ambitions | 6 | Billy Cray | Greg Connor | 60kg | $5.00 |
Welcome Racing NT Board (Bm54)
The most proven runner in the race at the exact track and distance, with a 12-start 1400m Pioneer Park record of 4 wins, 2 seconds and 3 thirds.
Carrying 59.5kg and mapped to settle back into a race with one genuine leader and a slow tempo, he needs the race to be run to suit.
The trip back to 1400m is the key change after five unproductive runs at a mile, and his course-and-distance record of 5:1-1-0 is genuine. Against him, his last nine starts have produced just two top-three finishes, he carries 57.5kg with no claim, and he is drawn to settle back in a race that looks likely to be run at a slow tempo.
The only genuine leader in a six-horse field expected to go slow, drawn barrier 3 and carrying the lightest weight of the serious chances at 55.5kg after the claim. The knock is that he wins rarely, converting only two of 19 starts, but an uncontested lead is exactly the scenario that turns those placings into a win.
- 1st4KiefferJ R Todd$2.25
- 2nd6Love To LieJessie Philpot$20.00
- 3rd3Brazen SailorLeanne Boyd$3.90
- 4th5Mapleton HillS Tsaikos$14.00
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Kieffer | 2 | J R Todd | K J Lamprecht | 57.5kg | $2.25 |
| 2nd | 6 | Love To Lie | 1 | Jessie Philpot | Ray Viney | 55kg | $20.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Brazen Sailor | 3 | Leanne Boyd | W A Savage | 55.5kg | $3.90 |
| 4th | 5 | Mapleton Hill | 5 | S Tsaikos | Ms K Petrick | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 2 | The Big Freeze | 6 | Billy Cray | C Hunter | 60kg | $4.60 |
| 6th | 1 | Highstrung | 4 | Jessica Booth | Ray Viney | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
Cummins Cup (Bm66)
The most likely winner on form.
Solid but short.
The drop from Open grade is meaningful. Against him is the trip: his record over 1400m reads two starts for no win and every career win has come between 1000m and 1200m, so lugging 62.5kg an extra furlong with a jockey out of form is a genuine test.
The each-way value angle. The obvious risk is the trip, which he has never tackled, plus 60.5kg and an out-of-form rider.
- 1st1Bahama BayS Tsaikos$2.70
- 2nd3Flying StartP Denton$2.90
- 3rd4Grinzinger LassJessie Philpot$3.30
- 4th5Iz ShaftJessica Booth$61.00
Full result · 5 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Bahama Bay | 2 | S Tsaikos | Ms K Petrick | 62.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 3 | Flying Start | 1 | P Denton | Greg Connor | 57.5kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 4 | Grinzinger Lass | 4 | Jessie Philpot | Ray Viney | 54.5kg | $3.30 |
| 4th | 5 | Iz Shaft | 3 | Jessica Booth | Leah Walling-Denton | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Delago Lad | 5 | Billy Cray | Greg Connor | 60.5kg | $7.00 |
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